着眼信息化战争特点培养军事指挥人才

军事指挥人才作为作战行动的直接筹划者、决策者和指挥者,其素质能力的高低对战争的成败产生至关重要的影响。必须以军事斗争准备为牵引,着眼信息化战争的特点,在坚持政治素质第一的同时,加快培养和造就一批长于信息运用、善于谋划决断、精于联合指挥、勇于开拓创新的高素质军事指挥人才群体,为履行新世纪新阶段我军历史使命提供强有力的组织保证和人才支撑。     

舆论战的心理学解读

通过舆论传播平台传递信息,用以作用于受众的思想或心理,从而达到征服人心的目的,是舆论战的本质特征。利用宣传心理学的原理综合研究信息源、信息的性质和受众的特点这三个要素,是提升舆论战效能的必由之路。     

论我军军事训练政治工作的历史经验

梳理和考察我军军事训练政治工作的历史,总结经验并加以借鉴,如,军事训练政治工作必须紧紧围绕履行我军的历史使命展开;以发挥好服务保证作用为根本目标;坚持以思想政治教育为中心环节;坚持以开展好群众性练兵运动为基本形式等;对于切实做好新时期军事训练中的政治工作具有重要意义。     

基于改进TOPSIS法的维修保障系统效能评估研究

维修保障系统涉及因素众多,对其进行效能评估是一项非常复杂的问题.在分析TOPSIS及其改进方法的基础上,构建了维修保障系统效能评估指标体系,应用改进TOPSIS法对维修保障系统效能进行了综合评估,并将评估结果与AHP和突变评价法的结果进行比较,结论一致.为维修保障系统效能评估问题寻求出一种新的方法,其评估结果可为决策提供定量依据.     

Better is the Neighbor?

Abstract

This study applies the Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM), to investigate the convergence properties of the military expenditure of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) during the period of 1990–2015. Compared to the traditional methods, SPSM considers fundamentally general spatial homogeneous and heterogeneous relationships with countries and examines the evolution of military expenditure. We find that four-fifths of NATO member countries have been convergent with the UK, but no country’s military expenditure is convergent with the US. This means that there is no significant linkage effect in the US for NATO military expenditure. While they are allies of the US, the majority of NATO member countries’ military expenditures are consistent with UK military expenditure. The main reasons are due to the geographical space layout and the international relationship convergence. The results indicate that more than four-fifths of NATO member countries have been coordinated with convergence theory and spillover effect.     

A theory of war finance

This paper analyses the financial and war‐spending policies of a state that faces a conflict in which defeat would result in the loss of sovereign power and in which the material consequences, conditional on avoiding defeat, are stochastic. The analysis takes explicit account of the historical experiences of lenders, who face debt repudiation if the state to whom they have lent is defeated and who also face partial default if the material consequences of the war are unfavorable for the debtor state, even if it avoids defeat. In this analysis, the state uses war debt to smooth expected consumption intertemporally in response to temporary war spending, and the state also uses contingent debt servicing to insure realized consumption against the risk associated with the material consequences of the war. An important innovation in the analysis is to treat the equilibrium amount of war spending, the state's resulting probability of avoiding defeat, as well as the equilibrium amount of borrowing as a set of endogenous variables to be determined simultaneously.     

Comparison between constant‐stress and step‐stress accelerated life tests under Time Constraint

By running life tests at higher stress levels than normal operating conditions, accelerated life testing (ALT) quickly yields information on the lifetime distribution of a test unit. The lifetime at the design stress is then estimated through extrapolation using a regression model. In constant‐stress testing, a unit is tested at a fixed stress level until failure or the termination time point of test, whereas step‐stress testing allows the experimenter to gradually increase the stress levels at some prefixed time points during the test. In this work, the optimal k‐level constant‐stress and step‐stress ALTs are compared for the exponential failure data under complete sampling and Type‐I censoring. The objective is to quantify the advantage of using the step‐stress testing relative to the constant‐stress one. Assuming a log‐linear life–stress relationship with the cumulative exposure model for the effect of changing stress in step‐stress testing, the optimal design points are determined under C/D/A‐optimality criteria. The efficiency of step‐stress testing to constant‐stress one is then discussed in terms of the ratio of optimal objective functions based on the information matrix. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 00: 000–000, 2013     

保障需求分析方法及其应用

针对当前在装备保障需求分析过程中缺乏合适的方法和工具的问题,提出一种基于能力与面向需求分析相结合的装备保障需求分析方法,并通过运用解释结构模型法,对分析结果的结构及相互关系进行科学构建.力求通过该方法的应用,能够辅助论证人员深刻理解和合理判断各种因素之间的相互影响关系,通过结构化和对比化的装备保障需求分析过程得到能正确反映保障需求的关系结构.从而为装备保障发展内容的分析打下良好的理论基础.     

一类对偶平坦的黎曼度量

给出了黎曼度量局部对偶平坦的一个充分条件:黎曼度量的Spray所满足的方程。同时,指出该条件是非必要的,并给出了相关反例。进一步,对满足条件的这类黎曼度量的性质进行了研究。具体地,讨论了这类度量成为Einstein度量的条件。从黎曼曲率着手,通过计算发现:当空间维数n3,这类黎曼度量是Einstein度量,当且仅当它是欧氏度量;但是,这个结论对n=2的情形不适用。     

空气甲醛显色球的制备

为实现快速准确测定空气中的甲醛,对4种氨基酸作为乙酰丙酮显色法的胺源进行对比分析,发现甘氨酸的显色效果较明显;对显色温度和显色时间进行优化,发现显色温度在50℃,反应15 min,显色效果明显。把显色剂固定到透明聚丙烯酸树脂球上,制备出可在家庭中方便使用的显色球,通过肉眼观察即可判断空气中甲醛的质量浓度,检测限达0.008 mg/m3。