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71.
A new connection between the distribution of component failure times of a coherent system and (adaptive) progressively Type‐II censored order statistics is established. Utilizing this property, we develop inferential procedures when the data is given by all component failures until system failure in two scenarios: In the case of complete information, we assume that the failed component is also observed whereas in the case of incomplete information, we have only information about the failure times but not about the components which have failed. In the first setting, we show that inferential methods for adaptive progressively Type‐II censored data can directly be applied to the problem. For incomplete information, we face the problem that the corresponding censoring plan is not observed and that the available inferential procedures depend on the knowledge of the used censoring plan. To get estimates for distributional parameters, we propose maximum likelihood estimators which can be obtained by solving the likelihood equations directly or via an Expectation‐Maximization‐algorithm type procedure. For an exponential distribution, we discuss also a linear estimator to estimate the mean. Moreover, we establish exact distributions for some estimators in the exponential case which can be used, for example, to construct exact confidence intervals. The results are illustrated by a five component bridge system. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 512–530, 2015 相似文献
72.
在建立多种类型武器目标分配模型的基础上,提出了一种求解该模型的改进粒子群算法。首先,定义粒子聚焦距离变化率,使惯性权重依据聚焦距离变化率自适应调整;其次,采用速度最大值线性递减的策略平衡算法收敛精度与全局寻优能力之间的矛盾;最后,粒子替换策略使算法改善了因自适应惯性权重的引入而造成收敛速度变慢的问题。仿真结果表明,提出模型和算法合理有效,算法收敛快,适合求解各种种群规模的武器目标分配问题。 相似文献
73.
以Ｃ语言为工具,采用四阶龙格—库塔法（Ｒｕｎｇｅ－ｋｕｔａ）代替常用的近似解法,用逐步回归法代替常用的迭代法来计算和拟合弹丸的弹道问题,从而为机载计算机和机载平显计算弹丸弹道提供了一种新的、更精确、更具实时性的工作式 相似文献
74.
机电设备油液渗漏是一种典型的多发性故障,利用人工嗅觉技术对渗漏油液挥发气体进行测试从而进行故障诊断是一种新的无损检测方法。使用人工嗅觉系统对模拟柴油、齿轮油和机油渗漏产生的挥发气体进行检测,结果为三维数据阵列(样本×时间×传感器)。应用二维主成分分析法和三维平铺主成分分析法、平行因子分析方法对三种油液挥发气体样本进行分类,结果表明平行因子分析法由于利用了数据集的三维结构信息,所以分类效果更佳;应用主成分回归方法实现了机油挥发气体样本的定量确定,说明使用人工嗅觉系统实现设定阈值报警是可能的。 相似文献
75.
Steven J. Childs 《Defense & Security Analysis》2012,28(4):343-359
With the burgeoning influence of emerging markets in Asia, a tectonic shift is taking place in the global security landscape. Asian states are concomitantly arming as their economic clout grows. In light of these developments, security analysts would benefit from a formal means of placing these arms acquisitions in a structural context. Are arms acquisitions on par with the expectations of Asian states, given their structural dispositions, or are recent acquisitions beyond anticipated levels? By using a dynamic panel regression of 187 states from 1950 to 2011, this research predicts arms import volume using the degree of interstate arms linkages, the size of a state's military, and its level of economic development. The technique offers analysts a formal means of distinguishing orthodox behavior in importing conventional weapons from extraneous security motivations. The article concludes by generating near-term forecasts of Asian arms imports and discussing the implications of the technique. 相似文献
76.
This paper investigates the determinants of provincial terrorism in Turkey taking spatial dimension into account for the time period 1990–2006. Following a traditional global regression analysis, spatial variations in the relationships are examined with geographically weighted regression (GWR) to obtain locally different parameter estimates. Empirical results indicate that increases in income and schooling ratio tend to reduce the provincial average level of terrorism, whereas an increase in unemployment enhances it. Moreover, GWR results indicate that the provincial effects of per capita income and education are more pronounced for the Eastern and South Eastern provinces compared to the Western provinces. 相似文献
77.
We investigate the link between economic performance and terrorism for 18 Latin American countries from 1970 to 2007, taking into account the potentially complex nature of this link. Panel causality analysis findings indicate that during this period, terrorism had no causal effect on economic growth. By contrast, we find that growth reduced terrorism in the less developed but not in the higher developed Latin American economies. We argue that group-specific differences (linked to patterns of economic development) govern this causal heterogeneity. From a series of negative binomial regressions we gain additional support for our findings, while also identifying further determinants of terrorism. 相似文献
78.
在无线传感器网络（WSN）定位应用中,针对接收信号强度指示（RSSI）容易受到环境的影响不能实现准确测距的问题,提出了一种基于RSSI线性回归分析的定位方法。该方法通过信号衰减模型和线性回归理论相结合,修正实际环境下每个锚节点的测距模型,同时利用相关系数和剩余标准差对测距模型进行评估,制定出更加合理的定位策略。实验表明,采用修正的测距模型和新的定位策略,使得节点定位精度明显提高。 相似文献
79.
We consider two regression models: linear and logistic. The dependent variable is observed periodically and in each period a Bayesian formulation is used to generate updated forecasts of the dependent variable as new data is observed. One would expect that including new data in the Bayesian updates results in improved forecasts over not including the new data. Our findings indicate that this is not always true. We show there exists a subset of the independent variable space that we call the “region of no learning.” If the independent variable values for a given period in the future are in this region, then the forecast does not change with any new data. Moreover, if the independent variable values are in a neighborhood of the region of no learning, then there may be little benefit to wait for the new data and update the forecast. We propose a statistical approach to characterize this neighborhood which we call the “region of little learning.” Our results provide insights into the trade‐offs that exist in situations when the decision maker has an incentive to make an early decision based on an early forecast versus waiting to make a later decision based on an updated forecast. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 532–548, 2014 相似文献
80.