有色噪声下FIR模型相关辨识精度分析

本文针对离散控制系统的有限脉冲响应（ＦＩＲ）函数模型,研究了在伪随机ｍ序列输入的激励和有色噪声干扰下辨识的精度问题,纠正了参考文献中的错误,得到了有色噪声干扰下ＦＩＲ参数估计精度的显式表达式。同时,给出了辨识精度的下界和上界,分析并得到了达到上下界的条件。文中有实例分析。     

提高CCD作探测器的传函仪测量精度的方法分析

对CCD作探测器的光学传函仪产生测量误差的主要原因进行分析 ,给出了每一种误差因素的消除方法。采用这些消除方法 ,可大大提高传递函数的测量精度     

超精密金刚石车床伺服进给数学模型

首先分析了车床进给系统各环节的传递函数,在此基础上采用频域估计建模和时域建模方法建立了车床伺服进给系统的Ｓ域和Ｚ域模型     

Russia and Strategic Conventional Weapons:

ABSTRACT

Russian political leaders and military strategists are growing increasingly concerned about “strategic conventional weapons”—a broad category that appears to include all non-nuclear, high-precision, standoff weapons—and about long-range, hypersonic weapons, in particular. These concerns are complex and multifaceted (and, in some cases, contradictory), but chief among them are the beliefs that strategic conventional weapons could prove decisive in a major conflict and that Russia is lagging behind in their development. US programs to develop and acquire such weapons—namely, the Conventional Prompt Global Strike program—are of great concern to Russian strategists, who argue both that the United States seeks such weapons for potential use against Russia—its nuclear forces, in particular—and because strategic conventional weapons are more “usable” than nuclear weapons. Asymmetric responses by Russia include increased reliance on tactical nuclear weapons, efforts to enhance the survivability of its nuclear forces, and investments in air and missile defenses. There is also strong—but not completely conclusive evidence—that Russia is responding symmetrically by attempting to develop a long-range, conventionally armed boost-glide weapon.     

Boost-glide Weapons and US-China Strategic Stability

ABSTRACT

The United States and China are testing boost-glide weapons, long-range strike systems capable of flying at Mach 5 or faster through the upper atmosphere. For the United States, these systems would provide a conventional prompt global strike capability, which, together with US ballistic missile defense programs, Chinese experts regard as a threat to China's ability to conduct nuclear retaliation. This perception is encouraging the Chinese military to modify its nuclear posture in ways that tend to create greater risks for both sides. If China's own boost-glide systems are meant to carry nuclear payloads only, their deployment would not fundamentally alter the current situation between the two states. However, if they were conventionally armed or dual-purpose, or if the United States could not determine the payloads they carried, the deployment of Chinese boost-glide systems could compound problems of strategic stability created by the introduction of ballistic missile defense, antisatellite, and antiship ballistic missile capabilities. If the technical hurdles can be overcome, it may be difficult for the two sides to refrain from these deployments in the absence of strong mutual trust or an established arms-control relationship. New confidence-building measures and expanded mutual transparency are warranted to avoid creating new dangers.     

瞄准线稳定精度的影响因素仿真

瞄准线稳定精度是直升机载稳瞄系统的关键技术指标之一,它影响着系统的其他关键性指标如照射精度、跟踪精度、作用距离等。因此提高瞄准线稳定精度是设计和研制机载稳瞄系统至关重要的一项任务。论文分析和研究了影响瞄准线稳定精度的因素,并采用Simulink建立数学模型,对瞄准线稳定精度的影响因素进行仿真分析,得到各因素对稳定精度的影响趋势,为机载稳瞄系统的设计工作提供了理论基础。     

火控雷达协同防空目标跟踪技术

针对火控雷达抗反辐射导弹的对抗要求,将雷达组网理论应用于火控雷达,提出了火控雷达协同防空目标跟踪方法.首先分析了火控雷达目标跟踪原理,同时给出了跟踪性能的评价指标;其次,为了克服单部雷达的局限性研究了组网火控雷达目标跟踪方法;而后,研究了不同的交替周期对系统的影响;最后对不同工作模式的跟踪效果进行了仿真.结果证明采用组网雷达目标跟踪方法可以同时实现对反辐射导弹载机的准确跟踪和对反辐射导弹的有效对抗.     

面向反导预警作战的雷达交接班时机选择方法

针对反导预警作战过程中远程预警相控阵雷达(early-warning radar,EWR)和多功能地基相控阵雷达(ground-based radar,GBR)探测跟踪弹道导弹的交接班问题,提出了一种可行的雷达交接班时机选择方法.该方法通过卡尔曼滤波对弹道目标进行滤波定轨,基于目标瞬时运动状态估算目标剩余飞行距离,并依据GBR对目标的探测定位精度(geometrical dilution of precision,GDOP)进行接班时机优选,以支持反导预警作战雷达交接班决策.最后,通过一个实例验证了该方法的可行性和有效性.     

探测平台目指精度对反舰导弹捕捉效能影响分析*

随着反舰导弹射程的不断增加,反舰导弹远程攻击需要使用远程探测平台提供目标指示。针对反舰导弹与远程探测平台的协同使用问题,提出反舰导弹采用"现在点"射击方式时,探测平台的目指精度与反舰导弹捕捉效能的相关分析模型。通过对模型的仿真计算,得出在不同使用条件下,影响导弹捕捉效能的目指精度。研究表明,导弹射击所需要的目指精度是一个随多个因素变化的量,应根据导弹射击的具体情况,确定相应的目指精度。     

基于截尾正态分布的最大值指标精度换算方法

提出了基于截尾正态分布的最大值指标精度换算方法,为最大值指标与常用精度指标间的精度换算,以及真值测量系统精度指标的确定提供了参考依据。该方法假设系统输出序列中各观测点的合格概率服从对数截尾正态分布;根据给定最大值指标的置信水平及序列样本量,证明并推导了截尾正态分布之截尾上限、截尾下限、均值及标准偏差的计算公式,导出了最大值精度指标与 等常用精度指标间的换算关系,最后结合精密仪器有关理论给出了最大值指标下真值测量系统精度指标的确定方法。实例应用的实验结果表明,该方法是可行的。