On‐line parameter estimation for a partially observable system subject to random failure

In this paper, we study the on‐line parameter estimation problem for a partially observable system subject to deterioration and random failure. The state of the system evolves according to a continuous time homogeneous Markov process with a finite state space. The system state is not observable, except for the failure state. The information related to the system state is available at discrete times through inspections. A recursive maximum likelihood (RML) algorithm is proposed for the on‐line parameter estimation of the model. The RML algorithm proposed in the paper is considerably faster and easier to apply than other RML algorithms in the literature, because it does not require projection into the constraint domain and calculation of the gradient on the surface of the constraint manifolds. The algorithm is illustrated by an example using real vibration data. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

非线性随机动态响应的高效模拟方法

提出了一种分析多自由度非线性系统在随机激励下响应的高效模拟方法。该方法以蒙特卡罗方法为基础,针对动态问题,建立了有效的重要性判别准则,采用俄罗斯轮盘赌与分裂方法来处理响应样本,增加了样本在低失效概率区域出现的几率,提高了模拟效率。通过两个算例表明,该方法操作简单,可以大大地减少计算量,能够适用于实际的工程问题。     

CORBA在舰船远程技术保障信息管理系统中的应用

鉴于舰船远程技术保障信息化面临的网络化、异构化的形势,设计基于CORBA和W eb的3层远程技术保障信息管理系统模型,利用CORBA所具有的与平台及语言无关的特点,屏蔽平台间差异,实现异构平台间通信,并结合实例给出它在实际中的应用。     

带壳体云爆弹药液体燃料抛撒的数值模拟

建立了带壳体云爆弹药数值模拟模型,分析了圆柱壳体的断裂准则。壳体材料采用Johnson-Cook热粘性本构方程,断裂准则采用Taylor断裂应力准则,应用Autodyn软件进行了数值模拟,给出了内部爆炸载荷下液体燃料的压力曲线和速度曲线,并进行了分析。     

随移动窗推进的带电粒子束团长程传输模拟分析

直接采用粒子模拟方法较难实现带电粒子束团千米量级的长程传输模拟,针对此问题以静电模型为基础,引入移动窗技术,使百米量级的粒子传输窗口与束团同步推进运动,建立了带电粒子束团的长程传输模型。将模拟得到的带电粒子束团径向膨胀特性同包络方程的计算结果进行对比,两者吻合较好,证明了在带电粒子束团长程传输模拟研究中结合移动窗技术的可行性及所建模型的合理性。利用此模型分析了100 MeV相对论电子束团的长程传输过程,发现传输过程中束团的自生电场和磁场在径向上呈高度对称分布,轴向上则呈轻微前冲分布;同时,束团内部粒子的轴向速度分布也会发生变化。利用此模型分析了100 MeV电子束团的长程传输过程及其内部参数和自生场量的变化。     

结构主导目标检测中的纹理随机化

已有基于卷积神经网络的目标检测算法倾向于提取目标纹理特征,而非结构特征;因此,已有方法不能实现变纹理目标的可靠检测。针对此问题,提出基于纹理随机化的结构主导目标检测方法,采用仿真纹理随机化方法减弱网络模型对纹理特征的拟合,实现基于结构特征的变纹理目标可靠检测。利用目标的三维模型,借助Blender渲染引擎,完成纹理随机化仿真训练数据集的生成。仿真及真实图像实验测试结果表明:该方法能够实现基于目标结构特征的变纹理目标可靠检测。     

数值模拟气液针栓式火箭发动机喷雾燃烧对声学激励的响应

为研究气液针栓式火箭发动机的声学振荡特性并为其优化设计提供指导,加工了具有矩形燃烧室的LOX/GCH₄针栓式发动机,采用Euler-Lagrange方法仿真横向速度扰动产生的声学响应,以期在热试前了解声学激励频率对非稳态喷雾燃烧过程的影响。仿真结果表明,采用的横向速度扰动能在燃烧室内产生同频率的一阶横向声学振荡响应。喷雾燃烧对声学激励的响应强弱受扰动频率与燃烧室一阶横向振荡模态固有频率的相对大小影响较大。当扰动频率与该固有频率相等时,压力和燃烧释热随速度扰动出现同相振荡,压力振荡幅值显著增高导致燃烧室前半段的喷雾和火焰同步摆动;同时,燃烧室内存在扩散燃烧变为预混燃烧的趋势,甲烷在更短的距离内燃烧完全且燃烧室温度趋于均匀。     

Simulation of the plasticizing behavior of composite modified double-base (CMDB) propellant in grooved calendar based on adaptive grid technology

The frequent occurrence of safety accidents during the calendering process is caused by the flammable and explosive properties of composite modified double-base (CMDB) propellant. Optimization of process parameters with the aid of fluid simulation technology could effectively ensure the safety of the calendering process. To improve the accuracy of the simulation results, material parameters and model structure were corrected based on actual conditions, and adaptive grid technology was applied in the local mesh refinement. In addition, the rheological behavior, motion trajectories and heat transfer mechanisms of CMDB propellant slurry were studied with different gaps, rotational rates and temperatures of two rollers. The results indicated that the refined mesh could significantly improve the contour clarity of boundaries and simulate the characteristics of CMDB propellant slurry reflux movement caused by the convergent flow near the outlet. Compared with the gap, the increased rotational rate of roller could promote the reflux movement and intensify the shear flow of slurry inside the flow region by viscous shear dragging. Meanwhile, under the synergistic effect of contact heat transfer as well as convective heat exchange, heat accumulated near the outlet and diffused along the reflux movement, which led to the countercurrent heat dissipation behavior of CMDB propellant slurry. The plasticizing mechanism of slurry and the safety of calendering under different conditions were explored, which provided theoretical guidance and reference data for the optimization of calendering process conditions. Based on the simulation results, the safety of the CMDB propellant calendering process could be significantly improved with a few tests conducted during a short research and development cycle.     

Mitigation of the blast load effects on a building structure using newly composite structural configurations

In this study, a nonlinear three-dimensional hydrocode numerical simulation was carried out using AUTODYN-3D to investigate the effect of blasting of a high explosive material (TNT) against several configurations of the composite structure. Several numerical models were carried out to study the effect of varying the thickness of the walls and the effect of adding an air layer or aluminum foam layer inside two layers of concrete in mitigating the effect of blast waves on the structure walls. The results showed that increasing the thickness of walls has a good effect on mitigating the effect of blast waves. When a layer of air was added, the effect of blast waves was exaggerated, while when a layer of aluminum foam was added the blast wave effects were mitigated with a reasonable percentage.     

面向两类典型分析仿真的多样本任务调度工具的设计

当在多台计算机上调度很多样本并行运行时,采用手工操作效率低且极易出错。设计一个自动化的任务分发与调度工具可以有效地提高仿真运行效率。蒙特卡罗仿真和粒子群优化算法仿真是两类典型的分析仿真,介绍了面向这两类仿真的多样本任务调度工具的实现原理和关键技术,这些方法具有很好的通用性和可扩展性,可以广泛应用于解决各类仿真任务的自动分发与调度问题。