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1.
Grand strategic theorists share an historical emphasis on interstate conflict, yet in contrast to the more frequent intrastate conflicts, these represent only 7 of the some 273 US military deployments since 1900. We argue that these intrastate conflicts limit the utility of regional balances of power in mitigating forms of conflict that the US may consider inimical to its national security interests. When considering potential changes to US force posture and grand strategy, American coercive statecraft should be theorised along a broader strategic continuum encompassing the full range of conflict.  相似文献   

2.
    
Clausewitz was much preoccupied with the apparent contradiction between real and absolute war. Why did war in history so rarely exhibit the extremes of violence and energy implied in the pure concept of war? Clausewitz’s commentators have usually followed him in thinking that this was a genuine problem in need of a solution, but I want to question that view. I will argue that Clausewitz did not have a coherent philosophy of absolute war, and therefore the contradiction he posited between real and absolute war was equally meaningless – as, too, was his effort to resolve it by claiming that some real wars approached or even attained the absolute form of war. The real problem was not the opposition of real and absolute war, but the self-contradictory theory of absolute war.  相似文献   

3.
当前,在系统的维修性方面,有许多概念是模糊的;许多行为是盲目的,至少是经验主义的。本文针对这些情况,提出了完整的科学维修的概念。以一个有使用价值的预防性维修策略为例,通过讨论,使这种科学维修的概念具体化,并且给出了系统的首翻期、维修周期以及更换期的严格定义和确定方法。  相似文献   

4.
设备的一种计划维修策略   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文根据设备在全寿命内有事后修理、计划修理和最后报废的实际情况,以全寿命内单位时间的更新维修期望费用最少为目标函数,建立一种数学模型,寻求设备在全寿命内最佳计划修理次数N和最佳的一组计划维修时间间隔集T。  相似文献   

5.
将武器装备系统的组成部分分为3类,通过分析得出适合装备系统的特定m维修策略,能够在保证装备较高使用可用度的同时,最大程度地缩减维修保障成本。利用更新过程某些特性,建立特定m维修策略下的使用可用度模型,简化了使用可用度的计算。  相似文献   

6.
针对某小型武器稳定系统稳定精度差的问题,构建了其控制系统的数学模型,通过仿真施加试验台架扰动信号,对现系统采用的传统PID控制器进行仿真计算,得到其动态稳定精度,并把得到的和定型试验稳定精度数据对应的外扰模拟信号作为改造后系统的标准扰动输入,对线性自抗扰控制器进行了比对仿真研究.仿真结果表明,系统采用线性自抗扰控制器具有响应速度快、稳定精度高、抗扰能力强的优点.这一方法得到的仿真结果和实车具有较高一致性,可以有效解决实车参数调试困难的问题.  相似文献   

7.
    
A joint optimization of the production run length and preventive maintenance (PM) policy is studied for a deteriorating production system where the in‐control period follows a general probability distribution with non‐decreasing failure rate. In the literature, the sufficient conditions for the optimality of the equal‐interval PM schedule is explored to derive an optimal production run length and an optimal number of PM actions. Nevertheless, an exhaustive search may arise. In this study, based on the assumption that the conditions for the optimality of the equal‐interval PM schedule hold, we derive some structural properties for the optimal production/PM policy, which increases the efficiency of the solution procedure. These analyses have implications for the practical application of the production/PM model to be more available in practice. A numerical example of gamma shift distribution with non‐decreasing failure rates is used to illustrate the solution procedure, leading to some insight into the management process. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006  相似文献   

8.
9.
    
ABSTRACT

The post-Cold War period nearly up to the present has been characterised as the age of liberal wars, yet key facets of the liberal guidance of war remain under appreciated. This article seeks to address this wider gap with regard to the particular concern of war termination and the fulfilment or failure of policy. First, it develops characterisations of liberal wars based on the existing literature, identifying three broad types through consideration of context—defensive versus offensive—and of political and strategic agency, particularly regarding the motives for and intents of action. Three types of liberal wars result: defensive liberal wars, offensive liberal wars with humanitarian motive and geopolitical intent, and offensive liberal wars with geopolitical motive and humanitarian intent. The article then presents one exemplary case for each liberal war with an emphasis on how liberal strategy required an illiberal ally and that ally's effect on the subsequent peace.  相似文献   

10.
为了规范指导实验人员有效开展作战实验,对作战实验组织实施框架进行了设计。通过忽略不同实验的细微差别,抽取作战实验组织实施的公共模式,从实验团队角度明确规定了实验的关键步骤,规范了实验组织实施过程和里程碑工作。能有效指导将实验对象的概念理解映射到实验系统中进行具体实验,保证了实验的成功实施。  相似文献   

11.
美军在长期的国防采办实践中,经过不断改革和多次调整,逐步形成了较为完备的国防采办政策制度及管理体系,其有益经验和做法具有开创性和引领作用。尤其是自2018年启动重组国防采办组织管理体制以来,美军在国防战略调整的牵引下,先后发布多份新版采办文件,从政策体系、采办程序、业务领域等方面作出了重大改革调整,初步形成了“1+6+14”的政策体系架构。本文主要对美军国防采办政策的改革举措、背景及动因进行深入分析,总结美军国防采办政策改革的特点规律,试图通过研究美军国防采办改革的动向,探寻信息化条件下国防采办的特点及规律,并结合军队信息化装备采购实际提出思考与建议,以期为深化军队改革提供一定借鉴。  相似文献   

12.
    
