MEFP智能雷攻击坦克毁伤效能分析

以智能雷为研究对象,在建立智能雷扫描运动模型和命中毁伤模型的基础上,分析了MEFP智能雷攻击坦克的毁伤效能.通过建立攻击过程的蒙特卡洛模型,编制了智能雷攻击坦克目标的计算机仿真软件,计算了MEFP智能雷发射不同数目的EFP对坦克目标的毁伤概率.结果表明:MEFP智能雷攻击坦克目标的毁伤效能较高,可应用于对付大规模坦克装甲车辆的进攻和武装直升飞机的攻击.     

Experimental and numerical study of the fragmentation of expanding warhead casings by using different numerical codes and solution techniques

There has been increasing interest in numerical simulations of fragmentation of expanding warheads in 3D. Accordingly there is a pressure on developers of leading commercial codes, such as LS-DYNA, AUTODYN and IMPETUS Afea, to implement the reliable fracture models and the efficient solution techniques. The applicability of the Johnson–Cook strength and fracture model is evaluated by comparing the fracture behaviour of an expanding steel casing of a warhead with experiments. The numerical codes and different numerical solution techniques, such as Eulerian, Lagrangian, Smooth particle hydrodynamics (SPH), and the corpuscular models recently implemented in IMPETUS Afea are compared. For the same solution techniques and material models we find that the codes give similar results. The SPH technique and the corpuscular technique are superior to the Eulerian technique and the Lagrangian technique (with erosion) when it is applied to materials that have fluid like behaviour such as the explosive and the tracer. The Eulerian technique gives much larger calculation time and both the Lagrangian and Eulerian techniques seem to give less agreement with our measurements. To more correctly simulate the fracture behaviours of the expanding steel casing, we applied that ductility decreases with strain rate. The phenomena may be explained by the realization of adiabatic shear bands. An implemented node splitting algorithm in IMPETUS Afea seems very promising.     

导弹目标识别的最小贝叶斯风险分类器

在贝叶斯决策理论的基础上,通过划分目标特性空间的方法,推导了目标分类问题的总风险表达式.并根据导弹目标识别的特点,建立了导弹目标识别的最小贝叶斯风险模型,给出了基于风险分析的导弹目标识别的具体实现方法.最后,依据导弹目标的实际情况给出了仿真参数并进行了仿真试验,试验结果证明了本方法的有效性.     

子母弹抛撒半径对机场毁伤效果影响分析

首先阐述了机场目标在未来战争中的地位与作用 ,在对机场目标及其子目标分析的基础上 ,建立了炮道失效率的计算模型。利用蒙卡模拟的方法重点研究了子母弹抛撒半径对机场毁伤效果的影响 ,并摸索了一些规律     

杀爆弹对主战坦克毁伤评估仿真

在全面分析杀爆弹对主战坦克毁伤效应的基础上，针对冲击波和破片对坦克外部件的毁伤，利用计算机仿真方法进行杀爆弹对主战坦克毁伤评估。利用射击线技术构建了杀爆弹对主战坦克毁伤评估模型；基于蒙特卡洛随机模拟试验法，开发了计算程序，进行了以破片杀伤为主的杀爆弹对主战坦克毁伤效应仿真评估，得到了车体命中破片数随炸点坐标变化规律，以及坦克整体毁伤概率随杀爆弹终点速度变化规律。研究结果为主战坦克目标易损性分析与毁伤评估提供了重要参考。     

防空导弹飞行试验的引战配合性能分析方法

提出了一种对防空导弹的引战配合性能进行量化评价的方法。利用飞行试验数据对导弹目标交会及战斗部杀伤目标过程进行了仿真。     

导弹引战配合设计与验证

引战配合设计是导弹总体设计的重要内容之一 ,引战配合设计涉及到导弹和武器系统的多种参数 ,在导弹方面主要是引信和战斗部的总体参数 ;在系统方面主要是交会参数 ,如导弹速度、弹目交会状态 ;就目标方面主要是目标速度和目标几何尺寸等。引信和战斗部的总体指标选定以后 ,一般不再改变 ,交会参数和目标参数对引战配合设计是客观的输入参数 ,一般由理论弹道计算给出 ,在地面条件下 (靶试前 ) ,对引战配合设计的修正和验证工作主要体现在启动区的获得验证方面     

Between the Cracks: Actor Fragmentation and Local Conflict Systems in the Libyan Civil War

Abstract

After nearly four years of civil war, Libya continues to be described as an ‘ungoverned space’ where the collapse of state institutions reignited tribal, political, religious and ideological tensions. These accounts, however, obscure Libya’s complex subnational governance, and the role of non-state armed groups in shaping the emerging political orders. By contrast, we contend that distinct subnational political orders have emerged in Libya since 2014 in which actors engage in state-making practices driven by local interests. Using empirical evidence to explore the activity of non-state armed groups during the Libyan civil conflict, we highlight that the local conflict environments in eastern, western and southern Libya provide specific incentives that shape the process of armed group splintering and patterns of violence. The findings demonstrate that claims to authority and notions of statehood extend far beyond the state whereby governance relations are negotiated between state and non-state actors. Conflict patterns, (in)stability and the prevailing political order are therefore conditional on the nature of the dominant actor, their strategies and modes of violence within their areas of influence. Through this analysis, the paper provides a more granular understanding of the local political dynamics that drive violence in Libya and civil wars more generally.