电子干扰条件下基于攻击区指挥引导效能评估

针对传统指挥引导效能评估方法缺少对电子干扰因素定量分析的问题,在基于攻击区空战态势评估的基础上,提出了一种考虑电子干扰因素的超视距空战指挥引导效能评估模型。分析电子干扰对导弹攻击区的影响,从指挥引导目的态势分析入手,选取空战能力指数威胁函数和基于空空导弹攻击区的空战态势威胁函数两个指标,进行加权综合建立指挥引导效能评估函数,通过仿真计算验证了该模型的有效性。     

海战场联合火控系统发展研究

为提高基于信息系统的联合作战能力,从舰载火控系统的角度出发,提出了以海战场为主要作战区域的联合火控系统的发展构想,对海战场联合火控系统的基本概念、特点和组成进行了探讨研究,分析了其主要关键技术,最后给出了海战场联合火控系统的发展建议。     

远程巡航诱饵掩护作战效果建模研究

针对远程巡航诱饵掩护潜艇突破封锁作战中的掩护效果计算问题展开了研究。建立了衡量远程巡航诱饵掩护潜艇突破封锁效果的指标体系及各指标的量化计算数学模型,并结合具体案例对远程巡航诱饵掩护潜艇突破封锁作战的效果进行综合计算分析。结果表明,在远程巡航诱饵的掩护支援下,潜艇突破封锁的概率得到了明显的提高。     

基于量子双向RRT算法的多平台反舰导弹协同航路规划

针对反舰导弹航路规划面临的动态威胁环境和多平台协同打击问题,提出了一种基于量子双向RRT算法的反舰导弹协同航路规划方法。采用动态坐标设置动态威胁,实时地避开动态威胁;通过取预规划终点方法,实现对目标的时间和空间协同打击;结合量子进化思想,将RRT算法中的扩展方向量子化表示,提出了一种量子双向RRT算法,并应用于航路规划。仿真结果表明,该方法可有效规避动态威胁和解决多平台反舰导弹航路规划的协同问题,并显著地改善了RRT算法的全局收敛性,得到了航程更短的航路。     

协同作战中信息分发算法研究

大规模协同作战中的高效通信问题为当前信息战的研究重点之一,但由于单独作战单元无法了解全局的信息内容及需求方,这给通信资源有限的参战兵力之间的态势共享带来了困难。为此提出了一个分布式协作信息分发算法,在理论上借鉴了复杂网络的小世界特性,即单元节点可以通过邻节点在较少跳数内完成信息的传输。在思路上利用了信息相关性概念,作战单元利用信息之间的关联性及信息与节点之间的收发关系建立控制信息发送的路由表。并通过仿真实验验证了不同网络拓扑下算法性能的变化情况,结果证明分发算法能较好地支持信息共享。     

试论我国当代消防文化建设的三个切入点

针对消防文化的内涵,探讨我国当代消防文化建设的三个切入点：即在消防工作中体现军人核心价值观、消防工作中的战斗精神与革命英雄主义气概、消防工作中的探索精神和创新意识;指出围绕这三个切入点进行消防文化建设的具体原则和措施.     

火箭弹卷弧尾翼的轻量化研究

针对火箭弹卷弧尾翼在特定气动载荷下的轻量化问题,基于结构动力学理论,依托ABAQUS非线性有限元软件,建立了火箭弹卷弧尾翼的有限元模型。通过对比碳纤维复合材料(CFRP)和合金钢材料的卷弧尾翼的有限元分析,得出了碳纤维复合材料在满足强度和刚度的要求下,使卷弧尾翼减重达80%。该方法为火箭弹卷弧尾翼的轻量化设计提供了一种参考和借鉴。     

Performance measurement in military operations: information versus incentives

We explore the impact of strategic assessment efforts on military organizations at war. To do so, we construct a model to explore the impact of a principal’s choice among imperfect performance metrics for a military operation. In doing so, the principal must consider both the incentivizing and informational properties of the metric. We show the conditions under which uncertainty regarding the nature of the agent, as well as uncertainty regarding the operational environment, drives a metric choice that induces pathological behavior from the agent. More specifically, a poor metric choice can create an overly optimistic assessment and end up prolonging the conflict. We illustrate the model’s insights in the cases of World War II and the Vietnam War.     

SECURITY GOVERNANCE IN SOUTH AFRICA

In the ten years since the establishment of South Africa's first inclusive democratic government, an ambitious, extensive and systematic process of reform has been carried out in the governance of security. The process is widely regarded as having been successful and a model for other processes of ‘security sector reform’ in the context of transitions from authoritarian forms of governance to democratic ones.

That this been achieved with hardly a shot fired in anger is a remarkable achievement and a credit to visionary political leadership as well as organisational capacity, in other words to effective security governance.

At the same time, progress has been uneven and sometimes fragmentary, policy intentions and commitments have not always been translated into practice, the end results have not been to everyone's liking, and transformation has engendered its own pathologies. Thus several challenges remain in improving security governance.

This article provides a broad overview of the roles played by the various actors in the governance of the security sector, including the executive, parliament and civil society. It examines the main policy frameworks and touches on organisational transformation, because it is impossible to deal with governance in isolation from these issues. Policy processes and the frameworks they give rise to—in particular—are critical for effective governance. This article deals with the defence, safety and security and intelligence fields. A comprehensive overview would need to include the governance of criminal justice and foreign policy. The article does not seek to make an overall evaluation of governance, but to identify achievements, shortfalls and challenges.