Weibull型产品的可靠性验证

讨论了Weibull型产品的可靠性验证问题 ,首先分析了Weibull型产品分布参数的无信息验前分布问题 ,利用验前信息可以得到分布参数的验前概率密度函数 ,进而分析了产品的可靠性验证问题 ,顾及了使用方利益和生产方利益。仿真算例表明 ,使用方利益和生产方利益是相互折衷的。     

雷达测速中的 Robust 技术

精确测定初速仍然是弹道测量最重要的任务之一。现代多卜勒雷达尽管很实用,但对于处理实际数据还存在许多缺陷。本文运用Robust估计的现代统计法,通过改进原某测速雷达中的数据处理部分,达到即使在最不利的条件下也可以计算出其精度能估计的初速度。使用同一方法还可以确定阻力系数。实验结果证实了这些结论。     

贝叶斯在装备技术实验结果信息解释决策中的应用

针对目前不能对装备技术实验结果信息进行有效解释,将贝叶斯决策方法引入到装备技术实验的结果信息分析当中,克服由于实验本身性质及主观因素造成的实验结果信息具有“欺骗”性的弊端.基于贝叶斯基本理论及相关研究成果.分析贝叶斯决策在装备技术实验中的应用目的和应用步骤并给出了应用实例,为提高相关人员正确决策提供了科学方法.     

贝叶斯网络推理在信息系统安全风险评估中的应用

提出了一种基于贝叶斯网络推理的安全风险评估方法。从实际出发建立信息系统的贝叶斯网络模型,根据专家给出的先验信息,结合获得的证据信息,运用Pearl方法完成对模型的评估,给出在特定条件下模型的计算——线性推理算法。最后,以实例分析信息系统安全评估的实现过程,结果表明,该方法可行、有效。     

On optimality of one‐bug‐look‐ahead policies for a software testing model

The optimality of the One‐Bug‐Look‐Ahead (OLA) software release policy proposed by Morali and Soyer ( 15 ) is re‐examined in this paper. A counterexample is constructed to show that OLA is not optimal in general. The optimal stopping approach is then called upon to prove that OLA possesses weaker sense of optimality under conditional monotonicity and the strong sense of optimality holds under a more restrictive sample‐wise monotonicity condition. The NTDS data are analyzed for illustration, and OLA is shown to be robust with respect to model parameters. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007.     

杂波环境下机动目标跟踪的分布式估计算法

本文考虑了杂波环境下机动目标的多雷达跟踪问题，提出了一种分布式联合估计算法。子站独立于总站，并单独跟踪，把当地估计结果周期地传送给总站，由总站进行合并，得出基于所有子站量测的全局估计。数字仿真表明，分布式联合、估计算法在各种性能指标上都优于单站跟踪算法。     

MIMO-OFDM系统Turbo接收机中的信道估计器

设计了一种新的MIMO-OFDM系统Turbo接收机中的信道估计器.考虑了信道估计误差对编码比特外信息计算的影响,利用软球形译码器的搜索列表和解码器反馈的先验信息对传统EM信道估计中的软信息近似处理进行了修正,获得了更为准确的软符号统计信息用于信道估计,提出了考虑软符号互相关性的Bayesian EM(BEM)信道估计算法.仿真结果表明,新算法较传统EM算法具有更低的误码率和更小的估计均方误差值.     

Bayesian enhanced decision making for deteriorating repairable systems with preventive maintenance

Since a system and its components usually deteriorate with age, preventive maintenance (PM) is often performed to restore or keep the function of a system in a good state. Furthermore, PM is capable of improving the health condition of the system and thus prolongs its effective age. There has been a vast amount of research to find optimal PM policies for deteriorating repairable systems. However, such decisions involve numerous uncertainties and the analyses are typically difficult to perform because of the scarcity of data. It is therefore important to make use of all information in an efficient way. In this article, a Bayesian decision model is developed to determine the optimal number of PM actions for systems which are maintained according to a periodic PM policy. A non‐homogeneous Poisson process with a power law failure intensity is used to describe the deteriorating behavior of the repairable system. It is assumed that the status of the system after a PM is somewhere between as good as new for a perfect repair and as good as old for a minimal repair, and for failures between two preventive maintenances, the system undergoes minimal repairs. Finally, a numerical example is given and the results of the proposed approach are discussed after performing sensitivity analysis. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于采样的非线性滤波方法

在系统阐述贝叶斯估计理论的基础上,分析和总结了扩展卡尔曼滤波、Sigma点卡尔曼滤波以及粒子滤波等方法的特点、使用条件以及局限性.介绍了扩展卡尔曼滤波方法并指出其缺陷;介绍了无轨迹卡尔曼滤波、中心差分卡尔曼滤波等确定性采样方法,并在加权统计线性回归意义下将其归结为Sigma点卡尔曼滤波方法;介绍了随机采样方法-粒子滤波方法,并指出其主要的研究方向.最后,对非线性滤波的发展趋势进行了展望.     

MIMO-OFDM最优训练序列设计

推导得到了宽带 MIMO-OFDM 信道模型。在空间相关情况下推导了非盲信道估计的 Bayesian CRB及 Bayesian MMSE。利用 Bayesian CRB 准则对发送的训练序列进行了功率分配,而后利用一种线性规划的方法对带有保护带宽 MIMO-OFDM 训练符号进行子载波功率分配,并利用发端酉矩阵进行最优相位设计。