CREATING SUNS ON EARTH

Concerns about climate change and energy security have prompted some countries to revive dormant nuclear fission power programs to meet growing energy demands and reduce carbon dioxide emissions. However, this so-called nuclear renaissance based on fission would have major drawbacks in the areas of safety, security, and nonproliferation. Nuclear fusion, however, is portrayed by its proponents as mitigating these drawbacks, and scientists continue to pursue fusion's promise with two large-scale projects: the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER), and the Laser Inertial Fusion Engine (LIFE) reactor. Although supporters often hail fusion as proliferation resistant, the technology could be used to create weapons-usable fissile material. This article explains how fissile material could be created in ITER or LIFE and analyzes other nonproliferation implications of fusion; the authors discuss the various challenges faced by ITER and LIFE.     

Beyond Iran: Containing Nuclear Development in the Middle East

ABSTRACT

Several states in the Middle East have noted their interest in nuclear energy programs, but current cost and timeline estimates understate the difficulties that these states will face. A state-level analysis of nuclear development capacities in Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates suggests that building nuclear infrastructure in the region will, in fact, be a lengthy and expensive endeavor, due to concerns such as export constraints, public opposition, a lack of human resources, and high overhead costs. This has implications for nuclear weapon nonproliferation: first, fears that these developing nuclear energy capabilities may facilitate possible weapon proliferation are premature, and second, there is time to ensure that any burgeoning nuclear infrastructure in the region remains safe and civilian in nature.     

THE NUCLEAR THRESHOLD STATES

“Nuclear threshold states”—those that have chosen nuclear restraint despite having significant nuclear capabilities—seem like the perfect partners for the reinvigorated drive toward global nuclear disarmament. Having chosen nuclear restraint, threshold states may embrace disarmament as a way to guarantee the viability of their choice (which may be impossible in a proliferating world). Supporting disarmament efforts affirms their restraint, both self-congratulating and self-fulfilling. Additionally, the commitment to their non-nuclear status springs at least in part from a moral stance against nuclear weapons that lends itself to energetic support of global disarmament. However, threshold states also offer significant challenges to the movement for nuclear weapons elimination, in particular in relation to acquisition of enrichment and reprocessing facilities. This article analyzes both the challenges and opportunities posed by threshold states by examining the cases of Brazil and Japan.     

基于最优Morlet小波的全信息能量熵提取及其在滚动轴承状态监测中的应用

为利用振动信号中隐含的冲击特征成分来反映轴承性能退化趋势,综合利用小波变换技术和全信息技术,提出一种基于最优Morlet小波变换的全信息能量熵提取方法．以最小Shannon熵优化Morlet小波形状参数,通过多源振动数据的小波变换系数,利用信息熵综合反映冲击特征能量在不同频带分布差异．滚动轴承全寿命数据的应用结果表明,全信息能量熵的变化趋势能够监测轴承状态的劣化过程,而伴随的早期故障检测可以提高轴承使用的安全性．     

建筑太阳能光电热一体化系统的瞬态性能模拟

利用TRNSYS软件对重庆夏季建筑屋顶太阳能光电热一体化系统进行瞬态模拟分析计算,得到系统瞬时发电量与一段时间内累计发电量,光电热模块瞬时进出水温度与太阳能平板集热器瞬时进出水温度,系统一段时间内光电热模块累计有效得热量与一段时间内太阳能平板集热器累计有效得热量,系统的光电转换效率、光热转换效率以及太阳能综合利用效率。结果表明,建筑屋顶太阳能光电热一体化系统是重庆地区建筑太阳能光电热一体化系统适宜的型式。     

基于能量均衡的无线传感器网络生命周期延长策略

为了从能量均衡角度出发解决无线传感器网络生命周期延长问题,从而延长整个物联网生命周期,针对无线传感器网络节点遭遇"路由空洞"的时候出现路由中断和生命周期缩短现象,分析能量消耗原理,构建最优跳数模型和能量均衡协议,并提出采用能量均衡的思路减少节点能量消耗。实验仿真发现,应用能量均衡协议使无线传感器网络节点能量分布更加均匀,节点能量消耗时间明显变长,而个别节点能量消耗速度明显大于其他节点的情况得以减少,达到延长无线传感器网络生命周期的目的。仿真结果验证了该方法的可行性。     

采用无线携能技术的中继辅助CR-NOMA系统能效分析

针对现有关于认知无线电非正交多址接入网络的研究中终端电池容量有限和能源利用率低的缺点,采用了中继辅助用户进行传输,并且引入无线信息和能量同时传输的方式。在用户服务质量和最小能量捕获的约束条件下推导了次用户传输能效表达式,通过分式规划方法把非凸的目标函数转化为优化中继发射功率、中继功率分配和接收端功率分配三个凸的单目标问题,并分别用函数单调性、黄金分割算法、拉格朗日对偶算法和多目标联合优化算法进行优化,求得了全局最优解,使次用户系统传输能效最大化。对所采用的算法复杂度进行分析,仿真结果表明:与传统的正交多址接入方案相比较,在提高系统频谱利用率的同时,次用户传输能效有47%的提高。     

基于研制试验数据的可靠性综合评估方法

针对产品在研制阶段的试验项目多、时间短、样本少等特点,在可靠性增长Duane模型的基础上,提出一种基于研制阶段变母体变环境试验数据的可靠性综合评估方法与模型。考虑不同试验应力环境对产品的影响,引入环境折合系数,根据相似产品试验数据,采用综合考虑了增长趋势检验约束和增长模型检验约束的寻优方法求解环境折合系数,利用折合后的数据进行可靠综合评估。通过实例证明了该方法的工程实用性。     

馈能型悬挂综合性能评价研究

以提高车辆馈能型悬挂综合性能评价的有效性为目的,在分析悬挂减振性能评价和馈能型悬挂能耗特性的基础上,提出了一种考虑乘坐舒适性、操纵稳定性以及悬挂能耗的馈能型悬挂综合性能评价指标和方法。分别以线性和非线性悬挂为研究对象,对其性能进行了综合评价实例分析,验证了该评价指标和方法的有效性。     

交流电子负载的谐波间谐波机理分析研究

分析了馈能型交流电子负载谐波间谐波产生的机理,基于馈能型电子负载工作原理,对电子负载输出信号进行研究,得出输出信号含有谐波间谐波等多种成分.采用MUSIC算法估计电力谐波信号频率,针对电力信号实值的特点,对MUSIC算法进行相应改进,获得较高的检测精度,同时对比了FFT算法的频率估计结果,得出MUSIC对电力谐波信号尤其是间谐波等负载谐波具有更高的精度,对电力系统监测及电能质量评估有较大应用价值.