激光制导炸弹弹道拟合模型与算法

由于激光制导炸弹的弹道受控,其弹道复杂,采用传统炸弹弹道的拟合方法达不到精度要求。从抛物运动的角度提出了两种对激光制导炸弹弹道拟合的方法。第一种方法对一般的抛物运动标准解引入修正项实现对激光制导炸弹弹道的拟合。第二种方法对激光制导炸弹的攻击运动过程进行分析,然后,引入加速度修正项对激光制导炸弹弹道进行拟合。通过大量的仿真表明这两种方法的拟合精度均很高。相比较而言,第二种方法精度更高。     

基于三次B样条曲线的一维弹道修正弹空气阻力系数拟合

为提高弹道修正弹的射击精度,对一维弹道修正弹空气阻力系数的拟合方法进行了研究。在分析Logistic曲线对43年阻力定律拟合缺点的基础上,提出了一种采用三次B样条曲线对其进行拟合的新方法。并通过某型号一维弹道修正弹验证了该拟合方法具有可行性好、拟合精度高、运算简单、结果可靠等优点。该拟合方法的提出为一维弹道修正弹空气阻力系数的拟合提供了一种新的研究方法,更便于外弹道的仿真计算。     

基于相关参数的自修正飞行数据估计方法

提出了自修正的数据估计方法.用待拟合参数及相关参数组成多阶数据矩阵,利用递归神经网络对数据矩阵中缺失数据进行初次多阶拟合;利用滑动窗口,在历史数据矩阵中进行相似模式搜索,以相似度作为权重系数,对初次拟合结果进行加权修正.分析证明,该算法的最差、最好复杂度分别达到了理论最好结果.从仿真结果可以看出,自修正算法数据拟合结果误差较之单纯神经网络拟合更小,估计精度更高.     

反导拦截弹主动段神经网络中制导律研究

针对远程反导拦截的需求,提出了一种主动段神经网络中制导律.仿真研究表明,所提出的神经网络中制导律能近似跟踪优化弹道,对弹道倾角扰动、速度干扰和预测命中点变化具有较强的鲁棒性.     

57—2航箭超前问题分析

分析了某型外贸机空对地发射５７－２航箭射导弹着点超前的基本原因,并从工程实践出发,提出了解决超前问题的新思路。其基本设想是在武器瞄准方程计算火箭弹道的初始条件中加入一个火箭爬升角增量和火箭虚拟速度增量,使计算弹道逼近实际弹道,避免了重新修正火箭阻力函数,重新计算弹道及弹道拟合的周期长、费用高的常规办法。进而在此基础上修改了平显软件。经验证试飞,获得满意结果。     

二维弹道修正弹及其制导控制技术综述

针对二维弹道修正弹这类具有广泛应用前景的智能弹药,综述了二维弹道修正弹的发展、主要修正机构方案及其制导控制技术。对二维弹道修正弹的研制历程进行总结,梳理发展脉络揭示其发展规律,分析二维修正弹的打击任务。对几种主流修正方案进行讨论,分析各机构的作用特点及研究难点。基于二维弹道修正弹打击任务需求,从气动辨识及状态估计算法、修正机构参数优化设计算法和制导律三个方面总结其控制技术的发展现状。着重介绍近年来发展迅猛的智能算法,特别是神经网络理论在二维修正弹控制算法领域的研究应用。进一步指出二维弹道修正弹的控制研究需解决的主要技术难点和未来发展方向,为二维弹道修正的设计提供思路。     

基于排序的自适应遗传算法航空炸弹弹道拟合方法

提出了一种基于排序的自适应遗传算法的航空炸弹弹道的拟合方法.该方法在简单遗传算法的基础上,将每一代染色体的适应度排序,并添加了交叉率和变异率的自适应控制函数,既克服了简单遗传算法收敛速度慢,稳定性差的缺点,又改善了函数优化效果.算法应用于某型航空炸弹的弹道数据拟合,仿真结果表明,该算法的拟合精度高,拟合模型优化效果良好.     

