高校科研团队科技创新能力评价研究

科技创新能力是体现高校综合办学实力的核心指标。以科研团队为视角对高校科技创新能力的评价问题进行了研究,分析了高校团队科技创新能力的要素构成、结构特征,在此基础上从人员队伍、条件基础、文化环境、科技投入、科技产出5个方面出发定义了一个可扩展的团队科技创新能力评价指标模型;提出了基于多属性决策的科技创新能力评价方法,为科研团队绩效管理提供了方法支撑。     

网络化多平台协同控制与决策系统总体设计框架

针对单一平台在探测能力和信息获取方面的局限性,提出构建基于空中、地面、水中平台的多平台人机协同控制与决策系统的体系结构,该系统的特点是有人参与决策,可实现有人平台和无人平台的协同。分析了地面指挥控制与决策中心及各平台应具有的功能,并对人机交互软件界面进行了总体设计。给出了一个典型的应用场景,分析了其工作原理及多平台协同跟踪与决策过程,验证了所提系统体系结构的灵活性和合理性。     

相控阵雷达机动多目标跟踪算法设计与仿真

目前的多目标跟踪仿真系统为实现更高的跟踪精度和跟踪效能,多采用复杂的先进跟踪算法进行建模仿真,且仿真环境设置较为理想,不利于工程实践和系统仿真,其工程应用价值大打折扣。针对上述问题,采用连续系统的建模仿真方法,根据当前空战飞行器编队作战的发展对地面武器跟踪制导系统的新要求,提出并设计了基于M ATLAB的相控阵雷达机动多目标跟踪仿真系统,以KALM AN滤波算法为主线,对多目标数据互联、机动检测与辨识以及目标编批和航迹处理等核心模型的算法、关键技术进行了深入研究,开发了与KALM AN滤波算法较为匹配的跟踪滤波系统,最后以跟踪空中多目标编队飞行为例,对仿真系统进行了模型校验与测试。仿真结果验证了模型和方法的有效性,可为系统跟踪效能的分析评估提供平台和依据,对于相控阵雷达系统的开发和战术使用具有积极意义。     

Development programs for one‐shot systems using multiple‐state design reliability models

Design reliability at the beginning of a product development program is typically low, and development costs can account for a large proportion of total product cost. We consider how to conduct development programs (series of tests and redesigns) for one‐shot systems (which are destroyed at first use or during testing). In rough terms, our aim is to both achieve high final design reliability and spend as little of a fixed budget as possible on development. We employ multiple‐state reliability models. Dynamic programming is used to identify a best test‐and‐redesign strategy and is shown to be presently computationally feasible for at least 5‐state models. Our analysis is flexible enough to allow for the accelerated stress testing needed in the case of ultra‐high reliability requirements, where testing otherwise provides little information on design reliability change. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

导弹飞行试验多目标信息管理与显示

通过对大型海上试验中多目标试验信息管理与显示方法进行分析研究,对大型飞行试验中如何方便、科学、合理地管理多目标试验信息进行了充分的论证,提出了解决多目标试验信息管理与显示的设计思路,阐述了大型试验中多目标试验显示的要求、内容和实现方法,介绍了相关数学模型,其中重点对目标航迹信息管理的设计和显示进行了详细阐述。     

DSSS时变窄带干扰抑制算法研究

在传统非线性最小二乘(NLS)算法的基础上,提出一种基于线谱估计的直接序列扩频(DSSS)系统抑制窄带干扰(NBI)的方法。该算法首先通过对基于正弦波叠加模型的NBI进行频率估计,再利用最小二乘准则进行自适应滤波,恢复出干扰信号包络,从而利用干扰对消器将其从观测数据中消除。仿真验证表明,本算法相对于传统的最小均方误差(LMS)算法、自适应频域陷波法,能较好地抑制时变音频NBI模型的干扰,且信息量损失较小。     

各向异性介质体目标电磁散射分析的快速算法

利用体积分方程矩量法(MoM)及其多层快速多级子算法(MLFMA)研究了各向异性的电介质体或/和磁介质体目标的电磁散射问题,将多层快速多级子算法的计算结果与解析方法(Mie)或矩量法结果进行了对比分析.不但验证了MLFMA算法的高效性和精确性,同时该算法还适合于分析模拟任意复杂介质体(如各向异性磁化等离子体)目标的电磁散射问题,为进一步实现电大尺寸的任意复杂各向异性介质体/金属组合目标电磁散射分析的精确高效算法奠定了基础.     

一类多时滞泛函微分方程周期正解的存在性

利用非线性泛函分析中半序Banach空间的锥理论和不动点指数方法,讨论了一类多时滞泛函微分方程周期正解的存在性问题,并得到此类多时滞泛函微分方程周期正解存在的几个充分条件。     

弹道导弹防御中拦截弹最优分层配置

多层弹道导弹防御系统在助推段、飞行中段或再入段不同阶段实施拦截,可有效提高系统拦截概率,不同拦截阶段存在拦截弹最优配比问题。为了解决拦截弹道导弹过程中的最优分层配置的问题,本文分别以单层、双层、三层这三种拦截系统为例,通过公式演算和计算机仿真,得出了分段拦截弹道导弹时、不同拦截阶段的拦截弹之间的数量比与整体拦截成功率之间的关系;并提出了整体拦截成功率的概念。经仿真表明,在整体拦截成功率给定的情况下,使用本文所得出的不同拦截段之间所需拦截弹数目之间的最优比,可以最大限度地降低弹道导弹的拦截成本。     

Double Mover–Stayer model on customer switching in telecommunications industry

Customer acquisition and customer retention are the most important challenges in the increasingly competitive telecommunications industry. Traditional studies of customer switching always assume that customers are homogeneous, and thus that model customer switching behavior follows a Markov formulation. However, this postulation is obviously inappropriate in most instances. Blumen et al. (Cornell Studies of Industrial and Labor Relations, Cornell University Press, Ithaca, NY, 1955) developed the Mover–Stayer (MS) model, a generalization of the Markov chain model, to relax the requirement of homogeneity and allow the presence of heterogeneity with two different types of individuals—“stayers,” who purchase the same kinds of products or services throughout the entire observation period; and “movers,” who look for variety in products or services over time. There are two purpose of this article. First, we extend the MS model to a Double Mover‐Stayer (DMS) model by assuming the existence of three types of individuals in the market: (1) stable and loyal customers, who have stable usage within the same company; (2) instable but loyal customers, whose usage varies within the same company over time; and (3) disloyal customers, who switch from one company to another to seek for new experiences or/and benefits. We also propose an estimation method for the DMS model. Second, we apply the DMS model to telecommunications data and demonstrate how it can be used for pattern identification, hidden knowledge discovery, and decision making. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012