基于能力的地面无人作战系统作战效能试验评估方法

作战效能试验评估是检验地面无人作战系统是否满足作战要求的根本手段.针对地面无人作战型号新、作战需求牵引性弱等问题,紧贴地面无人作战系统的智能自主特性,以能力构想为核心,以作战概念创新为牵引,建立了基于能力的地面无人作战系统作战效能试验评估框架,明确了作战概念设计的主要内容和关键技术,提出了地面无人作战系统的作战效能试验方法,设计了地面无人作战系统的作战效能指标框架和总体方案,为适应地面无人作战系统发展要求,并有效开展作战效能试验评估提供了科学方法.     

对抗仿真的地面防空体系作战效能

从地面防空体系作战特点出发,介绍了地面防空体系作战效能仿真系统总体结构.根据作战特点,将地面防空体系作战过程划分为各作战阶段,并分别建立了各作战阶段的作战模型,采用蒙特卡罗方法分析了地面防空体系作战效能,示例表明,作战模型合理,计算结论具有说服力,能够体现现代战争作战特点.     

利用指数法评估作战飞机的作战效能

通过对当代飞机作战过程和作战环境的分析 ,根据杜派指数法的思想和原则 ,提出了影响飞机作战效能的主要因素及其相互关系 ,建立了利用指数法评估作战飞机作战效能的模型 ,模型探讨了作战环境 ,主要是电磁环境和人为环境对作战飞机作战效能的影响 ,分析了模型的军事应用 ,算例中评估了 1 0种飞机的作战效能。     

作战视图的陆战平台电子信息系统作战需求分析

作战体系结构方法是获取作战需求的有效途径;介绍了体系结构的适用原则、作战视图的研究内容及逻辑关系,运用指挥关系模型、作战活动模型、逻辑数据模型、作战活动顺序与时间模型、作战节点连接能力模型、作战信息交换矩阵对指挥关系、作战活动、作战节点连接能力和作战信息交换进行分析,获得陆战平台电子信息系统的作战需求,为陆战平台电子信息系统作战需求分析提供了一种新的方法。     

信息作战日趋凸显的“六大变化”

信息作战是作战双方在战场上为夺取和保持制信息权而开展的一系列作战行动。随着信息技术的飞速发展,信息作战在作战目的、作战空间、作战时间、作战力量、作战指挥、作战行动等方面发生了明显的变化。作战目的上已不再是有多大的作战目的就有多大作战行动,而是打破了作战行动与作战目的的“对应性”,战术级作战行动也将具有战略目的。在信息作战中,信息的流动、分配、引导、协调和控制,能使有限的作战力量充分发挥超自身作战能力的作战效能,可以择敌要害攻击,给敌以致命一击,从而使战场瞬间的突击力和爆发力达到“核聚变”的效应。这种“核…     

舰空导弹作战使用及指挥控制

从作战使用角度出发 ,对作战使用研究的目的、细目进行了界定 ,对作战过程中作战人员的职责、作战组织、作战实施和指挥控制问题进行了剖析 ,为最终制定作战指挥程序和编制协同任务表奠定了基础。最后指出了新的研究方向     

基于指标聚合关系与熵的作战效能评价方法

作战效能评价对武器系统管理及作战实践具有重要的意义。在分析作战效能内涵的基础上,提出了作战效能指标的四种聚合关系;针对作战效能的特点,引入作战效能熵,建立了作战效能熵评价模型,并给出了作战效能熵的计算方法;最后通过舰艇电子战反导作战效能评价的实例验证了该评价方法的优越性。     

作战编成作战能力量化模型

作战编成(编组)作战能力量化是作战模拟中的一个重要方面,基于五力分析的基础上,讨论了作战编成(编组)作战能力的聚合方法以及对作战影响的因素,提出了作战编成(编组)作战能力量化的静态和动态量化模型。     