As a result of allied subsidy and the influence of sunk costs, the marginal cost of the Gulf War to the US was reduced to negligible size. This result is at variance with the Olson‐Zeckhauser thesis that in an alliance “the small exploit the large.” A game theoretic alternative explanation suggests that the relation between allies resembles the game of Chicken, successfully played by the US. The ability to shift the marginal costs of war in the short term raises questions about the possible underestimation of long term effects.  相似文献   

13.
根据战时装备维修保障特点,合理构设装备维修过程和条件,运用排队理论建立了伴随维修保障和定点维修保障两种方式下的排队系统;通过分析选择两种保障方式下的维修效率衡量标准,最终获得确定战时装备维修保障人员需求的方法,为战时装备保障筹划提供参考依据。  相似文献   

14.
综述了组织模型的研究现状,用维修组织的存在环境、构成要素、维修目标、维修策略和存在时间建立了复杂装备维修系统的形式化模型,分析并研究了维修组织要素之间的交互、隶属与协作关系,定义了维修系统的元组织。该方法可描述动态复杂条件下的维修系统,有利于装备维修保障信息系统的计算机建模与实现。  相似文献   

15.
    
Colin Gray’s dimensions of strategy, built upon the earlier work of Clausewitz and Howard, has theoretical, practical, and pedagogic value for the Strategic Studies community. This paper further develops the theory, arguing that the dimensions can be controlled or managed to improve strategic performance. The dimensions are divided into two categories: “internal” and “external” to the process of strategy. The paper describes the dynamic process by which the internal dimensions, which can be controlled, are used to exert influence over the external dimensions that are beyond the control of the strategist. It is argued that six dimensions hold the key to strategic success: politics and the five dimensions concerned with warfighting. This conclusion validates the Clausewitzian paradigm with its emphasis on policy and battle.  相似文献   

16.
详细介绍了信息战的基本知识,重点分析了北约在科索沃的信息战的著名战例,对现代战争的信息战形式和措施也作了阐述。  相似文献   

17.
    
The ongoing civil war in Syria is evolving into a ‘proxy war’, in which both the Baathist regime and its insurgent adversaries are becoming increasingly reliant upon support from external powers. Proxy warfare has a superficial appeal for sponsoring states, as it appears to offer a convenient and risk-free means of fulfilling foreign policy goals, which will not incur the financial and human costs of direct military intervention. Using Syria as a case study, this article shows that the conduct of proxy warfare has several potential political, strategic, and ethical consequences, which any democratic government in particular is obliged to consider before it resorts to this indirect means of foreign intervention.  相似文献   

18.
    
This article assesses the existing literature on logistics in war, concluding that there is no satisfactory conceptual definition of logistics. It proposes a concept of logistics derived from Clausewitz's theory of war to fill that void. This is presented as a derivation because Clausewitz's distinction between (1) the use of the fighting forces (tactics and strategy) and (2) all other activities in war that were required so that forces could be taken as a given. The latter, left unnamed by Clausewitz, corresponds to a concept of logistics that proves to be an analytical peer to Clausewitz's categories of politics, tactics and strategy.  相似文献   

19.
    
Cyberspace is an avenue of approach through which a military force can attain objectives of value. Through these cyber avenues of approach, military forces can engage, vet, organize, and direct human agents to accomplish specific activities. Although the objectives of these activities could differ from traditional military objectives, they still have military relevance. This particular manifestation of cyber conflict is neither a new domain of war nor something outside of warfare. Rather, it can be viewed as an emerging avenue of approach in the larger context of military operations, auguring benefits in the integration of cyber activities with operations.  相似文献   

20.
基于排队论的装备维修人员数量需求模型*   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
确定维修人员需求是对装备维修机构进行科学管理和对维修人员进行有计划培训的需要。在分析装备维修人员构成的随机服务系统特征的基础上,运用排队论理论建立了以平均等待时间为目标的维修人员需求的愿望模型,该模型可更加确切地描述各专业对维修人员的实际需求。通过对模型进行仿真,结果表明了模型的合理性。  相似文献   

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