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21.
对即时改进和延缓改进两种维修性增长规划方式进行了趋势检验研究.针对即时改进的维修性增长规划方式,提出了趋势检验的图示法和Laplace方法.针对延缓改进的维修性增长规划方式,根据修复率(第i阶段的修复率为μi)的顺序约束条件:∞>μm≥…≥μi≥…≥μ2≥μ1>0,探讨了指数分布和正态分布维修性增长趋势检验的区间估计法,并结合数值例说明了这些方法的可行性. 相似文献
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介绍Petri网的知识表示方法以及案例推理机制的相关内容,提出了一种基于Petri网的案例推理模型,给出了相应的案例检索匹配算法,并将该模型和检索算法应用到网络攻防态势推演系统中,最后重点介绍了该系统的案例库的知识表示。 相似文献
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Yongbo Xiao;Chen Hu;Qian Liu; 《海军后勤学研究》2024,71(3):333-350
It has been challenging for firms to effectively manage demand when they release products of one generation after another one. Motivated by the observations from the smartphone industry, this paper investigates the effectiveness of two demand management strategies in the presence of a product rollover: the upgrade program and price markdown policy. Under an upgrade program, a firm allows customers to upgrade their on-hand product to a new generation product that will be released in a future time. Under a markdown pricing policy, the firm offers a discount for the currently available product so as to induce waiting customers to make immediate purchases. The two demand management strategies target different groups of customers and have distinct impacts on customers' choices. Starting from the time-varying choice behavior of a heterogeneous group of customers, we study the optimal pricing decisions involved in the two strategies. Specifically, when customers are myopic in the sense that they only make a one-time purchasing decision upon arrival, we show that the firm should offer the upgrade program only when the innovation level of the new product is relatively high, and the firm's optimal upgrade price can increase over time. Generally, the firm should offer the upgrade program during the early selling period and adopt markdown pricing as the release date of the new product approaches. Numerical experiments reveal that the dynamic upgrade program and markdown pricing policies can help improve profit significantly. When customers are strategic in the sense that they can monitor the selling prices and make dynamic purchasing decisions until they buy a unit of product, we examine two coping strategies that a firm can adopt, and investigate how the strategic monitoring behavior may influence a firm's optimal selling decisions and profit. 相似文献
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《防务技术》2022,18(11):2052-2064
The damage effects of fluid-filled submunition payload impacted by the kinetic kill vehicle (KKV) are investigated by simulations and ground-based experiments. Numerical simulations showed that the damage level and number of submunitions were significantly influenced by the diameter of the KKV compared with its length. Based on that, a high velocity penetrator formed by shaped charge explosion was used to simulate the direct hit experiment of a KKV impacting submunition payload. Experimental results demonstrated that the damage modes of submunitions mainly included the slight damage, perforation and total smash, showing a good agreement with the simulations. To understand the multiple damage modes of submunitions, the damage behavior of the submunitions in direct hit process were analyzed based on the AUTODYN-3D code. Numerical results presented that increased KKV diameter can increase the crater diameter and expand the damage volume, which will achieve a higher direct hit lethality. Further analysis indicated that there were other mechanical behaviors can enhance the damage to submunitions not lying in the KKV flight path, such as secondary debris kill, neighboring submunitions collision with each other, and high-speed fluid injection effect. 相似文献
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模型库管理系统是决策支持系统区别于其它计算杌信息系统的一个重要特征,着重介绍了如何将知识的表达技术(网络图)和推理机制(深度优先搜索)应用于模型库管理系统,从而实现模型的自动集成和选择,并给出了具体实现过程。 相似文献
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针对我军后方仓库弹药装卸运输环节对人员叉车操作的安全性需求,设计出了叉车操作测试场地路线,归纳总结了人员操作叉车进行弹药装卸运输环节中的安全失效形式及失效原因,构建了HRA评估数学模型．选取我军某后方仓库搬运机械建制班人员为对象,进行了实地测试,得到了弹药装卸运输环节的人为失误概率．测试结果表明,基于CREAM方法能够较好地解决后方仓库弹药装卸运输环节人为失误概率的量化问题． 相似文献
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Patience Munge Sone 《African Security Review》2017,26(3):325-339
Many researchers have focused on the role colonialism has played in causing interstate border disputes in Africa. Besides the colonial issue, this paper seeks to investigate what other factors fuel interstate border disputes in Africa and determine how effectively the disputes can be resolved. In recent decades, Africa has been tormented by and is still experiencing numerous interstate border disputes which have serious implications for the disputing states. Some of the disputes are resolved, but violations of human rights and instability still occur in these regions. By analysing the content of some relevant documents and with the use of interviews, this paper reveals that most disputing African states rely heavily on foreign intervention (especially by their erstwhile colonial masters) in the resolution of their disputes. It is argued that African leaders need to be more committed and exhibit better leadership in resolving their border disputes, and that they should always seek the expertise of African forums such as the African Union (AU) before calling for foreign intervention. It is suggested that African leaders and the AU understand the problems of Africans better than anyone else, and they are also the ones mostly greatly affected by these disputes. Thus, there needs to be more of a focus on addressing the root causes of disputes in order to avoid them resurfacing, rather than seeking to merely halt them. 相似文献