不完备检测下视情维修的多级劣化系统性能评估

视情维修是改善多级劣化系统性能表现的重要措施,然而在实际中检测不完备问题会制约视情维修的有效开展,从而影响劣化系统性能评估结果。针对这一问题,将多级劣化系统检测维修马尔科夫链模型中的状态转移进行调整,建立其在不完备检测下进行视情维修的性能评估模型,给出系统性能参数的求解方法。实例验证表明:在实际工作中,虚警和漏检对于系统瞬态可用度的影响是随时间变化而不定的,但对于系统可靠度的影响则是确定的,即在任意时刻虚警提高系统可靠度,而漏检降低系统可靠度。     

Unpacking the various meanings of redundancy: from refining the concept to military planning

The authors engage in the debate over waste in military force structure planning by rigorously deconstructing the concept of “redundancy.” First, a typology of redundancy is constructed that provides a common framework for identifying variety among redundant structures. These are labeled “true redundancy,” “expanded capacity,” “portfolio diversification,” and “mission overlap.” Further, a number of mechanisms are identified that produce these types of structures, and show the conditions under which planners may utilize redundant structure in the search for optimization. In sum, the article provides refined concepts for analysts and planners to identify when redundancy is deleterious or beneficial.     

基于信息系统的作战指挥效能“嵌入式”评估策略

在分析基于信息系统的作战指挥效能评估特点的基础上,提出了"嵌入式"作战指挥效能评估策略;按照指挥实体、指挥活动、指挥效果3个层次,梳理了指挥主体效能、指挥信息系统效能、指挥活动效能和指挥对象任务效能4个方面的评估内容框架;根据评估活动与作战指挥活动"一体化"原理,设计了作战指挥效能评估在各个作战阶段的活动流程,并进一步提出了作战指挥效能评估工具"功能性嵌入"作战指挥信息系统的方法。     

基于直觉模糊推理的水声探测环境效能评估方法研究

针对海洋水声环境对声纳探测效能的评估问题,分析了影响声纳探测效能的海洋水声环境因素,建立了水声探测效能评估指标体系,研究了基于直觉模糊推理的水声探测环境效能评估方法。运用该方法对典型海洋水声环境下声纳探测效能进行评估,评估结果表明,该方法较好的反映声纳探测效能与海洋水声环境之间的模糊关系,评估结果更为科学可信。     

混合现实技术在军事训练中的应用优势——以美军综合训练环境为例

随着科技手段的进步,现代战争的作战样式不断发展。信息化条件下的作战对军事训练提出了更高要求,传统的训练方法与模式亟待改进。混合现实技术的应用开辟了军事训练新模式。这种针对数据的可视化集成运用以及在其基础上开发的训练系统,通过对数据的处理利用实现了军事训练效果的有效评估。本文以美国陆军综合训练环境这一混合现实技术在军事训练中的典型应用案例作为对象,分析概述了综合训练环境的世界地形、训练模拟软件及训练管理工具三大组成部分的功能特点、架构组成,并根据混合现实技术的发展状况探析综合训练环境的应用优势,以期为军队混合现实技术在军事训练中的应用提供一定借鉴。     

面向装备论证的大数据应用架构

本文围绕装备论证大数据的管理和应用,论述了装备论证大数据的基本概念和应用现状,探讨了大数据应用的重要意义,并结合实际应用需求构建了装备论证大数据应用总体框架,阐述了平台基础层、数据层、存储管理层、服务支撑层和应用层的内涵和组成,介绍了大数据应用框架遵循的标准规范体系、运维管理和安全管控措施。本研究着重分析了支撑装备论证大数据平台的通用服务和专用服务,阐述了各类服务的主要组成和基本功能,设想了装备论证大数据平台提供的装备评估研究、装备运用研究、装备仿真实验和装备数据信息查询等服务应用,分析了平台建设涉及的多源异构数据融合、装备大数据综合处理、多维数据可视化等关键技术。希冀该研究结果能够为装备论证大数据建设与应用研究提供一定理论支撑。     

