应用径向基代理模型实现序列自适应再采样优化策略

针对径向基插值代理模型样本点预测误差为零时无法获得误差函数进行序列再采样优化的问题,将样本点分布约束引入序列再采样过程,利用潜在最优解加速收敛性,提出一种适用于径向基插值代理模型序列优化的再采样策略,该策略兼顾仿真模型的输出响应特性与样本点的空间分布特性。仿真结果表明,使用该再采样策略后,算法寻优效率和精度均优于传统基于代理模型的优化方法,在对最优解进行有效预测的同时,能显著减少原始模型计算次数。     

Effect of post weld heat treatment on tensile properties and microstructure characteristics of friction stir welded armour grade AA7075-T651 aluminium alloy

This paper reports the effects of post weld heat treatments, namely artificial ageing and solution treatment followed by artificial ageing, on microstructure and mechanical properties of 12 mm thick friction stir welded joints of precipitation hardenable high strength armour grade AA7075-T651 aluminium alloy. The tensile properties, such as yield strength, tensile strength, elongation and notch tensile strength, are evaluated and correlated with the microhardness and microstructural features. The scanning electron microscope is used to characterie the fracture surfaces. The solution treatment followed by ageing heat treatment cycle is found to be marginally beneficial in improving the tensile properties of friction stir welds of AA7075-T651 aluminium alloy.     

作战系统的序参量及其演化方程

"新三论"(包括耗散结构论、协同学和突变论)作为一种新的世界观,给研究作战系统这个复杂的非线性系统提供了新的视角。运用"新三论"的思想和方法指出作战系统的序参量,建立序参量方程,分析序参量演化稳定性与途径,得出一些有价值的结论,对于探索作战系统发展演变的规律具有重要意义。     

Efficient sequential decision‐making algorithms for container inspection operations

Following work of Stroud and Saeger (Proceedings of ISI, Springer Verlag, New York, 2006) and Anand et al. (Proceedings of Computer, Communication and Control Technologies, 2003), we formulate a port of entry inspection sequencing task as a problem of finding an optimal binary decision tree for an appropriate Boolean decision function. We report on new algorithms for finding such optimal trees that are more efficient computationally than those presented by Stroud and Saeger and Anand et al. We achieve these efficiencies through a combination of specific numerical methods for finding optimal thresholds for sensor functions and two novel binary decision tree search algorithms that operate on a space of potentially acceptable binary decision trees. The improvements enable us to analyze substantially larger applications than was previously possible. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

Allocating capacity in parallel queues to improve their resilience to deliberate attack

We develop models that lend insight into how to design systems that enjoy economies of scale in their operating costs, when those systems will subsequently face disruptions from accidents, acts of nature, or an intentional attack from a well‐informed attacker. The systems are modeled as parallel M/M/1 queues, and the key question is how to allocate service capacity among the queues to make the system resilient to worst‐case disruptions. We formulate this problem as a three‐level sequential game of perfect information between a defender and a hypothetical attacker. The optimal allocation of service capacity to queues depends on the type of attack one is facing. We distinguish between deterministic incremental attacks, where some, but not all, of the capacity of each attacked queue is knocked out, and zero‐one random‐outcome (ZORO) attacks, where the outcome is random and either all capacity at an attacked queue is knocked out or none is. There are differences in the way one should design systems in the face of incremental or ZORO attacks. For incremental attacks it is best to concentrate capacity. For ZORO attacks the optimal allocation is more complex, typically, but not always, involving spreading the service capacity out somewhat among the servers. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

22SiMn2TiB装甲钢异种焊接接头超声波探伤探头设计

用常规探头对22SiMn2TiB装甲钢与TWE312异种钢焊接接头进行缺陷检测,杂波和伪缺陷波导致灵敏度、信噪比不高。用扫描电镜观察到这种异种钢焊接接头主要为奥氏体+铁素体组织,其中奥氏体是主体组织。根据焊缝的组织特点,设计出了2.5P13×13K1.5型专用探头。在预制缺陷的焊接接头上进行了验证试验,结果表明2.5P13×13K1.5探头对接头内部的缺陷具有较高的检出率。     

Capacity allocation with traditional and Internet channels

In this paper we study a capacity allocation problem for two firms, each of which has a local store and an online store. Customers may shift among the stores upon encountering a stockout. One question facing each firm is how to allocate its finite capacity (i.e., inventory) between its local and online stores. One firm's allocation affects the decision of the rival, thereby creating a strategic interaction. We consider two scenarios of a single‐product single‐period model and derive corresponding existence and stability conditions for a Nash equilibrium. We then conduct sensitivity analysis of the equilibrium solution with respect to price and cost parameters. We also prove the existence of a Nash equilibrium for a generalized model in which each firm has multiple local stores and a single online store. Finally, we extend the results to a multi‐period model in which each firm decides its total capacity and allocates this capacity between its local and online stores. A myopic solution is derived and shown to be a Nash equilibrium solution of a corresponding “sequential game.” © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

落点散布鉴定中Bayes序贯截尾方法的运用

本文研究再入飞行器落点散布的鉴定方法。构造了 Ｂａｙｅｓ 序贯截尾方案；分析了可能冒的风险，给出了计算方法； 对于 Ｂａｙｅｓ 方法运用中的关键问题——验前信息的运用及验前概率的计算， 作了较详细的论述。文中提出的方法， 适用于小子样场合下的试验鉴定问题。     

序列近似优化方法

随着工程优化中仿真模型精度和计算时间的不断提高,常规的智能优化方法难以在可接受的计算代价中得到最优解。序列近似优化方法通过将近似模型技术引入优化过程,并采用不断更新采样点的方法来指导寻优,在基于计算耗时模型的优化中得到了越来越广泛的应用。通过论述序列近似优化方法的若干关键技术及其发展现状,可有效指导其在工程优化中的应用,并给出了序列近似优化方法可能的改进方法及发展趋势。     

二维非线性正交各向异性材料的瞬态热传导反问题数值方法

针对正交各向异性材料的二维非线性热传导反问题,采用顺序函数法进行表面热流辨识问题的研究。在求解反问题时,采用有限体积法、牛顿-拉夫逊法并引入未来时间步的概念。在每个时间步内,将待辨识热流视为非线性方程组的未知量,通过一个迭代过程进行求解。算例的研究表明,热流辨识结果与真实热流相近,从而证明了本方法在辨识二维非线性热传导反问题时是准确、稳定、有效的。