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Many‐server loss models with non‐poisson time‐varying arrivals
Authors:Ward Whitt  Jingtong Zhao
Affiliation:Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, Columbia University, New York, New York
Abstract:This article proposes an approximation for the blocking probability in a many‐server loss model with a non‐Poisson time‐varying arrival process and flexible staffing (number of servers) and shows that it can be used to set staffing levels to stabilize the time‐varying blocking probability at a target level. Because the blocking probabilities necessarily change dramatically after each staffing change, we randomize the time of each staffing change about the planned time. We apply simulation to show that (i) the blocking probabilities cannot be stabilized without some form of randomization, (ii) the new staffing algorithm with randomiation can stabilize blocking probabilities at target levels and (iii) the required staffing can be quite different when the Poisson assumption is dropped. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 64: 177–202, 2017
Keywords:nonstationary loss models  staffing a service system  capacity planning  queues with time‐varying arrival rates  modified offered load  approximation  non‐Poisson nonstationary arrival processes
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