风对反潜巡逻机应召搜索延迟时间的影响研究

为了定量分析风对反潜巡逻机应召搜索延迟时间的影响,根据飞行气象学中风对飞行的影响描述以及实际需求,建立了反潜巡逻机飞往潜艇初始概略位置的航路模型。研究结果证明了模型的正确性,并通过仿真分析了反潜巡逻机的航速和航向、风速和风向的变化对延迟时间的影响。结果表明风对延迟时间的影响是不能忽略的,为反潜巡逻机航路的优化、应召搜索效能的提高提供了决策依据。     

基于虚拟终端的全网漏话提示业务方案的研究

基于虚拟终端的全网漏话提示业务方案创新性地把呼叫转移和信令监测结合在一起,不但能完整地实现全网所有用户的漏话提示业务,而且无须对现有网络添加新的网元。与基于呼转和信令监测的传统方案相比较,基于虚拟终端的方案有明显的优势。该技术方案在中国联通多个省移动网漏话提示系统中成功运用。     

Modeling and analysis of flexible queueing systems

We consider queueing systems with multiple classes of customers and heterogeneous servers where customers have the flexibility of being processed by more than one server and servers possess the capability of processing more than one customer class. We provide a unified framework for the modeling and analysis of these systems under arbitrary customer and server flexibility and for a rich set of control policies that includes customer/server‐specific priority schemes for server and customer selection. We use our models to generate several insights into the effect of system configuration and control policies. In particular, we examine the relationship between flexibility, control policies and throughput under varying assumptions for system parameters. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

Service design at diagnostic service centers

We study a service design problem in diagnostic service centers, call centers that provide medical advice to patients over the phone about what the appropriate course of action is, based on the caller's symptoms. Due to the tension between increased diagnostic accuracy and the increase in waiting times more in‐depth service requires, managers face a difficult decision in determining the optimal service depth to guide the diagnostic process. The specific problem we consider models the situation when the capacity (staffing level) at the center is fixed, and when the callers have both congestion‐ and noncongestion‐related costs relating to their call. We develop a queueing model incorporating these features and find that the optimal service depth can take one of two different structures, depending on factors such as the nurses' skill level and the maximum potential demand. Sensitivity analyses of the two optimal structures show that they are quite different. In some situations, it may (or may not) be optimal for the manager to try to expand the demand at the center, and increasing skill level may (or may not) increase congestion. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

基于动态窗口的灰色加权填充算法及应用?

为解决复杂系统中单属性缺失数据填充困难问题,提出了基于动态窗口的灰色加权填充算法。该算法通过建立双向灰色预测模型,并采用模型精度评价系数加权填充缺失数据,有效增强了算法的准确性;提出基于灰色模型评价系数反馈的动态伸缩窗口概念,寻找产生最优模型的训练数据序列,使算法具有良好的鲁棒性和适应性。实验结果表明,该方法在RMSE和MA两项指标上均优于传统的双向灰插值、灰插值、多项式插值等方法。     

一种基于KNN-SVR的基因表达缺失值的估计方法

为了消除不相似基因对基因表达谱中缺失值估计的影响,提出了一种基于KNN SVR的缺失值估计方法.该方法先通过最近邻法选出与目标基因表达最相似的一组完全基因,再用这些基因通过支持向量回归对缺失值进行估计.还提出了用标准化偏差的方差来度量算法的稳定性和估计值的可信度.该方法通过对基因的过滤提高了缺失值估计的有效性.实验结果表明,KNN SVR法具有较高的估计精度和稳定性.     

What you should know about queueing models to set staffing requirements in service systems

One traditional application of queueing models is to help set staffing requirements in service systems, but the way to do so is not entirely straightforward, largely because demand in service systems typically varies greatly by the time of day. This article discusses ways—old and new—to cope with that time‐varying demand. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

基于随机漫游模型的协同搜索力最优分配方法

针对多平台协同搜索的最优搜索问题,以多无人机区域搜索任务为背景,将搜索论和随机规划引入到编队协同搜索中,建立了环境模型、无人机模型、传感器模型;为了解决目标丢失后的“应召”搜索问题,建立了目标的随机漫游模型;通过对搜索力最优分配问题的分析,认为其实质为一类线性规划问题,提出了一种基于递归原理的解算方法;最后,通过仿真计算,证明了该随机漫游模型的合理性,并验证了所提算法的有效性。     

Stochastic call center staffing with uncertain arrival,service and abandonment rates: A Bayesian perspective

In this article, we introduce staffing strategies for the Erlang‐A queuing system in call center operations with uncertain arrival, service, and abandonment rates. In doing so, we model the system rates using gamma distributions that create randomness in operating characteristics used in the optimization formulation. We divide the day into discrete time intervals where a simulation based stochastic programming method is used to determine staffing levels. More specifically, we develop a model to select the optimal number of agents required for a given time interval by minimizing an expected cost function, which consists of agent and abandonment (opportunity) costs, while considering the service quality requirements such as the delay probability. The objective function as well as the constraints in our formulation are random variables. The novelty of our approach is to introduce a solution method for the staffing of an operation where all three system rates (arrival, service, and abandonment) are random variables. We illustrate the use of the proposed model using both real and simulated call center data. In addition, we provide solution comparisons across different formulations, consider a dynamic extension, and discuss sensitivity implications of changing constraint upper bounds as well as prior hyper‐parameters. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 460–478, 2016     

TETRA直通模式移动台协议仿真

作为 TETRA 通信的一种方式,TETRA DMO 使得 TETRA 移动台在没有设置基站以及基站覆盖范围之外的地区、系统出现故障或过载以至难以快速接人时可以不经过网络基础设施直接进行相互的通信,从而降低了移动台通信对基站的依赖性,扩展了移动台通信的地理范围。文中首先依照协议对直通模式移动台通信方式和呼叫接续过程进行了介绍,并描述了利用工具 SDL and TTCN suite 4.5对其中的电路模式呼叫流程编程、仿真的过程,最后对仿真的结果进行了简要说明。