潜艇导弹武器系统攻击海上目标的等概率阵位图

从弹上系统及艇面火控系统精度入手,对各级海情下使用不同攻击方式时,潜艇在不同距离、不同舷角对中小目标导弹攻击的命中概率进行了计算,并绘制了等概率阵位图,从而解决了使用阵位图直接查找潜艇处于不同攻击方式、不同海情下,在不同距离、不同舷角时导弹的命中概率问题,为潜艇部队作战既提供了理论上的依据,又提供了一种直观简便的辅助决策手段。     

两种轰炸弹道快速积分算法的比较

利用数学仿真,测试了两种轰炸弹道快速积分方法：中国湖算法和极坐标算法,后者是西北工业大学（ＮＰＵ）开发的。对某型航弹的弹道诸元解算的结果表明,无论是精度还是实时计算量,后者都优于前者甚多。     

以发射质量最小为优化目标的反TBM拦截器优化研究

以反ＴＢＭ拦截器发射质量最小为优化目标,系统地研究了反ＴＢＭ拦截器总体优化技术,建立了反ＴＢＭ拦截器数学模型和优化算法,并得出重要结论。     

DSP实现坦克火控系统弹道微分方程数值算法

针对现役坦克火控系统弹道解算广泛采用的逼近法的缺点和不足,提出了改进后的弹道微分方程直接数值解算算法,以数字信号处理器(DSP)作为该算法的硬件实现环境进行了实验。结果表明,以DSP技术为基础的改进弹道微分方程解算算法解决了逼近法的不足。解算速度快,精度高。这说明该算法在坦克火控系统应用中具有良好的发展前景。     

Boost-glide Weapons and US-China Strategic Stability

ABSTRACT

The United States and China are testing boost-glide weapons, long-range strike systems capable of flying at Mach 5 or faster through the upper atmosphere. For the United States, these systems would provide a conventional prompt global strike capability, which, together with US ballistic missile defense programs, Chinese experts regard as a threat to China's ability to conduct nuclear retaliation. This perception is encouraging the Chinese military to modify its nuclear posture in ways that tend to create greater risks for both sides. If China's own boost-glide systems are meant to carry nuclear payloads only, their deployment would not fundamentally alter the current situation between the two states. However, if they were conventionally armed or dual-purpose, or if the United States could not determine the payloads they carried, the deployment of Chinese boost-glide systems could compound problems of strategic stability created by the introduction of ballistic missile defense, antisatellite, and antiship ballistic missile capabilities. If the technical hurdles can be overcome, it may be difficult for the two sides to refrain from these deployments in the absence of strong mutual trust or an established arms-control relationship. New confidence-building measures and expanded mutual transparency are warranted to avoid creating new dangers.     

气缸张开式尾翼弹气缸压力数值仿真研究

为研究气缸张开式尾翼工作原理,分析某型滑膛反坦克炮榴弹气缸充放气过程,建立尾翼弹在炮膛内的气缸压力模型,将其与炮弹底部气体压力、密度、温度等参量的变化规律相耦合,并对气缸压力模型进行可解性分析,得到一种求解气缸气体压力、密度等参数随时间变化的数值方法．     

基于多假设跟踪弹道导弹主动段跟踪算法

针对弹道导弹主动段防御中多枚弹道导弹同时跟踪问题,提出了基于多假设思想的主动段跟踪算法.重点阐述了该算法中假设生成、假设概率计算、假设约简以及假设剪枝等环节.从工程实用的角度出发,采用求解一个线性分配问题(LAP)方法得到M个最优假设,大大减少了假设数量,并运用N-scan回溯剪枝方法对假设进行剪枝,确定要输出的航迹,提高了算法的效率和实用性.仿真实验表明,该算法能够对主动段多枚弹道导弹目标准确关联跟踪.     

穿甲子弹偏心入射陶瓷/钢复合靶板试验

设计并进行了7.62mm穿甲子弹侵彻陶瓷/低碳钢复合靶板的弹道试验,得到了极限速度及陶瓷锥底部半径等数据。分析了锥底半径与入射速度、面板及背板厚度的关系,着重分析了偏心入射时靶板的抗弹机理。结果表明:陶瓷锥可分为破碎区和粉碎区,粉碎区半径约为面板厚度与弹丸半径之和;当弹着点距离陶瓷面板边缘大于5mm时,靶板的抗弹性能变化不大,而弹着点位于距陶瓷面板边缘小于5mm的板边区时,抗弹性能明显降低,靶板的有效防护面积应扣除板边区。     

弹道导弹防御系统对抗技术研究

介绍了国外导弹防御系统研制和部署过程中所考虑的进攻方可能采取的几种典型对抗措施,研究分析了对抗导弹防御系统的基本方法、技术和策略。通过使用大量诱饵或假目标、减弱弹头的雷达信号特征或红外特征、隐藏弹头的真实位置,以及进行弹头机动等一种或多种组合的对抗措施,可以有效对付那些使用外大气层碰撞杀伤拦截器的导弹防御系统。     

Is the Indian Nuclear Tiger Changing Its Stripes?

Sixteen years after stepping out of the nuclear closet, India's nuclear posture, some of its operational practices, and hardware developments are beginning to mimic those of the original five nuclear weapon states. Several proliferation scholars in the United States contend that India's national security managers are poised to repeat the worst mistakes of the superpowers’ Cold War nuclear competition, with negative consequences for deterrence, crisis, and stability in South Asia and the Asia-Pacific region. This article takes a contrarian view. It dissects the best available data to show why the alarmist view is overstated. It argues that not only are the alarmists’ claims unsupported by evidence, their interpretation of the skeletal and often contradictory data threatens to construct the very threat they prophesize.