基于灰熵方法的综合评估

以灰色系统理论中的灰靶技术为基础,在对原靶心度求解公式加以改进,给出了了一种系统效能的评定方法。首先用灰靶理论建立评定方法的数学模型,以能反映武器系统效能的战技性能指标构造各比较方案或模式的指标序列,进而求得各指标序列的标准模式。通过求各比较模式对标准模式的靶心度,并按大小排序,最终确定各比较方案效能的优劣。方法的计算过程为简单的代数运算,且不涉及传统方法中类似人工打分等带有一定主观性因素,所以,就同时满足可操作性和客观性而言,本方法较传统方法为优。     

基于Epsilon-Nash策略的动态武器-目标分配方法

在大型任务规划软件的作战单元任务分配中,搜索零和博弈问题的纳什均衡点是求解任务分配的一种有效的方法。然而,纳什均衡点在决策中并不一定总是存在且唯一,这造成了纳什均衡策略在实际使用时具有较大的局限。通过采用Epsilon-Nash策略克服这种局限,并将其应用于自主空战任务规划系统中,通过仿真实验,证实Epsilon-Nash策略具有近似于纳什策略的效果。     

Another manifestation of cyber conflict: attaining military objectives through cyber avenues of approach

Cyberspace is an avenue of approach through which a military force can attain objectives of value. Through these cyber avenues of approach, military forces can engage, vet, organize, and direct human agents to accomplish specific activities. Although the objectives of these activities could differ from traditional military objectives, they still have military relevance. This particular manifestation of cyber conflict is neither a new domain of war nor something outside of warfare. Rather, it can be viewed as an emerging avenue of approach in the larger context of military operations, auguring benefits in the integration of cyber activities with operations.     

Supply chain coordination with product line design and a revenue sharing scheme

Many manufacturers sell their products through retailers and share the revenue with those retailers. Given this phenomenon, we build a stylized model to investigate the role of revenue sharing schemes in supply chain coordination and product variety decisions. In our model, a monopolistic manufacturer serves two segments of consumers, which are distinguished by their willingness to pay for quality. In the scenario with exogenous revenue sharing ratios, when the potential gain from serving the low segment is substantial (e.g., the low‐segment consumers' willingness to pay is high enough or the low segment takes a large enough proportion of the market), the retailer is better off abandoning the revenue sharing scheme. Moreover, when the potential gain from serving the low (high) segment is substantial enough, the manufacturer finds it profitable to offer a single product. Furthermore, when revenue sharing ratios are endogenous, we divide our analysis into two cases, depending on the methods of cooperation. When revenue sharing ratios are negotiated at the very beginning, the decentralized supply chain causes further distortion. This suggests that the central premise of revenue sharing—the coordination of supply chains—may be undermined if supply chain parties meticulously bargain over it.     

水下近场非接触爆炸载荷作用下加筋板毁伤变形的数值仿真研究

采用高动态非线性有限元程序MSC.Dytran对复杂加筋板结构在水下爆炸载荷下的动态响应和变形模式进行了仿真分析和模型试验,建立了复杂加筋板架结构水下爆炸作用下动态响应的有限元计算方法.研究了加筋板在水下爆炸载荷下的不同毁伤形式,并利用有限元程序对复杂毁伤形式进行了瞬态毁伤过程分析,认为一定药量近距离爆炸时局部破坏要先于整体破坏.     

An integrated electric power supply chain and fuel market network framework: Theoretical modeling with empirical analysis for New England

In this article, we develop a novel electric power supply chain network model with fuel supply markets that captures both the economic network transactions in energy supply markets and the physical network transmission constraints in the electric power network. The theoretical derivation and analysis are done using the theory of variational inequalities. We then apply the model to a specific case, the New England electric power supply chain, consisting of six states, five fuel types, 82 power generators, with a total of 573 generating units, and 10 demand market regions. The empirical case study demonstrates that the regional electric power prices simulated by our model match the actual electricity prices in New England very well. We also compute the electric power prices and the spark spread, an important measure of the power plant profitability, under natural gas and oil price variations. The empirical examples illustrate that in New England, the market/grid‐level fuel competition has become the major factor that affects the influence of the oil price on the natural gas price. Finally, we utilize the model to quantitatively investigate how changes in the demand for electricity influence the electric power and the fuel markets from a regional perspective. The theoretical model can be applied to other regions and multiple electricity markets under deregulation to quantify the interactions in electric power/energy supply chains and their effects on flows and prices. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

基于定点剪出法抗滑桩滑坡推力分布形式的确定

针对现有滑坡推力分布假设为三角形、矩形或梯形等不合理现状，提出基于定点剪出假设确定滑坡推力分布的方法。在不平衡推力法的基础上，分析桩身若干点以上潜在滑体稳定性对滑坡推力的影响，然后在相邻段滑坡推力分布为线性的条件下，计算全桩若干点处滑坡推力的分布值。结果表明，定点剪出潜在滑体的稳定性对滑坡推力分布影响较大，若该稳定系数大于工程安全要求时，则无滑坡推力产生，若该稳定系数小于工程安全要求且相邻段稳定系数相差较大时，滑坡推力分布将会产生突变。最后通过一个边坡支护桩滑坡推力分布的工程实例，对该理论分析的合理性进行了说明。且在抗滑桩结构设计中，可根据桩身若干点滑坡推力分布值，采用变截面配筋，以节省工程投资。     

电力系统电压稳定分析方法及应用

介绍了电力系统电压稳定性的概念及其分类，对电压稳定性的静、动态分析方法进行了介绍和比较，最后综合运用连续潮流法、模态分析法、分岔理论以及时域仿真法对WSCC9节点系统进行了电压稳定性分析，结果表明综合方法能充分利用各种方法的优点，分析的结果是有效可靠的。     

基于博弈论的装备采办成本控制问题研究

从武器装备采办的理论需求出发,以博弈论为理论工具,对武器装备采办过程中的生产成本控制问题进行了分析;建立了基于激励的生产成本控制模型,并对成本控制模型的特点进行了分析和解释;针对军方在激励合同执行过程中有可能出现的2类错误,对成本控制模型进行了优化。在非对称信息条件下,优化后的成本控制模型不但能有效减少2类错误的发生,而且可提高军方装备采办效用,减少代理方合同风险。     

应用细小离子束加工小型精密光学零件

随着现代光学技术的发展,全频段误差控制已成为高精度光学零件制造的一个基本要求.基于小磨头抛光原理的先进修形技术虽然能有效修正低频面形误差,但对于中高频段的面形误差难以修正.中高频误差成为了现代光学加工普遍关注的难点.理论研究表明,减小小磨头尺寸可以提高工艺对中高频误差的修正能力,进一步提高光学加工精度.本文针对中高频面形误差的控制问题,开展细小离子束修形工艺研究,研究了获取小束径离子束的引束机理和引束结构,初步实现了稳定的细小离子束,针对某小型精密光学元件的具体加工问题,仿真研究了不同束径的加工效率和加工残差,并选择最优束径对元件进行了加工试验,使元件的精度从初始的0.111λrms减小到了0.015λrms(λ=632.8nm).