基于概率影响图的空战能力评估模型

基于空战指标间复杂的影响关系,引入概率影响图,并结合指标间重要程度的比较对飞机空战能力进行客观评估。利用空战信息流图,依据作战结果计算能力指标值与发生概率,构建空战模型的概率影响图;定性分析能力指标间的影响关系,定量计算综合影响权重;综合考虑比较权和影响权,计算空战能力值。结果证明,影响关系在空战能力评估中占有很大比重。     

The human consequences of foreign military intervention

The empirical international conflict literature has given much recent attention to interstate armed force’s impact on human well-being. While empirical research has advanced our understanding of the phenomenon considerably, we argue that one conclusion that many studies have reached is preliminary. Some recent research contends that only full-scale war, and not force short of war, has a discernable impact on human welfare or physical quality of life (PQOL). We develop theory on one type of force short of war, large-scale foreign military intervention (FMI), and its potential effects on PQOL. Using interrupted time series and panel corrected standard error methodologies, we find that from 1960 to 2005 large-scale FMI had a statistically and substantively significant impact on the PQOL of populations in 106 developing countries. The specific effect that this type of armed force has depended in large part on the regime type of the target country.     

多民族地区受教育程度、国家通用语言能力对劳动者收入的影响分析——基于中介效应视角分析

研究基于中国综合社会调查2010年及2017年的微观数据,运用中介模型对七个多民族地区劳动者国家通用语言能力在受教育程度对其收入影响中的中介效应进行分析。得出在受教育程度对个体收入的正向影响中,国家通用语言能力起到部分中介作用,对劳动者收入有明显促进作用,且随着多民族地区经济发展以及推普工作的开展,国家通用语言能力对个体收入的正向影响力有所减弱,受教育程度对个体收入的正向影响力有所增强。因此应注重通过提升劳动者国家通用语言能力促进多民族地区经济发展,持续重视国家通用语言能力在多民族地区劳动者就业能力中的基础性作用以及为其带来的经济收益。     

归零制度在学位论文质量保障体系建设中的应用

学位论文是衡量研究生培养质量的重要标志之一。鉴于开题、答辩等重要论文质量监控环节出现的走过场、走形式现象,提出将问题归零制度引入学位论文质量保障体系之中。通过明确归零范围、基本要求、责任主体和处理程序,构建了保障学位论文质量的归零制度设想。     

从孙子“静以幽，正以治”谈军校学员领导力培养

坚强的领导力是确保军事行动成功的关键。军校学员领导力不同于普通意义上的领导力。孙子“静以幽,正以治”的论述,揭示了军校学员领导力培养的基本内容、基本标准和各内容之间的辩证关系,对军校学员领导力培养具有重要的启迪意义。军校必须将培养超常的心质作为学员领导力的基础,把提升思维的广度和深度作为学员领导力的保障,将培养强烈的感召力作为学员领导力的核心,将培养坚强的执行力作为学员领导力的支撑。     

Return policy: Hassle‐free or your money‐back guarantee?

This article compares the profitability of two pervasively adopted return policies—money‐back guarantee and hassle‐free policies. In our model, a seller sells to consumers with heterogeneous valuations and hassle costs. Products are subject to quality risk, and product misfit can only be observed post‐purchase. While the hassle‐free policy is cost advantageous from the seller's viewpoint, a money‐back guarantee allows the seller to fine‐tune the consumer hassle on returning the product. Thus, when the two return policies lead to the same consumer behaviors, the hassle‐free policy dominates. Conversely, a money‐back guarantee can be more profitable even if on average, high‐valuation consumers experience a lower hassle cost than the low‐valuation ones. The optimal hassle cost can be higher when product quality gets improved; thus, it is not necessarily a perfect proxy or signal of the seller's quality. We further allow the seller to adopt a mixture of these policies, and identify the concrete operating regimes within which these return policies are optimal among more flexible policies. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 403–417, 2014     

TAX EFFICIENCY AND QUALITY/QUANTITY TRADE‐OFFS IN DEFENSE PROCUREMENT*

In this article the effect of defense spending on aggregate output is discussed. Recent publications in this area are reviewed and new additional evidence is provided. The findings presented in this paper are supportive of the positive effect of defense spending. However, in light of the contrary evidence presented in other papers, empirical evidence taken as a whole, suggests that a definitive conclusion about the effect of defense spending at this time should be avoided.     

编辑的作者意识与作者的编辑意识

提高期刊出版质量是期刊编辑的共同心愿。进入核心期刊或者按照核心期刊编辑出版刊物,已经成为大多期刊编辑的自觉追求。期刊编辑的作者意识和作者的编辑意识辩证统一,二者良性互动,共同促进期刊编辑出版质量不断提高。     

汉、回、维及其他民族3-6岁幼儿家庭教育期望研究——基于新疆兵团S市的问卷调查

利用"3-6岁幼儿家庭教养方式调查研究"基础数据,研究讨论了汉、回、维及其他民族3-6岁幼儿家庭教育期望及其影响因素,旨在回答汉、回、维及其他民族3-6岁幼儿家庭教育期望的基本状况,影响汉、回、维及其他民族3-6岁幼儿家庭教育期望的主要因素这两个问题。本文从学历期望、职业期望和能力期望三个方面研究家庭教育期望,研究发现幼儿父母对孩子的学历期望普遍偏高,以本科以上学历为主,同时表现出"顺其自然"的趋势;幼儿父母对孩子的职业期望呈现"尊重儿童职业兴趣"的特点;幼儿父母对孩子的能力期望以"学前技能"为主。族别与家庭教育中的学历期望存在差异;父亲文化程度与家庭教育中的能力期望存在极其显著差异;母亲文化程度与家庭教育中的能力期望存在差异,与职业期望存在极其显著的差异;家庭户籍与家庭教育中的能力期望存在差异,与职业期望存在显著差异;家庭收入状况与家庭教育中的职业期望和能力期望均存在极其显著差异。     

搭建实践平台提高大学生创新能力的培养研究——以石河子大学为例

大学生创新能力是大学人才培养的重要方面,高等学校应当把创新能力的培养作为大学生素质教育的重点。本文以石河子大学为例从转变观念,重视大学生的实践活动,积极搭建实践平台为切入点阐述了大学生创新能力培养的新途径。