基于战例数据的制胜要素选择方法

针对战争制胜机理定量研究需求,提出了一种基于混合评估的制胜要素选择算法。针对战例数据特点,该算法选择两种过滤方法分别从不同方面对要素全集进行评估排序而后加权得到综合排序结果;将结果作为遗传算法的初始种群,而后以分类精度作为个体适应度函数。选择几种典型的分类器综合比较,筛选出规模较小、性能较好的要素子集。测试结果表明,该算法不仅能有效地减少要素子集规模,还可以进一步提高制胜机理分析模型的准确率和效率。     

串联式反后坐装置设计与动力学仿真

利用Runge-Kutta方法确定了火炮串联式后坐系统的参数,设计出串联式反后坐装置结构,并运用ADAMS软件进行了串联式后坐系统动力学仿真,以验证设计结果的准确性。动力学仿真结果与结构设计的参数比较吻合,证明了结构设计结果的准确性,通过串联式后坐系统与单一后坐系统的对比,反映了串联式后坐系统的优越性。     

Statistical analysis for masked system life data from Marshall‐Olkin Weibull distribution under progressive hybrid censoring

This paper considers the statistical analysis of masked data in a series system, where the components are assumed to have Marshall‐Olkin Weibull distribution. Based on type‐I progressive hybrid censored and masked data, we derive the maximum likelihood estimates, approximate confidence intervals, and bootstrap confidence intervals of unknown parameters. As the maximum likelihood estimate does not exist for small sample size, Gibbs sampling is used to obtain the Bayesian estimates and Monte Carlo method is employed to construct the credible intervals based on Jefferys prior with partial information. Numerical simulations are performed to compare the performances of the proposed methods and one data set is analyzed.     

云平台上基于关键路径截取的有向无环图应用调度算法

针对云平台上有向无环图科学应用执行容易产生虚拟机资源过剩、资源使用率低及费用虚高的问题,给出一种基于关键路径截取的有向无环图应用调度算法。该算法采取关键路径截取技术,循环找出最晚完成的未分配任务,从该任务出发,在所有未分配任务构成的图中找出最大连通子图,并计算该子图的关键路径,然后将关键路径上的任务集调度到性能匹配的虚拟机上执行;同时通过任务回填技术充分利用虚拟机的空闲时间槽,提高资源使用率。实验结果表明,在云计算平台上,该算法不仅能够在截止时间内完成有向无环图科学应用,而且可以提高资源使用率,有效减少完成该应用所需整体费用。     

基于景象匹配与惯导信息的SAR平台定位方法

利用高度传感器提供高度信息,结合高精度异源图像匹配技术与惯导系统漂移修正方法实现了SAR平台定位。根据成像中间时刻SAR平台与SAR图像中心线上物点在水平面的投影共线的特性,在单帧图像中心线上均匀选取若干点与光学基准图进行高精度景象匹配,计算平台在水平面上投影位置,并利用高度信息确定其空间位置;再使用序列图像定位结果估计惯导系统漂移参数,对惯导系统输出的位置数据进行修正,实现高精度的SAR平台定位。对各误差因素的影响进行了分析,推导了精度估计公式。仿真和实际序列图像实验结果表明,方法正确可行,平台定位精度较高,具备一定工程实用价值。     

The human consequences of foreign military intervention

The empirical international conflict literature has given much recent attention to interstate armed force’s impact on human well-being. While empirical research has advanced our understanding of the phenomenon considerably, we argue that one conclusion that many studies have reached is preliminary. Some recent research contends that only full-scale war, and not force short of war, has a discernable impact on human welfare or physical quality of life (PQOL). We develop theory on one type of force short of war, large-scale foreign military intervention (FMI), and its potential effects on PQOL. Using interrupted time series and panel corrected standard error methodologies, we find that from 1960 to 2005 large-scale FMI had a statistically and substantively significant impact on the PQOL of populations in 106 developing countries. The specific effect that this type of armed force has depended in large part on the regime type of the target country.     

Terrorism research: should we focus on the opponent or on our own people?

In terrorism research, three different sources of information and data exist: the terrorists and their environment; the incidents; and the population. This article discusses the strengths and weaknesses of research that is concerned with, or relies on, any of the mentioned sources. An in-depth understanding of the methodological issues that come with these sources is important to correctly interpret results from scientific studies. It is highlighted how the different scientific approaches add to a holistic view of terrorism as a phenomenon. Furthermore, the double-edged sword of information in the field of terrorism is discussed. From these deliberations, guidance concerning the future work of both scholars and decision-makers can be deducted.     

飞机电磁弹射系统发展及其关键技术

总结论述了美国和英法国家的飞机电磁弹系统工程化应用研制的发展状况,综述了电磁弹射用直线电机的方案选型设计、仿真技术、性能优化和控制方法等方面的关键技术和研究现状,针对电磁弹射技术的发展前景和应用给出了相关建议,为国内电磁弹射相关技术的发展提供了借鉴。     

相控阵雷达外场试验目标模拟技术研究

针对传统雷达回波模拟技术模拟目标态势单一、建设成本高、灵活性差等缺陷,结合相控阵雷达快速波束定向的扫描特点,提出了一种基于射频存储转发技术和移动阵列平台的相控阵雷达外场试验目标模拟方法。该方法采用射频空间辐射注入的方式为雷达提供较为逼真的三维空间模拟目标回波信号和构建较为复杂的模拟目标场景态势,能够支持包括雷达天线在内的整个雷达系统进行模拟试验或训练。最后通过实例仿真验证了该方法的有效性和可实现性。     

基于本体技术的分布式模拟训练系统操作监控平台

针对分布式模拟训练系统操作训练特点,在基于HLA（High Level Architecture）的模拟训练系统中,提出并建立了基于本体技术的操作训练监控平台,解决了训练系统和监控平台中操作消息的语义异构问题,实现了操作训练情况的动态实时显示。在平台实现中,采用RTI（Run-Time Infrastructure）提供的服务实现了联邦数据收发;建立了操作信息领域本体,采用计算语义相似度的方法实现操作信息由分布交互层向语义层映射;通过专家知识库和操作监控引擎判断操作逻辑合理性;利用View Graph以图形化的方式展示出操作训练情况。最后,通过一个炮车操作训练监控实例,验证了该平台的可行性和有效性。