飞航导弹故障飞行落点概率计算方法

针对飞航导弹故障飞行落点概率难以准确计算的问题,通过分析导弹的各个分系统的故障机理重新提出五种故障模式,依据逐系统串联的原理建立了故障模式的概率分配计算模型;在对发射、飞行和故障后坠落等阶段进行分析的基础上建立各故障模式的仿真模型;最后应用蒙特卡洛方法对某型导弹故障飞行落点的概率分布进行了仿真计算。     

一种基于压缩Fisher向量的目标检索方法

当前,视觉词典法(Bo VW,Bag of Visual Words)是解决目标检索问题的主要方法,但传统的Bo VW方法具有词典生成时间效率低、检索内存消耗大等问题。针对这些问题,提出了基于压缩Fisher向量的目标检索方法,该方法首先将Fisher核机制用于目标检索,它能自动降低目标图像背景带来的不利影响,然后,采用位置敏感哈希(LSH,Locality Sensitive Hashing)对Fisher向量进行压缩编码以降低计算复杂度和内存开销,使之适用于大规模数据库。实验结果表明,新方法只用几百比特就能表征一幅图像内容,对大规模目标检索有很好的适用性,且较之当前主流的压缩视觉词典法具有更高的准确率。     

一种强干扰环境下的相干弱目标DOA估计算法

提出了一种强干扰环境下相干弱信号的DOA估计算法。该算法通过修正的Toeplitz矩阵实现了对相干弱信号的解相干,然后将强干扰信号对应的特征矢量从信号子空间中剔除,最后利用MUSIC算法对弱信号进行DOA估计。所提算法不需要预知强干扰信号方位信息,对非平稳噪声有较好的抑制性能。此外,相对JJM算法,该算法具有更高的估计精度和正确概率,对强干扰信源具有更好的抑制性能。     

多波束相控阵天线角跟踪性能及测试方法

针对目前对多波束相控阵天线角跟踪性能测试研究较少的问题,首先分析了多波束相控阵天线的单脉冲和差测角方法,并对波束滑动、波束穿越及信号频率变化对角跟踪性能的影响进行了仿真分析。类比传统的雷达精度校飞试验,提出了基于飞艇的角跟踪性能测试方法,对角跟踪精度及误差范围进行测试,并利用STK软件实现了可视化。仿真分析表明,该方法可以实现对多波束相控阵天线角跟踪性能的评定并具有较高的工程应用价值。     

White hull or white elephant? Soft power and the Chinese hospital ship,the Peace Ark

Although soft power is now seen as an indispensable foreign policy tool, its efficacy has rarely been put to a rigorous empirical test. Using data from HARMONIOUS MISSIONs 2010, 2011 and 2013, this article seeks to examine the degree to which the soft power engagement missions of the Chinese hospital ship, the Peace Ark, has advanced Chinese interests. Although any conclusions drawn must be considered preliminary, as so little time has passed between the ship's visits and the current analysis, this research indicates that these missions’ impact on advancing Chinese interests was at best limited. Although observations from a single set of cases are unlikely to settle the debate between soft power advocates and detractors, it is hoped that this research will serve as a catalyst to further empirically based research on this topic.     

Sexual and gender-based violence in the Democratic Republic of Congo

Commitment by the government of the Democratic Republic of Congo to addressing sexual and gender-based violence (SGBV) in the country is reflected in a number of international commitments and national strategies. This article traces the (slow) progress in addressing some of the most important issues relating to SGBV to which the government has committed itself. It argues that unless the underlying gender norms and unequal power relations that form the basis of gender violence, discrimination and inequality in Congolese society are addressed, SGBV will persist.     

装备使用阶段后续备件采购模型Π:可修复件

针对装备使用阶段可修复件的采购优化问题,引入近似拉普拉斯需求概率分布代替正态分布,建立了采购间隔期内的备件短缺函数。根据供应链系统库存控制论,建立了可修备件的采购模型。通过对可修件周转渠道的分析,对采购短缺指标进行了修订,并给出了最优采购点和采购量的计算方法。对两种需求分布下的算例结果进行了对比和分析,结果表明:该模型得到的结果鲁棒性强、偏差小,优化过程简单,为故障率高、消耗量低的可修件采购方案的确定提供了一种新的思路。     

考虑多性能参数的引信弹簧可靠性评估

弹簧作为引信中常用的储能源,是影响引信可靠性的重要零件,而引信失效会形成重大安全隐患。为了准确预估某引信弹簧贮存期间的可靠度变化,提出了一种基于修正Arrhenius模型的多元正态可靠性评估方法。以应力损失率和永久变形率作为性能参数,设计了恒定应力加速退化试验,获取弹簧在120℃、130℃、150℃和160℃下的退化数据,并采用Anderson-Darling统计量验证退化量的最优分布为正态分布。根据修正的Arrhenius方程,得到弹簧在贮存温度下的退化轨迹曲线。基于多元正态分布建立弹簧贮存可靠度模型,分析弹簧贮存期间的可靠度变化特点。通过与其他可靠度模型对比,该模型预估结果更准确,可为引信的视情维修提供依据。     

Musket,Rank and File for Foot Guards,Lovell’s Pattern of 1838. Ne’er a Shot Fired in Anger?

The Pattern 1838 Musket was initially designed for the rank and file of the British army, it was instead issued to the elite Foot Guards. With arguably the lowest survival rate of any 19th Century British military firearm it is one of the rarest muskets to encounter today. This is its story …     

“It would be impossible to estimate the value of these works...” Mass Production at Springfield Armory during the American Civil War

The U.S. Armory in Springfield, Massachusetts, rarely appears in Civil War histories except perhaps as an unexplained statistical wonder. By late 1863, the Armory was the largest single supplier of rifles to Union forces. Springfield Armory workers out-produced over thirty American contractors, making more Army rifles at less cost while providing contractors with gauges, inspectors, and models, even though there were significant wartime private-sector mechanical innovations. This article identifies and explains the factors in the Armory’s success, provides context on contemporary American arms production and rifle models, and argues that the Armory’s methods and performance were among the first if not the first example of mass production in American small arms manufacture. The relative brevity of the Civil War episode, and the fact that it was not repeated in any comparable way at the Armory until World War II, has obscured its significance in American manufacturing history.