导弹飞行时安全系统保险失效时间的分布模型

根据安全系统在导弹飞行过程中受外界环境信息的冲击而解除保险这一物理过程,推断了安全系统的保险失效时间服从截尾Ｇａｍ ｍ ａ 分布模型,并讨论了在保险失效建模和评估等统计过程中非常有用的截尾Ｇａｍ ｍ ａ 分布的一些特性。     

提高导弹系统仿真可信性的方法和途径

探讨了提高导弹系统仿真可信性的基本方法和实现途径。从４个方面着重考虑：加强模型校验管理;利用层次化方法进行建模与验模;基于一体化研究思想的建模与验模;加强模型的验证、确认和认定（ＶＶ＆Ａ）的具体方法研究。具有一定的理论意义和工程指导价值     

Φ2mm丝材电弧喷涂工艺对涂层结合强度的影响

分析了喷砂预处理和电弧喷涂这两个过程的工艺参数对涂层的结合强度的影响。将分数维理论用于喷砂后的试样表面,研究了喷砂角度、分数维和结合强度的相互关系,找到了获得最高结合强度所用的喷砂角度;通过正交试验法,找到了能获得最佳涂层结合强度的Φ2mm丝材电弧喷涂工艺参数。     

基于SLAM的图形建模仿真环境

本文详细介绍了基于ＳＬＡＭ的图形建模仿真环境的设计与应用，包括图形建模环境的实现，ＳＬＡＭ网络的进程交互仿真策略以及仿真器的设计，并进一步探讨了该系统用于协同仿真进行混合异构建模的思想。     

MPP数据并行FORTRAN汇编代码模拟环境的设计与实现

本文阐述了一种在单机上模拟ＭＰＰ机执行并行汇编代码的方法。这种并行汇编代码由ＭＰＰＦＯＲＴＲＡＮ编译器生成。由于在一个大型工程中，编译生成的目标代码运行环境不一定能及时具备，所以，研制汇编代码模拟环境ＤＰＦＡＳ有助于及早验证编译目标代码的正确性和完备性。本文通过共享进程组在ＳＧＩ工作站上实现多机环境模拟和远程地址访问模拟。此模拟环境的实现对ＭＰＰ数据并行ＦＯＲＴＲＡＮ编译器的正确性验证和效率评估有一定的帮助。     

流体动力式强声源研究

针对现代强声学技术研究的需要,从声压级的角度,对所设计的流体动力式强声发生器的性能参数开展了实验研究,得到了工作压力、簧片与喷口之间的距离以及簧片的劈角对该强声发生器辐射声场声压级的初步影响规律.实验结果表明,在较优的工况条件下,该强声发生器出口处可实现140dB(最大声压级)以上声辐射输出.     

学分制条件下高校教学管理工作方法探析

学分制是学分计量学生学习量的教学管理制度,较传统的学年制有一定优越性,学分制只有与教学管理、科学研究、学生工作、后勤服务等各个领域相互配套,才能达到高效、合理、有序的目标。学分制教育教学管理模式的逐步实施,需要教学管理工作有与之相适应的工作方法。     

Minimizing the false alarm rate in systems with transient abnormality

We consider a stochastic partially observable system that can switch between a normal state and a transient abnormal state before entering a persistent abnormal state. Only the persistent abnormal state requires alarms. The transient and persistent abnormal states may be similar in appearance, which can result in excess false alarms. We propose a partially observable Markov decision process model to minimize the false alarm rate, subject to a given upper bound on the expected alarm delay time. The cost parameter is treated as the Lagrange multiplier, which can be estimated from the bound of the alarm delay. We show that the optimal policy has a control‐limit structure on the probability of persistent abnormality, and derive closed‐form bounds for the control limit and present an algorithm to specify the Lagrange multiplier. We also study a specialized model where the transient and persistent abnormal states have the same observation distribution, in which case an intuitive “watchful‐waiting” policy is optimal. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 320–334, 2016     

Bayesian enhanced decision making for deteriorating repairable systems with preventive maintenance

Since a system and its components usually deteriorate with age, preventive maintenance (PM) is often performed to restore or keep the function of a system in a good state. Furthermore, PM is capable of improving the health condition of the system and thus prolongs its effective age. There has been a vast amount of research to find optimal PM policies for deteriorating repairable systems. However, such decisions involve numerous uncertainties and the analyses are typically difficult to perform because of the scarcity of data. It is therefore important to make use of all information in an efficient way. In this article, a Bayesian decision model is developed to determine the optimal number of PM actions for systems which are maintained according to a periodic PM policy. A non‐homogeneous Poisson process with a power law failure intensity is used to describe the deteriorating behavior of the repairable system. It is assumed that the status of the system after a PM is somewhere between as good as new for a perfect repair and as good as old for a minimal repair, and for failures between two preventive maintenances, the system undergoes minimal repairs. Finally, a numerical example is given and the results of the proposed approach are discussed after performing sensitivity analysis. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于ARIS的战时修理业务流程仿真研究

利用ARIS建模方法与工具，对战时装备修理业务流程进行了仿真研究。以陆军某机步师某型装备为例，给出了战时修理业务的主流程模型以及各分支模型，通过仿真运行及结果分析，得出了制约该流程的瓶颈和需要进一步优化的对象，为装备维修保障过程仿真提供了一个很好的思路和方法。该方法对于开发战时维修保障效能仿真评估系统，实现维修保障系统的动态仿真和全要素评估具有重要的支撑作用。