侵彻子母弹对跑道封锁概率与打击效果评估

现代战争中为取得制空权使用侵彻子母弹对敌方的机场跑道进行攻击是一种有效的战术手段.如何有效地规划打击方案是指挥员所关心的问题.就此建立了相关的数学模型,研究使用侵彻子母弹对跑道打击的封锁概率和弹头有效率问题.还讨论了在使用卫星遥感影像检测跑道上弹坑存在误差条件下,对目标打击效果评估准确性的问题.并使用仿真方法,综合上述因素,对封锁跑道的多种战术技术组合条件做了实验,给出了定量的计算结果,为打击方案的设计提供了理论依据.     

登步岛渡海登陆作战经过与思考

1949年10月下旬至11月上旬,中国人民解放军在华东闽、浙沿海有两次激烈的渡海攻占敌岛的战斗,这就是金门岛战斗和登步岛战斗.金门岛进攻作战,系第三野战军第10兵团第28军和第29军各一部登陆金门岛,与国民党军3万余人激战两昼夜,两批登岛部队3个半团9086人,因后援不继,全部覆没.     

Alleviating time inconsistent behaviors via a competition scheme

Under quasi‐hyperbolic discounting, the valuation of a payoff falls relatively rapidly for earlier delay periods, but then falls more slowly for longer delay periods. When the salespersons with quasi‐hyperbolic discounting consider the product sale problem, they would exert less effort than their early plan, thus resulting in losses of future profit. We propose a winner‐takes‐all competition to alleviate the above time inconsistent behaviors of the salespersons, and allow the company to maximize its revenue by choosing an optimal bonus. To evaluate the effects of the competition scheme, we define the group time inconsistency degree of the salespersons, which measures the consequence of time inconsistent behaviors, and two welfare measures, the group welfare of the salespersons and the company revenue. We show that the competition always improves the group welfare and the company revenue as long as the company chooses to run the competition in the first place. However, the effect on group time inconsistency degree is mixed. When the optimal bonus is moderate (extreme high), the competition motivates (over‐motivates) the salesperson to work hard, thus alleviates (worsens) the time inconsistent behaviors. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 64: 357–372, 2017     

卫星对地面目标时间窗口快速预报算法

卫星对地面目标的时间窗口计算是航天领域的一个重要问题。对圆轨道卫星对地面静止目标的时间窗口问题进行了研究,并针对该问题提出一种快速求解方法。该算法首先分析未考虑地球自转时的卫星对地面目标的时间窗口,然后根据地球自转特征对计算结果进行迭代修正,从而得到该周期内卫星精确的时间窗口。通过数值计算结果表明,卫星时间窗口绝对误差在0.1 ms量级,相比1 s步长的跟踪传播法,计算时间减少99.1%。     

地下空间“双向构造”功能的可行性思考

实现民防工程与地下空间在功能上的"双向构造",是上海作为现代社会国际大都市的最优战略选择。论证了民防工程和地下空间构成地下单元空间在功能上进行耦合,即实现"双向构造"的必要性,阐述了地下空间"双向构造"功能实现的基本思路和有效举措。提出整体规划上海地下单元空间的功能双向同构,有效推进功能双向同构配套项目的规划实施,构建完善功能双向同构的实施组织系统,必须建立健全法律法规的保障体系,切实拓宽投资融资的良性渠道,不断强化项目实施的监督管理。     

基于集对分析的海上油料补给方法选择优化

针对各种复杂环境对海上油料补给方法选择的不确定性影响,在分析海上油料补给方法选择影响因素的基础上,确定了海上油料补给方法选择的属性要素,运用集对分析理论建立了海上油料补给方法选择的优化模型;采用变异系数法计算属性权重,通过构建海上油料补给方法选择的正、负理想方案,确定了各备选方案与理想方案之间的联系度。算例分析结果表明,将集对分析运用于海上油料补给方法的选择,能够有效降低多种复杂因素对油料补给方法选择的不确定性影响。     

Layers of Experiments with Adaptive Combined Design

In the field of nanofabrication, engineers often face unique challenges in resource‐limited experimental budgets, the sensitive nature of process behavior with respect to controllable variables, and highly demanding tolerance requirements. To effectively overcome these challenges, this article proposes a methodology for a sequential design of experiments through batches of experimental runs, aptly named Layers of Experiments with Adaptive Combined Design (LoE/ACD). In higher layers, where process behavior is less understood, experimental regions cover more design space and data points are more spread out. In lower layers, experimental regions are more focused to improve understanding of process sensitivities in a local, data‐rich environment. The experimental design is a combination of a space‐filling and an optimal design with a tuning parameter that is dependent on the amount of information accumulated over the various layers. The proposed LoE/ACD method is applied to optimize a carbon dioxide (epet‐CO2) assisted deposition process for fabricating silver nanoparticles with pressure and temperature variables. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 127–142, 2015     

单晶硅反射镜激光能量吸收系数与衬底表面质量的关联

高能激光系统中,单晶硅基底反射镜的能量吸收系数是影响系统性能的关键指标。衬底加工质量对镀膜后元件激光能量吸收系数影响显著。通过测试不同衬底粗糙度、划痕密度的单晶硅反射元件,分析衬底表面典型加工特征(粗糙度、划痕)对激光能量吸收系数的影响规律,认为粗糙度与吸收系数正相关,粗糙度均方根从0.668nm降低至0.345nm会使吸收系数降低28.0%。少量划痕对吸收系数的直接影响并不明显,吸收系数均值变化在3.1%以内。但表面划痕会诱发激光损伤,划痕密度较大时会引起后续能量吸收持续增大,辐照400s后,吸收系数较辐照100s时增大18.3%。     

新疆公安边防维稳预警情报收集中的问题与对策

新疆维稳形势严峻,预警是维护社会稳定的重要途径。情报收集是成功预警的前提和基础。当前的新疆维稳预警情报收集工作还存在收集主体素质不高,群众优势未能充分发挥,缺乏有效交流与合作等问题。为此。必须加强情报队伍建设,构筑人民防线,完善协作机制,加强情报交流,以改进情报收集工作。     

神经规则与案例融合的专家系统知识表示和推理

为了对专家系统中的知识进行表示,并使得推理变得更加准确高效,介绍了一种结合符号规则、神经网络和案例的方法。该方法是把一种混合规则,即神经规则和案例结合在一起。它与传统的基于符号规则推理不同的是,即使有一些未知的输入,也可以执行基于神经规则的推理。实验证明,与传统的专家系统比较,混合推理可以提高故障诊断的效率和精确度。