采用时序多属性评价方法的空战威胁排序

鉴于空战中威胁目标的多属性及动态变化特点,提出采用时序多属性评价方法来解决空战目标动态威胁排序问题。在建立空战威胁指标体系基础上,采用熵权法确定目标属性权重,并通过指数分布法确定各时刻权重,最后综合依据威胁目标多时刻的属性信息,实现了空战动态威胁排序。仿真结果说明该方法的合理性。     

基于时间切片的通信计划合规性评估模型

针对体系作战背景下通信计划规划任务多线性和关系复杂的问题,提出了一种通信计划合规性评估模型。该模型通过构建计划时间切片,描述了多个通信保障任务主线在各阶段的全局关系视图,并定义了通信链路连接矩阵、电磁频谱三级规划和指控系统命名类量化,描述了通信计划的基本内容,同时定义了3类评估规则和3种评估运算法则,形成了完整的合规性评估体系。最后,通过实例分析验证了模型有效性,结果表明,评估模型能够较好地区分不同信息需求下的通信计划合理程度。     

基于案例推理的装甲装备故障排除方法

针对装备维修对实践经验的依赖以及经验的隐性化特点,重点对故障案例的表示及案例库组织进行研究,奠定案例检索的基础,优化基于案例推理的装甲装备故障排除方法。     

基于锥形量热法的油池火相似性及点火特性模拟实验

针对油料池火灾相似性及点火特性研究需要,构建了一种基于耗氧原理的油池火锥形量热法模拟实验系统,引入火灾尺度相似性概念,研究了实验室尺度油池火与真实尺度油池火的相似性关系,探讨了实验室尺度油池火预测真实尺度油池火的可行性,基于实验室尺度锥形量热法研究了油池火点火特性,得到了辐射强度、辐射距离对油料点燃时间的影响规律以及点燃时间与锥照射强度之间的拟合公式。     

基于自适应二阶终端滑模的航天器有限时间姿态机动算法

针对航天器有限时间姿态机动问题,提出一种自适应二阶终端滑模控制算法。设计一种终端滑模面,保证系统状态能够在有限时间内沿滑模面收敛到系统原点;为克服系统抖振,设计了二阶终端滑模控制器,并采用参数自适应估计项补偿系统中的外部干扰力矩。基于Lyapunov函数法证明了二阶自适应终端滑模控制器能够保证闭环系统实际有限时间稳定。仿真结果表明,提出的姿态机动算法响应速度快、精度高,能够有效实现对系统抖振和外部干扰的抑制,具有重要的科学意义和工程应用价值。     

ANALYSIS OF CONFLICT WITHIN A CONTESTED LAND: THE CASE OF KASHMIR

This paper considers the case of Kashmir to examine the relation between the people of the contested land (Indian-occupied Kashmir) and one of the nation states claiming it (India, in this case) in a game-theoretic framework. The motivation for this paper was whether it was possible to rationalize the lack of democratic space in Kashmir, relative to other states in India (especially since the founding fathers of the country had announced such democratic practices to be the guiding principles of the new nation) and at the same time, a highly rigid stance of the Indian Government on the Kashmir issue. An otherwise standard political economic model is used to capture how the way in which citizens determine their allegiance to one or the other nation state (India or Pakistan) can, in turn, affect the nation state's (India's) policies towards the contested land. I conclude that if the Indian Government perceives allegiance of the citizens to be determined primarily by partisan preferences of the citizens, not so much by their preferences for policies, then the government rationally concentrates on minimizing its disutility due to deviations from its ‘most-favorite' policy. This understanding rationalizes the policies of the Indian Government towards Kashmir. More importantly, it points towards areas that need consideration for any peace-making process to take-off.     

Revisiting the Defense–Growth nexus in European countries

This study revisits the long run and dynamic causal linkages between defense spending and economic growth in 15 selected European countries for the period 1988–2010 by utilizing recent developments in non-stationary panel data analysis. To this end, the series properties of per capita defense spending, per capita real capita stocks, and per capita real GDP are investigated by the panel unit root tests with and without breaks that support evidence on unit root. The panel cointegration tests with and without breaks are also subsequently employed to investigate whether there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship between these three variables. Finally, our causality analysis from panel vector error-correction model suggests that there is a feedback relation between real capital stock and real GDP in both short and long run, a one-way Granger causality running from real GDP to defense spending in both short and long run, and defense spending only Granger causes real capital stock in the long run.     

Private security contractors and international humanitarian law—a skirmish for recognition in international armed conflicts

In recent international armed conflicts private security contractors (PSCs) have played an ever increasing role and military advisors and tribunals are facing the dilemma of assessing the primary and secondary status of PSCs under international humanitarian law. In this article the misconception that PSCs are necessarily mercenaries will be dispelled. The possibility that PSCs might be categorised as combatants or civilians will then be explored. The conclusion is that where they are incorporated into the armed forces of a state, PSCs might attain combatant status. However, given that states are reluctant to formally incorporate PSCs into their armed forces, they will most likely remain essentially civilian. Their degree of participation in hostilities will determine whether they retain their immunity under international humanitarian law from attack and prosecution (as civilians) or whether they are rendered unlawful belligerents.     

金属射流欧姆加热效应的影响因素分析

为探究影响金属射流欧姆加热效应的因素,在被动电磁装甲系统等效电路模型的基础上,根据虚拟源点理论建立金属射流的作用时间模型,进一步明确金属射流在侵彻被动电磁装甲过程中每部分射流微元的作用时间;结合金属射流的比作用量模型,利用Matlab软件对金属射流的电流和比作用量波形随被动电磁装甲系统的电感、电容、电阻和充电电压的变化规律进行数值分析．仿真结果表明：随着系统电感的减小、电阻的减小、电容的增大和充电电压的增大,金属射流比作用量的峰值增大,有利于射流发生电爆炸．     

预应力作用超磁致伸缩材料磁滞回线的温度敏感性分析

超磁致伸缩材料Terfenol-D具有应力温度敏感特性。通过循环油浴加热的实验方法,测量超磁致伸缩材料在力热磁耦合下的磁滞回线,发现预应力的增加有效降低了温度对材料低磁场性能的影响,材料显示了良好的低磁场温度稳定性能。试件在高预应力120 MPa、磁场强度300 kA/m的条件,磁化强度出现先增大后减小的现象,磁化衰减幅度得到减弱。