Directional change‐point detection for process control with multivariate categorical data

Most modern processes involve multiple quality characteristics that are all measured on attribute levels, and their overall quality is determined by these characteristics simultaneously. The characteristic factors usually correlate with each other, making multivariate categorical control techniques a must. We study Phase I analysis of multivariate categorical processes (MCPs) to identify the presence of change‐points in the reference dataset. A directional change‐point detection method based on log‐linear models is proposed. The method exploits directional shift information and integrates MCPs into the unified framework of multivariate binomial and multivariate multinomial distributions. A diagnostic scheme for identifying the change‐point location and the shift direction is also suggested. Numerical simulations are conducted to demonstrate the detection effectiveness and the diagnostic accuracy.© 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

The failure of defense planning in European Post-Communist Defense Institutions: ascertaining causation and determining solutions

By any objective measure, defense institutions in Central and Eastern Europe have all but universally been incapable of producing viable defense plans that are based on objective costing and operational planning data. This situation exists in spite the provision of considerable Western advice and assistance, let alone reporting to and receiving assessments by NATO’s International Staff under Partnership for Peace, as well as via the integrated defense planning and reporting systems. An explanation for this systematic failure across European post-Communist defense institutions can be found in the continued slow development of an over-arching policy framework which directs and approves all activities of the armed forces, as well as the de-centralization of financial decision-making down to capability providers. The essay ends with an examination of the adverse effects of the early introduction of planning programming, budgeting system (PPBS), have had on the development of effective policy and planning capabilities within these defense institutions.     

基于多假设跟踪弹道导弹主动段跟踪算法

针对弹道导弹主动段防御中多枚弹道导弹同时跟踪问题,提出了基于多假设思想的主动段跟踪算法.重点阐述了该算法中假设生成、假设概率计算、假设约简以及假设剪枝等环节.从工程实用的角度出发,采用求解一个线性分配问题(LAP)方法得到M个最优假设,大大减少了假设数量,并运用N-scan回溯剪枝方法对假设进行剪枝,确定要输出的航迹,提高了算法的效率和实用性.仿真实验表明,该算法能够对主动段多枚弹道导弹目标准确关联跟踪.     

量子雷达的技术体制

当前,量子信息理论正在蓬勃发展,其应用已经深入到自然科学的各个领域.量子雷达是量子信息技术在目标探测上的具体应用,可探测隐身目标,具有超强的隐蔽性和机动性.主要介绍了量子雷达的分类、原理、系统组成、特点和关键技术问题.     

面向多最优解组合优化问题的决策求解算法

针对具有固定物品总和、多最优解特征的组合优化问题,以固定总和实数子集问题和购买鸡翅问题为例,给出了这类多最优解组合优化问题的形式化表示。在分析枚举等经典算法基础上,提出了基于整数状态表示和实数状态表示的0-1决策递归搜索多最优解动态规划算法。针对该算法在最优解数量较大时,时间复杂度趋向O(mⁿ)的问题,提出了基于相同决策路径合并和基于0-x决策的两种改进算法。实验中两种改进算法的计算时间基本符合与O(nb+nm)的正比关系,表明对于这类多最优解组合优化问题具有良好的求解性能。     

基于随机提前期的备件携行量计算方法

舰艇出海执行任务期间,需要携行一定种类和数量的物资自给。文中研究了这种单级供应条件下,如何确定备件最优携行量的问题。建立了以服务水平为目标,以资源为约束的目标规划模型,模型考虑了随机提前期和备件重要度。提出一种基于边际效费比的增量法用于求解这个模型。最后,给出一个算例并得到了一些结论。     

无人战斗机航路规划圆切线算法

通过对无人战斗机低空进入敌防区面临的各种威胁进行分析,建立了适用于圆切线算法的威胁场模型;由于可行方向法对威胁圆叠加时规划出的航路效果不理想,提出了圆的切线算法理论作为此航路规划方法的改进,采用随机产生威胁场的方法来模拟多变的战场环境,并且进行了理论分析,最后得出仿真结果.仿真证明,将两种方法结合规划出的飞行航线在航程上是比较理想的,而且路径规则的效果也得到了很大的提高.     

Integrated production scheduling and preventive maintenance planning for a single machine under a cumulative damage failure process

This paper finds the optimal integrated production schedule and preventive maintenance plan for a single machine exposed under a cumulative damage process, and investigates how the optimal preventive maintenance plan interacts with the optimal production schedule. The goal is to minimize the total tardiness. The optimal policy possesses the following properties: Under arbitrary maintenance plan when jobs have common processing time, and different due dates, the optimal production schedule is to order the jobs by earliest due date first rule; and when jobs have common due date and different processing times, the optimal production schedule is shortest processing time first. The optimal maintenance plan is of control limit type under any arbitrary production schedule when machine is exposed under a cumulative damage failure process. Numerical studies on the optimal maintenance control limit of the maintenance plan indicate that as the number of jobs to be scheduled increases, the effect of jobs due dates on the optimal maintenance control limit diminishes. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Machine maintenance with workload considerations

Machine maintenance is modeled in the setting of a single‐server queue. Machine deterioration corresponds to slower service rates and failure. This leads to higher congestion and an increase in customer holding costs. The decision‐maker decides when to perform maintenance, which may be done pre‐emptively; before catastrophic failures. Similar to classic maintenance control models, the information available to the decision‐maker includes the state of the server. Unlike classic models, the information also includes the number of customers in queue. Considered are both a repair model and a replacement model. In the repair model, with random replacement times, fixed costs are assumed to be constant in the server state. In the replacement model, both constant and variable fixed costs are considered. It is shown in general that the optimal maintenance policies have switching curve structure that is monotone in the server state. However, the switching curve policies for the repair model are not always monotone in the number of customers in the queue. Numerical examples and two heuristics are also presented. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

永磁无刷直流直线电机齿槽力补偿控制研究

永磁无刷直流直线电机的齿槽定位力对其低速性能影响很大,而单纯的设计方法不可能完全消除齿槽力的影响,为此,必须在控制系统中对齿槽力进行补偿。针对包含齿槽力模型的理想电机控制系统进行了理论分析,指出通过引入位置反馈环节可以消除齿槽力的不良影响。利用有限元分析方法计算了电机的推力和齿槽力波形,验证了低速条件下推力波动主要由齿槽力引起,并说明可以通过位置反馈来补偿推力波动。最后,提出将一个齿槽力周期分为多个区间,然后分段进行线性补偿的简易控制方法。该方法无需高精度的定位装置和复杂的控制算法即可实现对电机齿槽力的补偿,实验结果表明,所提方法能够有效抑制电机的推力波动。