一种调节阀式气体炮建模与分析

为研究气体炮各调整参数对其模拟性能的影响 ,笔者利用气体动力学相似理论的有关知识对双活塞调节阀式气体炮进行了数学建模与分析 ,采用四阶龙格—库塔法的思想进行计算 ,并利用MATLAB语言对其进行编程 ,通过在计算机上运行计算程序 ,得出模拟弹丸的加速度—时间模拟曲线。在对模拟曲线特征进行分析的基础上 ,指出了气体炮各调整参数对弹丸加速度—时间曲线的影响。     

全语言思路对大学英语教学的启示

全语言思路是国外语言教学界颇有影响的一种教学理念,上世纪被介绍到我国,但是在大学英语教学方面实践较少。笔者通过对国内外有关文献的综述,给读者介绍了这一思路的基本观点和教学原则,并结合自身的体会,对目前争论激烈的大学英语教学改革提出了一些建议。     

大气层内复合控制拦截弹切换时间的探讨

大气层内拦截弹采用空气动力与燃气动力的复合控制方式是当今世界防空导弹的发展方向之一。复合控制技术的分析研究是当前急需解决的重要问题。在考虑目标机动加速度大小、目标机动时刻以及目标角闪烁的条件下 ,确定了拦截弹的控制方式由空气动力切换到复合控制时的切换时间。     

一类装甲车辆对不平路面的激励响应模型

研究内容为(轮式、履带)车辆在不平路面行驶和通过障碍时的平顺性问题。利用状态方程法建立了包括随机和确定路面轮廓、3维车体等较为通用的车辆行驶平顺性模型。并针对行驶振动中车轮与悬架的碰撞建立了专门模型。对某型装甲车辆进行了计算机仿真和验证,对模型的精度和有效性进行检验和评估。结果表明所建立的车辆-地面系统模型是有效的。该模型和建模采用的方法为装甲车辆的系统设计和动力学分析提供了一条途径。     

Designing and pricing menus of extended warranty contracts

Extended warranties provide “piece of mind” to a consumer in that product failures which occur after the base warranty expires are rectified at little or no cost. They also provide an additional source of revenue for manufacturers or third‐party providers, such as retailers or insurance providers, and help cultivate consumer loyalty. In this article, we analyze a number of extended warranty contracts which differ in design, including restrictions on deferrals and renewals. With the use of dynamic programming, we compute the optimal strategy for a consumer with perfect information and determine the optimal pricing policy for the provider given the consumer's risk characterization. We also provide insight into when different contracts should be issued. Finally, we illustrate how profits can be dramatically increased by offering menus of warranty contracts, as opposed to stand alone contracts, with the use of integer programming. Surprisingly, risk‐taking consumers provide the greatest benefit to offering menus. These insights can help a company develop a comprehensive warranty planning strategy for given products or product lines. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2009     

基于系统动力学的协同决策模型性能分析

为探索信息化作战中指挥控制关键因素，提出改进作战指挥体制的对策措施，采用系统动力学理论，对协同决策的结构、参与者和信息反馈关系等关键因素进行了分析，在此基础上构建了基于系统动力学的协同决策模型并进行了模拟仿真。结果表明，增加指挥控制机构之间的信息共享可以有效提升协同决策的效率，为建立协同决策指挥控制体制提供了借鉴意义。     

Dynamic institutionalization: the foundations of Japan’s radioactive problem

Many have suggested that the true purpose behind Japan’s development of a closed nuclear-fuel cycle is to maintain the technical potential to develop nuclear weapons. However, closer examination of the development of Japan’s nuclear industry shows that, although Japan possesses advanced nuclear technologies, there has been no deliberate strategy to create a nuclear-weapon option. There is no “nuclear hedge.” To illustrate this point, this article presents a framework called “dynamic institutionalization” to explain the origins of Japan’s nuclear policies and the different sets of institutionalized pressures and constraints that have perpetuated these policies over time. Japan’s continued development of closed fuel-cycle technologies is primarily driven by domestic politics and the lack of a permanent spent-fuel management solution. On the other hand, Japan’s institutionalized nuclear forbearance is driven by the calculation that, as long as US extended deterrence remains credible, Japan’s security is best guaranteed through reliance on the US nuclear umbrella. By analytically untangling the policy of closed fuel-cycle development from the rationale for nuclear forbearance, this article provides a more nuanced view of the relationships between the domestic and international variables shaping Japan’s nuclear policies.     

Military Spending,Conflict and External Debt in Sub-Saharan Africa

The damaging economic effects of the debt crises on Africa in the late 1980s encouraged considerable research on the determinants of external debt in developing economies. Although sub-Saharan Africa's (SSA) debt was cut by two-thirds by 2008, through two debt relief programmes, debt in the region has since been rising at an increasingly rapid pace. This study provides an empirical analysis of the determinants of external debt in SSA over the period 1960–2016, using dynamic panel methods. It also considers two potentially important factors that have received relatively little attention. One is military spending, rarely considered, despite a number of well-publicised scandals over the procurement of unnecessary and expensive high-tech weapons systems. A second, is the possibility that the countries studied have been involved in conflict. The empirical results point to a positive impact of military spending on external debt, but with some evidence of heterogeneity across the countries. Furthermore, findings indicate that the positive effect of military expenditure on debt becomes more marked in countries that have been affected by conflict. These results imply that policies to improve security and reduce military spending could be beneficial in reducing external debt and, potentially, improving economic performance in the region.     

舰载机回收任务的优化调度算法及仿真

针对舰载机回收过程中,飞行甲板跑道容量的瓶颈问题,比较了几种常见的排序算法,并运用Mat-lab和Lingo软件分别对先来先服务、基于最早到达时刻、滑动窗3种算法进行了计算机仿真。仿真结果表明,滑动窗排序法排序结果最好。最后,指出了滑动窗初始窗口飞机数目和移动步长对算法复杂度和排序结果的影响。     

多空域窗射击技术研究

未来空域窗射击体制相对集火射击体制,提高了对机动目标的拦截概率,能够对付有限机动目标,然而依然难以对付具有高度机动能力的目标,尤其是有人驾驶飞机,如果在射弹飞行时间内进行拐弯、爬升、俯冲等强机动.为了进一步提高对目标的拦截概率,提出了多空域窗射击体制,即在传统火控系统中增加目标实时态势估计模块,实时预测目标在射弹飞行时间内的可能机动模型,并根据预测结果进行多个未来空域窗射击.