消防管理监督机制新设计

本文探讨了市场经济下的消防管理监督机制的设计,用博弃理论构造了一个消防管理监督模型。提出了新时期消防管理监督应以防火检查和经济惩罚相结合的监管机制。     

Comparable deterrence – target,criteria and purpose

The last decade has seen several advances in the study of deterrence. These advances have sparked some strong disagreements regarding interpretation of the models and what their contributions signify. This paper appraises the discussions from a model theoretic perspective. It is argued that when comparing rivalling models three aspects; (i) target, (ii) criteria and (iii) type of purpose should be taken into account in order to make a proper appraisal. Informed by these aspects it is evident that the three deterrence models analysed address different aspects, in different ways and to different ends. From this perspective, the so-called Perfect Deterrence model must be recognised as a clear advancement in the research field. Model comparison will always be context relative and a plurality of models should be viewed favourably.     

基于BPAF判决的决策层目标属性融合研究

在D-S证据理论框架下,研究了基于目标基本概率赋值(BPAF)判决的决策层目标属性融合问题。简要介绍了D-S证据组合理论框架,阐述了基于BPAF判决的决策层目标属性融合策略、步骤;分析了证据严重冲突时,Dempster证据组合规则不合理的本质原因;提出必须对D-S证据组合规则进行改善等需要继续深入探讨的几个问题。     

讲授《马克思主义哲学原理》课的几点思考

激发学生学习《马克思主义哲学原理》的兴趣,调动学生积极性,改进教学效果应做到:一结合历史、联系现实;二借助电教多媒体;三构建知识网络框架;四是运用互动式教学。     

卫星对地观测任务全周期规划模型

为解决应急条件下卫星对地观测任务时间紧迫的问题,从卫星执行对地观测任务的全过程出发,提出了卫星对地观测任务全周期规划模型,综合考虑卫星完成任务的各个阶段,缩短整个任务的执行时间,使其满足应急条件下的时间需求。采用启发式算法求解,并研究了基于冲突队列的解的调整优化策略。实验验证所提的模型和算法能够较好地解决卫星对地观测任务规划问题,在时间紧迫的条件下与传统的各阶段的独立任务规划相比,能够提高任务的完成率,具有实际的应用价值。     

基于估计协方差MME检测的频谱感知算法

针对小采样数据长度下,采样协方差矩阵对统计协方差矩阵估计不准,影响传统最大最小特征值(MME)检测算法检测性能的问题,提出一种基于逼近收缩(OAS)矩阵估计的改进MME检测算法。首先利用OAS估计量对采样数据做协方差矩阵估计,再对估计协方差矩阵特征值分解,将最大最小特征值之比作为检测统计量,克服了传统MME算法检测门限随采样点大幅波动的缺陷,提高了检测门限的鲁棒性。仿真结果表明,所提算法的检测门限具有鲁棒性,检测性能提高了1 d B~2 d B。     

How do wars end? A multidisciplinary enquiry

ABSTRACT

The cessation of military confrontations rarely coincides with the end of war. Legal and political matters continue after the last shot has been fired, civilians driven from their homes try to rebuild their houses and their lives, veterans need to adapt to their new role in civil society, and the struggle to define the history and the significance of past events only begins. In recent years, in particular, the changes in the character of contemporary warfare have created uncertainties across different disciplines about how to identify and conceptualise the end of war. It is therefore an opportune moment to examine how wars end from a multidisciplinary perspective that combines enquiries into the politics of war, the laws of war and the military and intellectual history of war. This approach enables both an understanding of how ‘the end’ as a concept informs the understanding of war in international relations, in international law and in history and a reconsideration of the nature of scientific method in the field of war studies as such.     

分布式多域监控系统组织模型

在分析应急通信系统特点及现有监控技术基础上,提出一种分布式多域监控组织模型,该模型具有扩展性好、高可靠性等特点,减小了网络时延,提高了系统吞吐率.并在此组织模型基础上提出了基于ART2神经网络模型的自适应域首选举方法,提高了域首选举的稳定性,减少了域首选举带来的网络开销,对系统的可靠性提供了保证.     

POLITICAL SCIENCE,COMING IN FROM THE COLD

Forecasting Nuclear Proliferation in the 21st Century: The Role of Theory (vol. 1, 312 pages, $24.95) and A Comparative Perspective (vol. 2, 488 pages, $24.95), edited by William C. Potter with Gaukhar Mukhatzhanova. Stanford University Press, 2010.     

A Criterion for Settling Inconsistencies in Clausewitz’s On War

On War’s unfinished state has been a source of difficulties for interpretation for 180 years. By establishing a hierarchy of revision among the parts, we propose a criterion that can bring any part of On War in line with the most advanced stage of Clausewitz’s thinking. We exemplify the utility, illustrate the underpinnings and appreciate the potential of this criterion. We argue that the criterion offers the prospect of a shared, coherent, fully consistent and faithful rendering of Clausewitz’s theory of war.