基于动态交互的作战信息交换仿真方法

针对当前大型新型作战平台信息化建设存在的作战流程不清晰、作战信息不合理、互操作性差等严重影响新质战斗力生成问题,在详细分析作战信息体系需求和作战信息交换仿真需求的前提下,充分考虑作战使用人员对系统的影响,提出了基于人在回路的动态交互作战信息交换仿真方法,并研制了仿真平台,分析了作战信息交换仿真效果,指出了仿真方法和平台改进发展方向,为大型新型作战平台信息化建设以及作战训练提供了论证方法和手段支撑。     

基于作战能力的部队作战任务分配方法

作战任务分配需要考虑作战部队各方面能力,难以快速实施作战分配。对此,提出了基于作战能力的作战任务分配方法,在面向任务的部队作战能力的基础上进行作战任务分配。建立了作战任务分配的优化模型,模型适应范围较广,并适应动态作战任务分配。使用最小费用最大流问题求解方法获得平衡或不平衡作战任务分配问题的最优解。实验研究结果表明:模型求解结果符合实际作战任务需求,基于作战能力的作战任务分配方法是一种有效的方法。     

Putin – the masked nemesis of the strategy of ambiguity

Recent events demonstrate the complex and adaptive approach employed by Russia to reassert influence in Europe. The changing face of Russia’s strategy commenced in 2007 when it launched a crippling cyber-attack against Estonia. This was followed by a large Russian conventional attack against Georgia in 2008, occupying two large areas of the nation. 2014 witnessed the Russian annexation of Crimea where in just a week, Russia seized control of Crimea “without firing a shot.” The annexation of Crimea was rapidly followed by a Russian inspired and led subversive war in eastern Ukraine. The common thread among these diverse Russian operations is its use of ambiguity to confound and confuse decision makers in the West.     

India's counter-insurgency experience: the ‘trust and nurture’ strategy

The Indian Army, a force trained primarily for conventional warfare, has been engaged in internal counter-insurgency operations since the 1950s. Despite such a long innings on a counter-insurgency mode, little attention has been accorded within military circles to doctrinal innovation for waging sub-conventional warfare in India's democratic political context. At best, the Army continues to view counter-insurgency duty as secondary to its primary duty of defending India from external conventional threats. By conceptualizing a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’, this article aims to fill this critical doctrinal gap in India's military policy. The author argues that a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’ based on democratic political culture, measured military methods, special counter-insurgency forces, local social and cultural awareness and an integrative nation-building approach will result in positive handling of India's internal security problems. The author utilizes India's counter-insurgency experiences in Assam, Mizoram, Nagaland, Punjab, and Operation ‘Sadhbhavana’ in Jammu and Kashmir as illustrative empirical indicants in order to validate the ‘trust and nurture’ strategy.     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Reviews

Douglas S. Derrer, We Are All the Target: A Handbook of Terrorism Avoidance and Hostage Survival. Annapolis, MD: US Naval Institute Press, 1992. Pp. x+135, notes, index. $14.95. ISBN 01–55750–150–5

Ian Knight, Zulu: Isandlwana and Rorke's Drift, 22–23 January 1879. London: Windrow & Greene, 1992. Pp.136, 150 illus., incl 8 colour plates, maps, biblio. £35. ISBN 1–872004–23–7

Ian Knight, By the Orders of the Great White Queen: Campaigning in Zululand through the Eyes of the British Soldiers, 1879. London: Greenhill Books and Novato: Presidio Press, 1992. Pp. 272, 17 illus., 1 map. £18.95. ISBN 1–85367–122–3

Manfried Rauchensteiner and Erwin A. Schmidl (eds.), Formen des Krieges: vom Mittelalter zum ‘Low‐intensity’ Conflict’. Graz : Verlag Styria, 1991. Pp.208. DM35. ISBN 3–22–12139–7

Harold J. Kearsley, Maritime Power and the Twenty‐First Century. Dartmouth: Dartmouth Publishing Company, Limited, 1992. Pp.xv + 203, 13 diagrams, index. £32.50. ISBN 1–85521–288–9     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.