Approximations and empirics for stochastic war equations

The article develops a theorem which shows that the Lanchester linear war equations are not in general equal to the Kolmogorov linear war equations. The latter are time‐consuming to solve, and speed is important when a large number of simulations must be run to examine a large parameter space. Run times are provided, where time is a scarce factor in warfare. Four time efficient approximations are presented in the form of ordinary differential equations for the expected sizes and variances of each group, and the covariance, accounting for reinforcement and withdrawal of forces. The approximations are compared with “exact” Monte Carlo simulations and empirics from the WWII Ardennes campaign. The band spanned out by plus versus minus the incremented standard deviations captures some of the scatter in the empirics, but not all. With stochastically varying combat effectiveness coefficients, a substantial part of the scatter in the empirics is contained. The model is used to forecast possible futures. The implications of increasing the combat effectiveness coefficient governing the size of the Allied force, and injecting reinforcement to the German force during the Campaign, are evaluated, with variance assessments. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.     

基于模糊时间Petri网的决策融合模型及时间推理

针对常规导弹旅作战指挥决策过程中伴随大量随机、并发情况的特点,提出利用线性逻辑给出的模糊时间Petri网来描述作战指挥决策融合过程。通过建立相应的FTPN模型,并利用时间推理的方法来分析模糊时间Petri网的运行行为,说明其在作战指挥决策融合中的应用。     

非定常超音速流动数值计算方法比较

为适用于非定常流场计算 ,在保证时、空二阶精度的前提下 ,通过引入变系数残值光顺技术 ,提高了四步Runge Kutta方法的计算效率 ;并针对球锥简谐振动过程 ,数值比较Runge Kutta多步法和“双时间法”的计算精度。     

三对角方程组的分布式SPP算法

发展了单向并行分裂法(SPP)用于求解三对角和块三对角线性方程组,算法考虑了三对角线性系统求解中文件IO及结果传输通信所占时间比例较大的特点,充分利用了计算、文件IO与通信三者之间的重叠。分析了SPP算法的计算与通信开销。在工作站机群上进行了测试分析,结果表明SPP算法适合于分布式计算     

基于线性四分树描述的图像块邻域寻找的快速方法

线性四分树将物体区域表示为组成物体区域的四分块的位置码的集合。本文通过分析位置码属性,归纳出了图像四分块相邻的充要条件,并给出了相应的寻找图像块邻域的算法。该方法简单明了,便于计算机实现。     

求解整数规划问题的一个搜索方法

本文整数规划问题给出一种搜索方法,它类似于求解连续变量优化问题的迭代方法,从一个好的初始可行解出发,寻找一个搜索方向,沿着这个方向求出改进的可行解,然后又开始下一次迭代。此方法简单易行,可以求出问题的最优解或近似最优解,对于整数线性规划问题和整数非线性规划问题的求解都适用,并且容易推广到求解大规校整数线性规划问题。文中附有计算例子,说明方法是有效的。     

正扰动下一类RN上临界增长的椭圆型方程的正解的存在性

本文讨论了如下方程:并得到了它的正解的存在性,其中g(x,U)为U~(P-1)的低阶扰动。它是文[1]的继续。     

Applying Lanchester's linear law to model the Ardennes campaign

In modern warfare, many believe the decisive factor in winning a battle is seizing the right moment to shift from defense to attack, or vice versa. This paper attempts to bring that perspective to Lanchester's differential equations of warfare, and continues the application of Lanchester's linear law to the analysis of the World War II battle of Ardennes, as reported in earlier issues of Naval Research Logistics by Bracken and by Fricker. A new variable, shift time, accounting for the timing of the shift between defense and attack is explicitly included in our version of the model, and it helps obtain improved goodness of fit to historical data. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48:653–661, 2001     

初始先验分布未知条件下的DLMR及其Bayes预测

讨论了具有无信息初始先验分布的矩阵变量动态线性模型 (简记为DLMR)及其Bayes预测 ,利用MDIP方法 ,就尺度方差阵∑已知和未知两种情况 ,分别给出模拟初始状态参数(θ1 |D0 )和 (θ1 ,∑ |D0 )的无信息先验分布 ,进而给出其Bayes预测。     

大气层内滚转角速度稳定动能拦截器姿态控制系统设计

针对大气层内滚转角速度稳定动能拦截器具有反应快速、耦合性强等特点,本文首先分析了传统的小扰动法设计姿控系统的优缺点,然后提出了基于极点区域配置的变增益控制系统设计方法。该方法通过在整个参数空间寻求单一李亚普诺夫函数来保证系统的全局稳定,与小扰法相比,它不仅可保证理论上的稳定,而且离散计算量小。最后的仿真表明,基于该方法设计的控制器具有良好的控制性能。