防空导弹发动机的模态分析

对某型号防空导弹发动机结构的固有特性进行了较为系统的研究,分别从理论计算和试验测试２ 个方面进行了分析,并在这２ 种分析的基础上对它们进行了比较。初步确定了发动机的固有模态,为今后防空导弹发动机乃至导弹结构动力响应分析提供参考依据,为今后开展进一步的结构动力学研究提供模型基础。     

中远程战术导弹预测命中点的计算

探讨了如何根据被动段反战术弹道导弹运动状态来计算其弹道根轨道参数和预测命中点的一般方法。     

一种齿轮箱振动控制方法

从机械结构的振动控制理论出发 ,提出了一种齿轮箱振动控制方法 ,研究并讨论几种齿轮箱箱体以及齿轮本体的结构参数对动态特性的影响 ,其结论可以为齿轮箱的振动设计提供参考依据     

基于均匀设计的临近空间无动力攻击器运动参数响应面建模

为探求临近空间无动力攻击器运动参数的解析模型，采用均匀设计试验方法，以攻击器发射参数为设计变量，从设计空间中选择一些特定的设计点，构造了临近空间攻击器速度、射程以及飞行时间的响应面模型。通过仿真算例，对各响应面模型分别进行显著性检验，证明了所建立的响应面都具有较高的近似精度。     

光子晶体光纤的空气孔膨胀和拉锥技术研究

光子晶体光纤的空气孔膨胀和拉锥技术是一种有效的改变光纤结构参数的技术手段.空气孔膨胀可以改变空气孔的填充比例,即改变空气孔直径和孔间距的大小,光纤拉锥可在保持空气孔直径和孔间距比例不变的情况下改变纤芯的大小.光子晶体光纤结构参数的可控性改变可实现一些特殊光子晶体光纤器件的制作,对进一步实现和挖掘光子晶体光纤的潜在应用价...     

9/11: WHAT DID WE KNOW AND WHEN DID WE KNOW IT?

In February 1998, Osama Bin Laden published a signed statement calling for a fatwa against the United States for its having ‘declared war against God’. As we now know, the fatwa resulted in the unprecedented attack of 9/11. The issue of whether or not 9/11 was in any way predictable culminated in the public debate between Richard Clarke, former CIA Director George Tenet and the White House. This paper examines whether there was any evidence of a structural change in the terrorism data at or after February 1998 but prior to June 2001, controlling for the possibility of other breaks in earlier periods. In doing so, we use the standard Bai–Perron procedure and our sequential importance sampling (SIS) Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for identifying an unknown number of breaks at unknown dates. We conclude that sophisticated statistical time‐series analysis would not have predicted 9/11.     

A LONG‐RUN ANALYSIS OF DEFENCE SPENDING IN THE NATO COUNTRIES (1960–99)

This paper analyses the long‐run demand for defence output through a homogeneous treatment of 15 NATO member countries between 1960 and 1999. We carry out a progressive study of the interactions between either defence spending or defence burden and their main determinants: income, external threat and allied military spending. To that end, we use time‐series analysis with endogenously determined structural breaks. We further consider individual country functions related to one another through a common correlated effects method, in order to take into account explicitly the connections between members of an alliance.     

A note on the causal relationship between defence spending and growth in Greece: 1955–93

The causal relationship between economic growth and defence spending has attracted considerable attention and has been the subject of many empirical studies. This paper investigates the existence of a causal link between military expenditure and economic growth in the case of Greece for the period 1955–93. By European Union standards, Greece allocates substantial human and material resources to defence. At the same time, Greece is the poorest European Union member facing chronic economic problems. Using the concept of Granger‐causality, the findings reported herein suggest that neither variable Granger‐causes the other disclosing thereof the absence of any causal ordering between them.     

Dissolution of an Empire: Insights from the İstanbul Bourse and the Ottoman War Bond

During the transformation period of the Ottoman Empire leading to the Republic of Turkey, many conflicts took place between 1918 and 1923. These conflicts interrupted the servicing of the Ottoman war bond. The reimbursement likelihood of this bond was related to the outcomes of First World War and the hostilities. This paper analyses the impacts of First World War and hostilities on the risk assessments regarding the Ottoman war debt, using manually collected data on the price of the Ottoman war bond traded at the ?stanbul bourse between 1918 and 1925. The empirical results imply that the defeat of the Bulgarian army and the peace offer of Austria-Hungary were associated with the increasing premium demanded by investors of the bond. The victories of the Turkish National Movement and the peace offer of the Allies to end the hostilities by 1922 positively affected the likelihood of the servicing of the debt.     

时间距离像消隐时弹头进动与结构参数估计

考虑弹道目标时间距离像存在消隐现象,提出了一种弹道目标微距离变化曲线断续时进动与结构参数提取方法。首先,建立了弹道中段目标宽带回波模型,推导了散射中心微距离变化曲线理论公式;其次,提取了时间距离像中各散射中心的微距离变化曲线,据此提出采用选点方法实现目标进动频率和平动参数联合估计,完成了弹道目标时间距离像的平动补偿;最后,利用扩展Hough变换方法进行补偿后断续微距离变化曲线的检测,基于各散射中心间的相对位置信息实现了弹道目标的结构参数提取。电磁仿真实验验证了该方法的有效性。