军用无人机作战效能评估模型

在分析影响军用无人机作战效能因素的基础上,应用系统工程理论和层次分析方法,提出了一种基于地面信息系统支持下的无人机系统作战效能的结构分析模型和计算模型.通过考虑专家意见来确定各因素的相对重要程度便可计算无人机系统的作战效能,为无人机系统效能评估提供较为科学的依据.算例结果表明,运用该方法得出的评估结论与实际相符,并且简单、实用.     

军用飞机采购价格的RBF神经网络预测

分析了现代军用飞机采购价格估算中存在的问题.应用基于k-均值聚类算法的RBF神经网络建立了军用飞机采购价格预测模型,并采用该模型对某型军用飞机采购价格进行了预测.与多元线性回归和BP神经网络的预测结果对比,建立的新型军用飞机采购价格预测模型具有更高的预测精度,为军用飞机采购价格预测提供了一种新的有效方法.     

张自忠所部编成与序列沿革

自1933年3月在喜峰口英勇抗击侵华日军起,张自忠所部历经天津、冀南、淮北、临沂、徐州、潢川、随枣、1939年冬季攻势、枣宜等大小战斗多次,广大官兵不怕牺牲,浴血奋战,狠狠地打击了日本侵略军,体现出不畏强暴、抵抗外侮的民族精神.1940年5月16日,张自忠在湖北宜城的十里长山光荣殉国,是役为国捐躯的尚有张敬、洪进田、马孝堂等官兵500余人(《张上将自忠纪念集》卷十四,173页,上海1948年版).     

装备战损量的兰彻斯特方程预计方法*

针对装备战损量预计这一未来作战装备保障必须解决的核心问题,运用兰彻斯特方程探讨解决途径。从分析影响装备战损的因素出发,综合讨论目前预计装备战损量的方法,提出基于指数多元兰彻斯特方程的装备战损量预计模型和模型中毁伤能力系数的确定方法,得到了装备战损量的兰彻斯特方程预计方法,并举例验证。该方法将经验计算与模拟计算相结合,用较简单的确定性解析方程描述所考虑因素对装备战损量的客观约束关系,较好地满足了未来信息化条件下作战装备战损量预计的需要。     

The impact of demand uncertainty on product line design under endogenous substitution

The existing product line design literature devotes little attention to the effect of demand uncertainty. Due to demand uncertainty, the supply‐demand mismatch is inevitable which leads to different degrees of lost sales depending on the configuration of product lines. In this article, we adopt a stylized two‐segment setup with uncertain market sizes and illustrate the interplay between two effects: risk pooling that mitigates the impact of demand uncertainty and market segmentation that facilitates consumer differentiation. Compared to downward substitution, inducing bidirectional substitution through product line decisions including quality levels and prices can yield greater risk pooling effects. However, we show that the additional benefit from the risk pooling effect cannot compensate for the reduced market segmentation effect. We demonstrate that the presence of demand uncertainty can reduce the benefit of market segmentation and therefore the length of product lines in terms of the difference between products. We also propose three heuristics that separate product line and production decisions; each of these heuristics corresponds to one particular form of demand substitution. Our numerical studies indicate that the best of the three heuristics yields performance that is close to optimality. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 143–157, 2015     

Technical note – operational statistics: Properties and the risk‐averse case

Consider a repeated newsvendor problem for managing the inventory of perishable products. When the parameter of the demand distribution is unknown, it has been shown that the traditional separated estimation and optimization (SEO) approach could lead to suboptimality. To address this issue, an integrated approach called operational statistics (OS) was developed by Chu et al., Oper Res Lett 36 (2008) 110–116. In this note, we first study the properties of this approach and compare its performance with that of the traditional SEO approach. It is shown that OS is consistent and superior to SEO. The benefit of using OS is larger when the demand variability is higher. We then generalize OS to the risk‐averse case under the conditional value‐at‐risk (CVaR) criterion. To model risk from both demand sampling and future demand uncertainty, we introduce a new criterion, called the total CVaR, and find the optimal OS under this new criterion. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 206–214, 2015     

Optimal pricing and scheduling control of product shipping

In this article, we seek to understand how a capacity‐constrained seller optimally prices and schedules product shipping to customers who are heterogeneous on willingness to pay (WTP) and willingness to wait (WTW). The capacity‐constrained seller does not observe each customer's WTP and WTW and knows only the aggregate distributions of WTP and WTW. The seller's problem is modeled as an M/M/N_s queueing model with multiclass customers and multidimensional information screening. We contribute to the literature by providing an optimal and efficient algorithm. Furthermore, we numerically find that customers with a larger waiting cost enjoys a higher scheduling priority, but customers with higher valuation do not necessarily get a higher scheduling priority. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 215–227, 2015     

类型学语境下的屋顶生态技术

作为建筑顶部的围护结构,屋顶是室外自然环境与室内进行能量交换的重要途径,也是影响建筑能耗的主要因素之一。通过引入类型学的研究方法,提出将自然能量的交换作为屋顶生态技术的原型,挖掘出"阻止"、"过滤"和"导入"3种技术类型。结合具体工程案例,对3种技术类型的创新性策略进行深入分析与探讨,归纳总结得出较系统和完整的技术类型结论,从而为绿色建筑设计与技术选择提供参考。     

科氏流量计信号相位差测量新算法

对科氏流量计信号进行处理时,传统相位差测量算法存在较大误差。为更好地抑制频谱泄露,提高相位差测量精度,在传统DTFT算法的基础上,通过矩形窗和汉宁窗卷积运算构造出一种新窗——RHC窗。计及负频率成分的影响,提出了一种基于RHC窗的DTFT相位差测量新算法。详细阐述了新算法的原理,并与传统DTFT算法进行了对比仿真,验证了新算法的有效性。     

美军临近空间飞艇项目建设情况及启示

介绍了美军临近空间飞艇项目建设概况;总结归纳了美军临近空间飞艇项目建设的主要经验与教训;根据美军临近空间飞艇项目建设的经验和教训,从科学制定发展规划、适度控制投入规模、逐一攻克关键技术、建立健全合作机制、寓军于民夯实基础5个方面提出了我军临近空间飞艇发展的对策建议。