弹道参数存贮测试的新方法

测试火箭、大口径火炮等的弹道参数时,通常将存贮记录装置安置于弹上。现有的弹上信号存贮记录装置,将信号的采样值逐个连续记录于存贮器中,由于弹上存贮器的容量有限,记录的采样点较少,不能满足其实际需要。弹道参数在内弹道、中间弹道和终点弹道的变化情况相差很大。内弹道、终点弹道的参数变化剧烈,中间弹道参数变化相对平缓。很明显,如果满足高频信号对采样频率的要求,对中间弹道参数的测试来讲,将会有许多连续相同的采样值占据大量的存贮器空间,     

防空导弹反弹道导弹跟踪制导规律研究和弹道仿真

利用基准优化弹道参数和滑模控制思想,构造滑动面,提出了一种新的弹道跟踪制导规律。给出了详细的推导过程,并且对所构造李雅普诺夫函数进行了稳定性证明,还进行了弹道跟踪制导数字仿真,提供了仿真弹道数据和有关弹道参数曲线。结果表明,提出的弹道跟踪制导规律是有效的,可用的。     

基于改进差分进化算法的内弹道参数优化

火炮内弹道参数直接影响其计算结果,内弹道参数优化设计是内弹道分析计算的重要环节。基于经典内弹道计算模型,以火药内弹道计算中最为敏感的燃速指数及其燃速系数为设计参量,以最大膛压及弹丸初速的计算值与测试值一致性为目标,对差分进化算法群体的初始化、变异因子及变异模式进行了改进,对某型火炮的内弹道参数进行了优化计算。优化设计结果表明改进后的差分进化算法满足内弹道设计工程实践要求,为内弹道参数优化设计提供了一种有效的算法。     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.     

The UK,interrogation and Iraq, 2003–2008

The UK’s interrogation operations during the conflict in Iraq (2003–2008) are often portrayed by the media as involving significant amounts of mistreatment. This article demonstrates that these practices are not necessarily representative of the UK’s interrogation operations across this conflict. In doing so it contributes to the limited literature on the practice of interrogation and on the UK’s combat operations in Iraq. The UK’s interrogation capability, and therefore its intelligence-gathering capability, is shown to have rested primarily with the military’s Joint Forward Interrogation Team (JFIT). The JFIT suffered from limitations to the number, training and experience of its interrogators and interpreters. It is argued that maintaining a permanent, higher level of preparedness for interrogation by the British armed forces is desirable.     

Remembering and forgetting Mirambo: Histories of war in modern Africa

ABSTRACT

While the study of organised violence is considered essential to understanding the history of the West, and accordingly imbued with various layers of meaning and remembrance, war is widely regarded as inimical to the modern nation in Africa and stable development more broadly. Using examples drawn from primarily from East Africa, this paper considers the ways in which warfare in the deeper (‘precolonial’) past has been framed and envisioned in recent decades, in particular by governments whose own roots lie in revolutionary armed struggle and who began life as guerrilla movements. While in some cases particular elements of the deeper past were indeed mobilised in pursuit of contemporary political goals, in many other scenarios histories of precolonial violence were beheld as problematic and unworthy of remembrance. This paper highlights the paradox and ambiguity which has attended the memory of key aspects of Africa’s deeper past.     

Cyber sheiks and grassroots jihadis: the war in Syria and the devolution of the Bosnian Salafi communities

ABSTRACT

What was the scope of the Bosnian jihadi participation in the war in Syria? Did the Bosnian volunteers tend to join one particular faction? Why did the Bosnian youngsters decide to join the holy war in the Levant? Was this an organized and hierarchical process or was this a grassroots movement? Last, were all the Salafis in Bosnia supportive of this dynamic or did this process cause internal frictions? These are some of the questions that this research will try to answer.