Escalation and de-escalation of violence in insurgencies: Insights from Northeast India

Insurgencies in the Northeast of India have been a recurring phenomenon since India's independence in 1947. One of the most significant aspects of the multiple insurgencies has been the use of violence for political goals. By drawing upon three cases of insurgencies in Northeast India, the article offers a conceptual framework on escalation and de-escalation of violence in insurgencies. The article argues that the most critical variables which have a direct bearing on the levels of insurgent violence are: popular support, loss of legitimacy and the state's counter-response.     

A lost work of El Lobo: Lieutenant-Colonel Charles T.R. Bohannan's unpublished study of guerrilla warfare and counterinsurgency in the Philippines, 1899–1955

Charles Ted Rutledge Bohannan (1914–1982) became an integral agent of US counterinsurgency operations during the early Cold War, contributing to both the success of the COIN effort to defeat the communist Huk insurgents in the Philippines and the stalled COIN efforts in Vietnam. In the early 1960s, he wrote a short and compact analysis of the US and Filipino experience of guerrilla warfare, from the Philippine–American war until the defeat of the Huk Rebellion. It was never published. Reprinted here, Bohannan's analysis of lessons learned makes a substantial contribution to the history of American ideas of unconventional warfare by an expert who contributed these lessons to the successful defeat of an insurgency in South East Asia.     

Performance of Greek–Roman Artillery

Abstract

The main throwing machines invented and used by the Greeks and adopted, more widely, by Roman armies are examined. The kinematics and dynamics of both light and heavy Greek–Roman artillery are used in order to accurately assess its performance. Thus, a better understanding is obtained of the tactics and strategies of the legions of the Roman Empire as well as the reasons for some brilliant campaigns. Reconstructions of a repeating catapult, considered to be the ancestor of the modern machine gun, are also presented. The development of the mechanical design of such machines is discussed and pictorial reconstructions proposed.     

检查搜索时舰艇编队匀速搜潜与跳跃式搜潜比较

在分析水面舰艇编队使用拖曳式线列阵声纳匀速搜潜和“跳跃式”搜潜过程的基础上,对仿真环境进行假设,并建立了水面舰艇搜潜蒙特卡洛法模型,通过仿真试验,对其在一定条件下检查搜潜时匀速搜索与跳跃式搜索效能进行研究,得出的相关结论对提高水面舰艇反潜作战运用水平具有较大的实际应用价值.     

水面舰艇编队反潜作战仿真模型组件化研究

针对目前编队反潜作战仿真领域中模型利用效率和可重用性较低的现状,提出并建立了基于组件技术的编队反潜仿真模型体系结构,依据编队反潜作战实际物理过程对编队反潜作战仿真模型体系进行了组件化层次结构划分和作战仿真模型组件设计,按照J2EE/EJB体系结构,完成了系统配置和不同类型组件及组件间信息交互接口设计,并对仿真系统进行了实现.结果证明该方法能有效提高模型可重用性并提高系统仿真运行效率.     

“协同制导通道”基本概念及其应用分析

舰艇编队协同反导作战,是海上网络中心作战的典型样式.针对舰艇编队网络化协同反导作战装备体系特殊性,提出了“协同制导通道”基本概念和数学表示方法,并对基于协同制导通道分配方法运用于网络化反导作战条件下武器资源分配进行了研究.分析了单舰反导作战“武器目标分配”的局限性,网络化反导作战“弹-目匹配”新需求和“协同制导通道”的选择方法,为确定“协同制导通道”选择的最优化指标,提出选择“协同制导通道”优化算法奠定了基础.     

网络中心战条件下舰艇编队武器系统可靠度分析

利用可靠度模型对网络化条件下舰艇编队跨平台组织武器通道的可靠度进行了分析。分析表明,在网络中心战条件下舰艇编队武器系统的可靠度有了大幅度的提升。     

海战场舰艇反潜作战的优化配置研究

针对海战场舰艇反潜作战行动的特点,为增大反潜作战能力进行优化配置。在建立数学模型的基础上,以舰艇搜索突击群有效搜索带宽度为主要因素以及其他诸如概率参数的相关要素对反潜搜索能力进行优化配置,从而获得最大反潜搜索能力和最佳作战行动效果。该方法可以较好地为海战场作战行动的模拟仿真和实际应用提供理论依据和决策参考。     

MGIS技术在海军信息战中的应用*

针对军事地理信息系统(Military Geographic Information System,MGIS)在世界海军信息化作战中的重要作用及其研究现状,给出了MGIS的概念、信息流程和系统主要组成,详细阐述了MGIS在海军作战中的主要功能及其实现技术,系统论述了MGIS在海军信息化作战中的应用。最后总结了MGIS技术研究的重要意义。     

毛泽东对抗日战争进程和结局的科学分析与预测——纪念七七卢沟桥事变70周年

今年是七七卢沟桥事变70周年。70年前,在国难当头,民族危亡之时,中国共产党带领全国人民浴血奋战。毛泽东以他伟大的军事家的远见卓识,在延安窑洞的灯光下运筹帷幄,奋笔疾书,谱写了一篇篇闪光的抗战军事著作。在这些著作中,毛泽东深刻地分析、科学地预测了抗日战争的进程和最终的战局。正是这些英明正确的军事理论指引着中国人民夺取了抗日战争的伟大胜利。今天,处在和平发展时期的每一位中国人都应重温历史,勿忘国耻,珍爱和平,开创未来。