BP神经网络的弹道导弹态势等级模型

针对弹道导弹的目标特性和作战特点,对主要态势指标进行了提取,构建了基于BP神经网络的态势等级模型,并按照区间对预警等级进行划分。为提高模型的准确性和适应性,通过样本数据对BP网络进行了训练,并进行了仿真得到了态势等级。仿真结果表明:利用BP神经网络对态势等级进行研究是可行的。     

The symbolic politics of ballistic missile defense: seeking the perfect defense in an imperfect world

Ballistic missile defense (BMD) politics present an interesting evolution in how the USA, especially Congress, has come to think about BMD both as operational reality and as a symbolic policy. The argument here is that BMD's operational reality is increasingly overshadowed by its symbolic aspects. Such a status arose from rapidly changing international and domestic politics. The end result is a situation in which BMD policy in a sense floats above the question of its actual combat effectiveness. Its primary mission in part is sustaining US capacity to remain a global power and support its allies.     

NATO Territorial Ballistic Missile Defense and its Implications for Arms Control

ABSTRACT

Since 2002, NATO's territorial missile defense has evoked continuous debates between NATO states and the Russian Federation. Thirteen years have passed without reaching a common denominator. This article provides a comprehensive overview of the historical background of the debate and the technical details of the missile defense system, highlighting its shortcomings and the state of its deployment process. It also contrasts the military-technical and political arguments of both sides, before addressing the applicable norms of international law to highlight violations and the effect of this noncompliance on existing arms control measures.     

考虑目标微多普勒频移的反导雷达配置模型

针对采用微多普勒频移识别目标的反导雷达,对其配置问题进行研究,以便更好地发挥其目标识别能力。首先,利用雷达性能参数,计算出要探测某一弹道时的雷达可配置区;其次,分析目标微多普勒频移对目标识别可能性的影响,以雷达覆盖区和高概率识别区的最大化为目标建立雷达的配置模型;最后,通过仿真分析发现通过调节雷达覆盖区与高概率识别区的权重,可以得到针对不同作战需求时的雷达配置方案。     

旋转弹控制系统结构与弹体静稳定特性研究

采用劳斯稳定判别法,结合某旋转弹的实际控制结构和弹体特性,对不同控制结构对静稳定度适应程度进行了分析,重点研究了不同的控制系统回路结构对弹体稳定特性的适应能力,为旋转弹控制系统设计提供更有针对性的参考。     

弹道导弹关机点状态估计的指数加权递归最小二乘方法

在双星预警条件下,将指数加权递归最小二乘算法应用于目标关机点状态估计问题中。通过引入加权因子对目标助推段运动的局部拟线性特性进行描述,从而在一定程度上克服了一般的线性多项式模型难以准确刻画整个助推段运动的难题。通过对助推段目标动力学特性的分析,考察了目标在垂直射面方向上的运动特性。在此基础上,提出了一种更为准确的助推段运动模型。仿真算例表明,所提出的关机点状态估计方法相对于传统的方法具有一定的优越性。     

Special Section: Nuclear Stability In South Asia

The question of nuclear stability in South Asia is a subject of both academic and policy significance. It is the only region in the world that has three, contiguous nuclear-armed states: India, the People's Republic of China, and Pakistan. It is also freighted with unresolved border disputes. To compound matters, all three states are now modernizing their nuclear forces and have expressed scant interest in any form of regional arms control. These issues and developments constitute the basis of this special section, which explores the problems and prospects of nuclear crisis stability in the region.     

弹道计算格斗导弹攻击区的一种快速模拟计算法

以某型近距格斗导弹为例,在考虑了导弹制导控制延迟基础上,建立了导弹跟踪目标的质点运动模型,并根据判断导弹与目标交汇条件,给出了一种导弹攻击区和有利攻击区快速模拟计算方法。仿真结果表明,利用本方法计算结果与资料给出的包线基本重合,模拟计算在数值上和变化趋势上都与资料基本一致,本算法是可行的。     

导弹自动驾驶仪改进遗传模糊控制器设计

针对导弹飞行控制系统具有参考模型不精确,非线性时变的特点,设计了一种新型的导弹自动驾驶仪的模拟退火遗传模糊PID控制器。该控制器是利用模糊控制器的模糊推理能力,在线整定PID控制器参数,再采用遗传算法与模拟退火算法结合,离线搜索寻优模糊控制器中的隶属函数参数集。Matlab仿真实验结果表明,所设计的控制器能够使系统具有良好的动态性能、鲁棒性以及全弹道性能,利用模糊查询表可满足系统的实时性要求,工程应用前景较好。     

可用性理论的导弹装备使用可用度评估模型

结合当前部队关心的导弹装备战备完好性问题,对影响导弹战备完好性的重要参数使用可用度进行了研究,给出了基于可用性理论的导弹装备使用可用度评估方法和模型,根据部队导弹装备服役的相关信息,对该模型进行了评估验证,经验证,该方法可有效地分析导弹使用可用度,且对于后续提升改进导弹战备完好性具有参考价值。