The effects of model parameter deviations on the variance of a linearly filtered time series

We consider a general linear filtering operation on an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series. The variance of the filter output, which is an important quantity in many applications, is not known with certainty because it depends on the true ARMA parameters. We derive an expression for the sensitivity (i.e., the partial derivative) of the output variance with respect to deviations in the model parameters. The results provide insight into the robustness of many common statistical methods that are based on linear filtering and also yield approximate confidence intervals for the output variance. We discuss applications to time series forecasting, statistical process control, and automatic feedback control of industrial processes. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

基于层间嵌入式多级支持向量机的特征选择

针对多故障样本一次性映射之后分类不理想,研究了多级层次式支持向量机,应用UCI数据仿真,结果表明该方法缩短了训练时间、提升了测试准确率、改善了样本的可分类性。由于误差积累,在此基础上,提出了层间嵌入式多级支持向量机,采用Abalone数据仿真,结果表明分类精度有所提高并减少了分类步骤。结合ReliefF算法,对制导设备的故障特征参数进行了选择。     

Fabrication of AA7005/TiB2-B4C surface composite by friction stir processing: Evaluation of ballistic behaviour

The present work aims to enhance the ballistic resistance of AA7005 alloy by incorporating the TiB₂ and B₄C ceramic reinforcement particles. Surface composites with different weight fractions of TiB₂ and B₄C particles were processed by friction stir processing. Micro-hardness and depth of penetration tests were carried out to evaluate the ballistic properties of the surface composites. The surface hardness of the composite was found to be nearly 70 HV higher than base alloy. The depth of penetration of the steel projectile was 20–26 mm in the composites as compared to 37 mm in the base alloy. Ballistic mass efficiency factor of the surface composite was found to be 1.6 times higher than base alloy. This is mainly attributed to the dispersion strengthening from the reinforcement particles.     

GPS时分二进制偏移载波调制信号的高精度无偏抗多径算法

二进制偏移载波调制信号将在卫星导航系统中得到广泛应用。全球定位系统的L1C信号导频分量采用了时分二进制偏移载波调制,对此信号直接采用码参考波形算法消除多径时的鉴别曲线收敛点存在偏差,从而影响测距偏差。因此,提出一种时分二进制偏移载波调制信号的高精度无偏抗多径算法。通过时分的方式分别生成针对BOC(1,1)和BOC(6,1)分量的本地闸波,以保证鉴相函数在码相位无偏差时等于0。由于更好地利用了BOC(6,1)信号分量,该技术在实现无偏跟踪的同时,还能提高跟踪精度。     

磁探针位置及角度偏移对电磁发射过程测试的影响

简化电磁发射装置中的导轨和电枢为线电流下的直导体,建立发射装置的物理模型。利用毕奥-萨伐尔定律和感应电动势原理,推导出磁探针线圈中心放置点的磁感强度。假设线圈范围内的磁场为均匀磁场,计算得到磁探针线圈产生的电动势。以此设计测量所用的磁探针,并和测试数据对比验证模型的正确性。在多次试验中发现,发射过程中装置振动导致磁探针距离变化和角度偏转问题。测量并分析三组单次发射中的故障测试状态。仿真和实验数据表明:小范围距离变化没有使磁探针的测试性能失效,但角度偏移对下一步的速度拟合带来误差干扰,且随着角度增大拟合速度逐步减小。     

The building evacuation problem with shared information

In this article, the Building Evacuation Problem with Shared Information (BEPSI) is formulated as a mixed integer linear program, where the objective is to determine the set of routes along which to send evacuees (supply) from multiple locations throughout a building (sources) to the exits (sinks) such that the total time until all evacuees reach the exits is minimized. The formulation explicitly incorporates the constraints of shared information in providing online instructions to evacuees, ensuring that evacuees departing from an intermediate or source location at a mutual point in time receive common instructions. Arc travel time and capacity, as well as supply at the nodes, are permitted to vary with time and capacity is assumed to be recaptured over time. The BEPSI is shown to be NP‐hard. An exact technique based on Benders decomposition is proposed for its solution. Computational results from numerical experiments on a real‐world network representing a four‐story building are given. Results of experiments employing Benders cuts generated in solving a given problem instance as initial cuts in addressing an updated problem instance are also provided. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

天地预警系统与机敏传感信息网

建立高效的天地预警系统对于赢得现代立体战争的胜利有着极其重要的意义。探讨了天地预警系统与机敏传感信息网 (Sm art Sensor Web)的构成 ,结合我国的部分研究现状 ,较详细地阐述了设计与构造天地预警系统所需解决的若干关键技术问题。     

热塑性互穿聚合物网络研究综述

概述了热塑性互穿聚合物网络（ＴＩＰＮ）的研究进展及其结构特点、制各方法和熔体的流动性,并对ＴＩＰＮ的前景作了简要的分析。     

基于 ∆TOA 和方位角测量辅以间歇高度信息的双基地定位跟踪技术

本文讨论了双基地雷达系统中一种以收站△TOA和方位角测量为基础并辅以发射站传送的间歇高度信息的运动目标三维定位跟踪算法,详细分析了该技术的定位原理。在电子对抗条件下,发射站数据往往难以连续传送到接收站加以融合,因此有必要对间断传送的数据加以利用的方法进行研究。本文通过典型目标航迹的计算机仿真对该算法的性能做了评估。由于这种融合方法在双基地研究领域尚属初探,因此有待于在今后的研究中加以完善。     

基于Digital UNIX平台的实时数字引导实现方法

根据导弹飞行试验任务中对测控设备进行数字引导的实际需求,介绍了数字引导在飞行试验任务中的作用和基于Digital UNIX平台实现对测控设备数字引导的原理,从确保数字引导实时性、引导数据可靠性、引导外推点确定及修正引导方法四个方面介绍实现数字引导的关键技术,为导弹飞行试验任务中确保测量设备及时捕获和跟踪目标,成功地实现数字引导提供了实用的实现方法。