Supercritical carbon dioxide as a new working medium for pneumatic launch: A theoretical study

Compared with the conventionally gaseous or liquid working media, the specific internal energy of supercritical carbon dioxide (SCD) is higher at the same temperature and pressure, and the critical temperature of carbon dioxide is close to room temperature, making SCD a potential new working medium for pneumatic launch. To analyze the feasibility of this conception, an analytical model of a pneumatic catapult is established on basis of the conservations of mass and energy. The model consists of a high-pressure chamber and a low-pressure chamber connected by multiple valves, and there is a movable piston in the low-pressure chamber that can push an aircraft to accelerate. The effects of the launch readiness state of SCD in the high-pressure chamber, the initial volume of the low-pressure chamber and the valve control on the movement of the aircraft are analyzed. It is found that there is a restrictive relation between the temperature and pressure of the launch readiness state of SCD, i.e., there is a maximum allowable launch readiness pressure when the launch readiness temperature is fixed. If this restrictive relation is not satisfied, the working medium in the low-pressure chamber will drop to its triple point within a few milliseconds, leading to a launch failure. Owing to this restrictive relation, there is an optimal launch readiness state of SCD with the highest working capacity for any allowable launch readiness temperature. The pressure of the low-pressure chamber will decrease significantly as the initial volume increases, leading to a decreased acceleration of the aircraft. The ac-celeration can be controlled below a critical value by a designed sequential blasting technique of multiple valves. The calculated results show that a 500 kg aircraft can be accelerated from 0 to 58 m/s in 0.9 s with 36 kg of carbon dioxide. This research provides a new technique for the controllable cold launch of an aircraft.     

A cooperative interference resource allocation method based on improved firefly algorithm

To deal with the radio frequency threat posed by modern complex radar networks to aircraft, we researched the unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) formations radar countermeasures, aiming at the solution of radar jamming resource allocation under system countermeasures. A jamming resource allocation method based on an improved firefly algorithm (FA) is proposed. Firstly, the comprehensive factors affecting the level of threat and interference efficiency of radiation source are quantified by a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. Besides, the interference efficiency matrix and the objective function of the allocation model are determined to establish the interference resource allocation model. Finally, A mutation operator and an adaptive heuristic are integtated into the FA algorithm, which searches an interference resource allocation scheme. The simulation results show that the improved FA algorithm can compensate for the deficiencies of the FA algorithm. The improved FA algorithm provides a more sci-entific and reasonable decision-making plan for aircraft mission allocation and can effectively deal with the battlefield threats of the enemy radar network. Moreover, in terms of convergence accuracy and speed as well as algorithm stability, the improved FA algorithm is superior to the simulated annealing algorithm (SA), the niche genetic algorithm (NGA), the improved discrete cuckoo algorithm (IDCS), the mutant firefly algorithm (MFA), the cuckoo search and fireflies algorithm (CSFA), and the best neighbor firefly algorithm (BNFA).     

巡航导弹攻击路径组的优化与评估

为保证对敌方目标实施多次有效攻击,巡航导弹攻击路径选择的关键在于寻找一组优化路径而不是一条优化路径(如果存在),既满足性能指标要求,又满足作战应用要求.在作战区域内任意两个匹配区之间飞行航迹已知(专题讨论)的情况下,就巡航导弹攻击路径组的优化与评估问题进行了探讨,分析了导弹作战运用要求和性能指标要求,建立了攻击路径组的优化与评估模型,计算结果表明:所给出优化与评估模型是可行的,能够满足巡航导弹实际作战要求.     

空袭数字化程度的评估模型

空袭兵器的迅速发展,使空袭样式随之改变,评估空袭的标准也悄然变化,数字化正成为未来空袭的主要特征.采用模糊数学方法对一次空袭的数字化程度进行评估,给出了一个可行、方便的算法.模型对空袭的数字化程度进行等级划分,并以北约空袭南联盟的实际战斗为例进行分析,证明模型是可行的.