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371.
    
This paper analyses the statistical distribution of war sizes. Using a new methodology we find moderate support for a Pareto-type distribution (power law), considering data from different sources (COW and UCDP) and periods. A power law is a plausible model for the size distribution of a pool of all wars and a sample of wars in many years, although the log-normal distribution is a plausible alternative model that we cannot reject. The random growth of conflicts could generate both types of distribution. We study the growth rates of battle deaths and random growth cannot be rejected for most of the distribution, although the results also reveal a clear decreasing pattern; the growth of deaths declines faster if the number of initial deaths is greater.  相似文献   
372.
为从协议不相关角度提取未知协议比特流的特征值,分别从比特流中的比特0和1的频数、连续比特0和1的出现频率、固定长度分块内的比特0和1的比特频数、比特流0和1的随机游动最大偏移以及比特流0和1进行傅里叶变换后的峰值高度出发,定义了码元频数统计特征值、游程统计特征值、块内频数统计特征值、累加和统计特征值以及离散傅里叶变换统计特征值作为比特流特征向量参数.在HTTP、DNS、ICMP及TELNET数据集上的实验结果表明:采用本方法获得的未知协议比特流特征参数具有良好的可区分性,为进一步实现未知协议比特流聚类奠定了基础.  相似文献   
373.
    
As a generalization of k‐out‐of‐n:F and consecutive k‐out‐of‐n:F systems, the consecutive k‐within‐m‐out‐of‐n:F system consists of n linearly ordered components such that the system fails iff there are m consecutive components which include among them at least k failed components. In this article, the reliability properties of consecutive k‐within‐m‐out‐of‐n:F systems with exchangeable components are studied. The bounds and approximations for the survival function are provided. A Monte Carlo estimator of system signature is obtained and used to approximate survival function. The results are illustrated and numerics are provided for an exchangeable multivariate Pareto distribution. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2009  相似文献   
374.
    
In this article, a mixture of Type‐I censoring and Type‐II progressive censoring schemes, called an adaptive Type‐II progressive censoring scheme, is introduced for life testing or reliability experiments. For this censoring scheme, the effective sample size m is fixed in advance, and the progressive censoring scheme is provided but the number of items progressively removed from the experiment upon failure may change during the experiment. If the experimental time exceeds a prefixed time T but the number of observed failures does not reach m, we terminate the experiment as soon as possible by adjusting the number of items progressively removed from the experiment upon failure. Computational formulae for the expected total test time are provided. Point and interval estimation of the failure rate for exponentially distributed failure times are discussed for this censoring scheme. The various methods are compared using Monte Carlo simulation. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009  相似文献   
375.
从网络科学的科学的观点出发对指挥信息系统拓扑模型进行研究,建立了指挥关系网络拓扑模型、通信网络拓扑模型,以及在两者基础上的指挥信息网络拓扑模型,分析了指挥信息网络的度分布特性,提出了描述指挥信息网络的特征参量,进行了针对指挥信息网络的体系破击仿真实验,得出了与战争实际相符的结论,为利用复杂网络知识研究信息化条件下的体系对抗进行了积极地尝试和探索。  相似文献   
376.
    
We propose a new method for making the inventory replenishment decisions in distribution systems. In particular, we consider distribution systems consisting of multiple retailers that face random demand and a warehouse that supplies the retailers. The method that we propose is based on formulating the distribution problem as a dynamic program, and relaxing the constraints that ensure the nonnegativity of the shipments to the retailers, by associating Lagrange multipliers with them. We show that our method provides lower bounds on the value functions, and a good set of values for the Lagrange multipliers can be obtained by maximizing a concave function in a relatively straightforward manner. Computational experiments indicate that our method can provide significant improvements over the traditional approaches for making the inventory replenishment decisions, in terms of both the tightness of the lower bounds on the value functions and the performance of the policies. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008  相似文献   
377.
    
In this article, we study generalizations of some of the inventory models with nonlinear costs considered by Rosling in (Oper. Res. 50 (2002) 797–809). In particular, we extend the study of both the periodic review and the compound renewal demand processes from a constant lead time to a random lead time. We find that the quasiconvexity properties of the cost function (and therefore the existence of optimal (s, S) policies), holds true when the lead time has suitable log‐concavity properties. The results are derived by structural properties of renewal delayed processes stopped at an independent random time and by the study of log‐concavity properties of compound distributions. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 345–356, 2015  相似文献   
378.
    
Populations of many types of component are heterogeneous and often consist of a small number of different subpopulations. This is called a mixture and it arises in a number of situations. For example, a majority of products in industrial populations are mixtures of defective items with shorter lifetimes and standard items with longer lifetimes. It is a well‐known result that distributions with decreasing failure rates are closed under mixture. However, mixtures of distributions with increasing failure rates are not easily classifiable. If the subpopulations involved in the mixture have increasing failure rates, there might be some upward movement in the mixture and later a general downward pull towards the strongest component. Little work has been done in describing the shape of mixture failure rates when all subpopulations do not have decreasing failure rate. In this paper, we present general results that describe the shape and behavior of a failure rate of a mixture obtained from two Weibull subpopulations with strictly increasing failure rates. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004  相似文献   
379.
根据先进战斗机的技术特点和未来中远距协同空战发展方向,提出一种基于先敌发现、先敌发射、先敌摧毁能力的空战态势分析模型。同时,采用一种将并行遗传算法与分布估计算法相结合的并行分布遗传算法并将其用于多目标攻击决策。最后利用具体算例进行仿真。结果表明空战态势分析模型能够较为准确地描述未来中远距多机协同空战,采用的算法具有较好的可行性和实时性,为中远距多机协同空战的多目标攻击决策提供了新的思路和方法。  相似文献   
380.
红外成像仿真的关键环节在于红外图像的生成,反舰导弹的红外图像生成是重要的研究内容,具有重要的军事意义。基于理论分析和计算机技术提出了导弹目标红外图像生成的方法,根据红外物理学、空气动力学以及传热学等基本理论,建立导弹目标的红外理论模型,计算出蒙皮、尾喷管和尾喷焰等重点辐射区域的温度场和辐射场,利用灰度等级描述红外辐射信息,经过建模、视点变换、环境设置等一系列处理并渲染生成红外图像。实验结果证明,红外图像生成方法可行,结果可信。  相似文献   
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