防空武器系统生存能力评价

分析了现代战场环境条件下影响防空武器系统生存能力的主要因素,建立了一个防空武器系统生存能力评价的指标体系,给出了各级分指标的量化评价思路和方法,采用加权算术平均法和加权几何平均法进行指标综合.提供了一个生存能力快速量化评价的实用模型.     

新型驱护舰编队舰空导弹防御体系射击效能研究

针对新型驱护舰编队舰空导弹防御体系射击效能评估这一难题,对其射击效能准则进行了确立,提出了基于排队论的射击效能评估模型,对体系射击效能进行仿真计算,总结出能对系统射击效能做出准确评估的方法,并利用实例对模型进行了验证。     

舰载防空导弹系统的防御能力评估

反舰导弹是当今舰艇及编队面临的主要威胁。为评估反舰导弹攻防能力,以目前世界上防御能力最强的美国航母战斗群为背景,研究采用分层火力配置的航母舰队防御体系对付反舰导弹的有效性。首先分析反舰导弹飞行高度、雷达散射截面及综合效应对防御系统中雷达探测能力的影响,之后应用简化公式,对各类典型舰载对空防御武器的最大拦截距离、拦截次数和拦截效率进行量化分析,对防御反舰导弹能力做出评估。     

TOPSIS法用于区域防空重点保卫目标排序计算

区域防空作战中优化选择重点保卫目标,集中部署优势防空兵力,才能确保重点目标不受或少受损失.分析了影响保卫目标重要性的主要因素,采取德尔菲法获得指标值,采用层次分析法得到指标权重,利用逼近理想解的排序法对保卫目标的重要性进行了定量分析.最后通过算例对算法的正确性和实用性进行了验证.     

使用目标状态估值器提高空对空射击性能

使用卡尔曼滤波器对机载火控雷达及其它传感器提供的数据进行处理,可以得到空对空射击火力控制需要的目标运动信息.通过动态数字仿真比较了前置计算光学瞄准和使用目标状态估值器两种空空射击的火控算法.在具备机载火控雷达的条件下,使用目标状态估值器能够提高空对空射击性能.     

基于虚拟样机的武器装备远程诊断技术研究

针对部队武器系统维护与诊断资源没有很好整合的现状,以网格技术为基础,提出了建设全军层面的武器维护与诊断网格平台的思路,并建立了基于嵌入式智能代理的武器系统诊断网格模型,对模型涉及的关键技术进行了分析;引入虚拟样机仿真技术,结合武器系统设计的发展现状,提出了基于现场监测与虚拟样机仿真的诊断模型,并对实施步骤进行了研究.     

基于蚁群算法的试验流程优化研究

水中兵器的海上试验涉及许多人员、兵力、被试产品、测量设备等,试验周期长、消耗大,因此如何缩短试验周期是亟待研究解决的问题.文中首先将试验流程优化问题转化为车间调度问题,建立了相应的数学模型,再应用蚁群算法转移规则得到中间结果并进行排队以对各种资源约束进行处理.最后将结果利用局部搜索算法优化后作为蚁群算法信息素更新的基础.实例计算结果表明,该方法优化效果良好.     

The comparison of military budgets of the eastern and central European countries

The evolutions of military expenditures in Eastern and Central European countries are difficult to estimate and to compare, due to the lack of available data for these states. Some results of the extent of cuts in defence spending since 1990 are interesting to interpret, but it is difficult for econometricians to use these figures even carefully. The structures of national military expenditure have been modified to the detriment of arms equipment. Thus, the disarmament process needs a special analysis of the arms industry.     

On the normality and abnormality of offsets obligations

Defence offsets have often been described as government‐to‐business compensation arrangements or contracts involving “reciprocity beyond that associated with normal market exchange”. This paper argues that it is irrelevant and misleading to use this notion as a criterion for defining offsets.

The paper also explores the apparent inconsistency between the maximising efficiency in defence procurement and the application of offsets requirements. It is shown that defence offsets are a subset of all the price‐quality‐quantity trade‐offs which in general characterise negotiations surrounding complex transactions.

It is argued that although reciprocal or offsetting arrangements are a normal aspect of commercial transacting, the operation of certain offsets schemes namely mandatory offsets obligations, may inhibit the buyer's flexibility in negotiating deals and result in inefficient procurement. This leads us to ask why these offsets schemes have persisted for so long.     

RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT: TRENDS IN COST AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS FOR UK AEROSPACE

This paper, intended to stimulate debate, suggests that we are at a turning point in the history of the UK military aerospace industry. It argues that there is urgent need for a fresh vision as to how the UK military aerospace industry can both prosper and make its maximum contribution to the defence of Britain. Further, the resulting plans and policies must emphasise the robustness of defence capabilities in a future in which the only thing we can be certain is that it will be very different from the present – especially whenever defence most matters.