军事装备系统可靠性设计分析

军事装备系统是决定战争胜负的关键因素之一,装备系统的可靠性直接决定装备系统效能的发挥。军事装备系统的可靠性定量分析结果,是军事装备系统进行可靠性设计的重要依据。本文利用系统工程的理论,结合军事装备系统特殊要求,定量的分析了装备系统可靠性模型,提出了增强装备系统可靠性的设计方法。     

Analysis of the mass of behind-armor debris generated by RHA subjected to normal penetration of variable cross-section EFP

Analyzing the mass of behind-armor debris (BAD) generated by Rolled Homogeneous Armor (RHA) subjected to normal penetration of variable cross-section Explosively Formed Projectile (EFP) is the purpose of this paper. So theoretical analysis, numerical simulation and experimental data are combined to analyze the influence of variable cross-section characteristic on the time history of crater radius. Moreover the relationships between time history of crater radius (as well as mass of BAD) and the thickness of RHA (from 30 mm to 70 mm) and the impact velocity of EFP (1650 m/s to 1860 m/s) are also investigated. The results indicate that: 1) being compared to the variable cross-section characteristic is ignored, the theoretical time history of crater radius is in better agreement with the simulation results when the variable cross-section characteristic is considered; 2) being compared to the other three conditions of plug, the theoretical mass of BAD is in the best agreement with the simulation results when the shape of plug is frustum of a cone and the angle between generatrix and bottom is 45° and the axial length of mushroom is considered.     

多平台对AAM协同制导交接班模型

通过对协同制导交接班的类型进行分析,建立了防空武器系统对AAM(Anti-aircraft Missile)协同制导交接班的坐标转换模型、误差模型及雷达截获概率模型。通过模拟产生随机误差,利用Monte-Carlo方法进行计算,得出不同误差源对协同制导交接班概率影响的定量关系。实验结果证明了所建模型的有效性,误差分析结论可作为协同制导交接班精度控制的依据。     

基于正交试验法的冗余捷联惯组故障诊断实验方法研究

冗余捷联惯组是运载火箭控制系统的重要设备,需要对其进行故障检测和隔离以保证系统正常工作,所应用的故障检测算法需要进行有效性评估。由于惯组器件配置和故障形式的多样性,所有故障情形进行逐一测试不可能的,因此提出利用正交试验法安排实验,对广义似然比故障检测算法进行性能检测。试验结果表明应用正交试验实现了故障情形的良好覆盖性,有效减少了试验次数,并且从测试数据中验证了故障检测算法的有效性。     

穿浪双体船纵向运动模糊PID控制

针对穿浪双体船高速情况下的纵摇和垂荡运动影响乘船舒适性的问题,分析了穿浪双体船的运动规律,给出了其纵向运动控制模型,并根据控制模型的多输入多输出系统特点,分别针对纵摇和升沉两个通道设计了独立的PID控制器。在此基础上,进一步将模糊控制理论应用于PID参数的整定,给出了具体的设计方法,并根据人工经验设计了详细的参数整定规则。经仿真分析表明:模糊逻辑的引入使得PID控制器具备了自适应功能,能够取得更好的减摇效果。     

要地防空导弹飞行试验指挥显示系统的设计

通过对靶场导弹飞行试验发射阵地指挥显示系统的介绍,阐明了试验指挥系统设计的思路、显示内容、建立原则和实现方法,其中重点对系统相关设计和技术实现方法进行了详细阐述。     

What explains the failure of U.S. army reconstruction in Afghanistan?

ABSTRACT

This author wrote his doctorate thesis on post-conflict army reconstruction, submitting it in 2011. Continued research on the subject in the intervening seven years indicates that his theoretical propositions can be refined and improved. This article examines refinements to the model, and then applies those refinements in detail to the Afghan case. In so doing, it shifts the focus from potentially altruistic state-building to a case that was driven by pure national-strategic interests. Issues surrounding the liberal peace ideology dominate recent army reconstruction in conflict-affected states. The liberal peace underpinning is of supreme importance, so much so that in many discussions, it is internalised and accepted virtually without thought. This paper will advance the body of knowledge by establishing, for the first time, a theoretical basis for the widespread failure of army reconstruction in Afghanistan. The empirical basis builds on extensive previous research by other scholars. The resulting model can also be applied to better explain outcomes in other similar cases.     

同时射击时反坦克导弹视场交叉数学模型研究

反坦克导弹同时射击时测角视场交叉可能引起导弹失控,针对此问题,利用信息系统的位置地理信息,参照装备的基本性能参数,构建了配置阵地的数学模型,得出了同时射击的可行性判据,为阵地射击指挥提供了决策支持。     

面向任务的战术行动自主协同关系模型

在信息化战争的大背景下,战术行动中团队协同作战一直是研究的重点问题,而如何建立自主协同关系是团队协同研究的一个难点问题。在分析已有团队协同理论和框架的基础上,提出一种面向任务的战术行动自主协同关系模型建立方法。该模型首先根据当前战场态势和上级任务发布自主协同任务集合,各作战单元根据战场态势和自主决策自愿参与自主协同任务,其次利用作战单元与自主协同任务间的相互关系实现对关键角色的判断。如果关键协同成员参与自主协同任务则自主协同关系建立成功,反之,建立失败。     

震灾应急物资动态需求预测模型研究

为提高应急物资需求预测方法的实用性,同时考虑提前期和需求的不确定性,采用安全库存理论构建震灾应急物资动态需求预测模型,以观测得到的实际到货量、实际消耗量和实时剩余库存量等信息来动态预测当前时刻应急物资的需求量。应用算例表明,所建模型不仅能够准确反映需求量与被保障人员总数的正相关关系,而且还能实时体现被保障人员总数的变化情况。因此,该模型能够为震灾过程中应急物资需求量的确定提供科学决策依据,具有一定的实用价值和应用前景。