基于GAHP-模糊综合评价的南海方向潜艇威胁评估

为有效解决我南海方向有限反潜能力与广域反潜要求不相适应的矛盾,提出“分区评估威胁,分类建设体系”的思路。针对潜艇威胁主要影响因素,建立潜艇威胁评估指标体系,运用GAHP-模糊综合评价相结合的方法,对潜艇威胁进行量化评估,为合理用兵,实现反潜体系的最优化建设提供依据。     

基于梯度方向二进制模式的空间金字塔模型方法

空间金字塔模型由于其优势在当前图像分类中得到了广泛应用。然而,其码本生成和特征量化这两个环节具有较高的计算复杂度。为了解决这个问题,提出了一种新的局部特征表述———梯度方向二进制模式,首先对图像稠密采样得到多个子图像块,再将每个子图像块均匀划分为2×2个网格,计算每个网格的梯度直方图,然后对所有网格的梯度主方向进行二进制编码并连接为二进制串值,该二进制串值转换的十进制数即为子图像块的特征表述,最后将该特征表述嵌入到SPM模型中。在标准分类数据库上的实验结果证明了本方法在算法耗时和分类精度上均优于基于SIFT的SPM方法。     

Sequential learning versus no learning in Bayesian regression models

We consider two regression models: linear and logistic. The dependent variable is observed periodically and in each period a Bayesian formulation is used to generate updated forecasts of the dependent variable as new data is observed. One would expect that including new data in the Bayesian updates results in improved forecasts over not including the new data. Our findings indicate that this is not always true. We show there exists a subset of the independent variable space that we call the “region of no learning.” If the independent variable values for a given period in the future are in this region, then the forecast does not change with any new data. Moreover, if the independent variable values are in a neighborhood of the region of no learning, then there may be little benefit to wait for the new data and update the forecast. We propose a statistical approach to characterize this neighborhood which we call the “region of little learning.” Our results provide insights into the trade‐offs that exist in situations when the decision maker has an incentive to make an early decision based on an early forecast versus waiting to make a later decision based on an updated forecast. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 532–548, 2014     

The sixteenth-century antecedents of special operations ‘small war’

The first conceptual, theoretical treatises about small war (la petite guerre) as special operations appeared only from the middle of the seventeenth century. The term is not used in the eighteenth-century sense of ‘special operations’ in older sources. The supposed absence of any treatment of the subject is surprising considering the obsession with the ‘art of war’ in the Renaissance, but other authors attribute it to a supposed antinomy between chivalric ideals and irregular warfare. But the absence of explicit manuals on the subject is not evidence of absence of advanced reflection on this kind of operations in the Middle Ages and in Early Modern times. We should thus look elsewhere, in other genres, for writings that contain and pass on military knowledge. Epics, romances, educational and military treatises, and memoirs in fact contain elements of a theory of special operations, even though these genres differ from our conception of rationality inherited from the Enlightenment.     

Guerrillas and bandits in the Serranía de Ronda, 1810–1812

The Spanish Guerrilla (1808–1812) which has given its name to ideologically motivated insurgencies is usually portrayed as a patriotic uprising against the French occupation forces of Napoleon. It was that, in part, but also many other things besides. This case study illustrates its overlap and convergence with banditry but also with social unrest turned into uprisings directed by poor Spaniards against their creditors, as in the storming of Ronda by insurgents in 1810. From the propaganda of the day to the subsequent Spanish patriotic historiography, there has been a tendency to exaggerate the amplitude of events and also the damage that was done to the French forces and the casualty figures inflicted on them.     

建（构）筑物消防员职业技能培训鉴定工作探析

建（构）筑物消防员普遍存在职业素质偏低、缺乏专业培训、消防科技水平不高、无职业技能等级等问题,是导致火灾事故频发和造成惨重经济损失及人员伤亡的重要原因。对建（构）筑物消防员实行持证上岗,是推进消防工作社会化进程的当务之急。结合工作实践,分析了当前建（构）筑物消防员队伍现状,阐述了开展消防职业技能鉴定的必要性、可行性和实际操作中存在的问题,并提出了相应的应对策略。     

幼教专业学生幼儿性教育知识结构现状与建议——基于福建省一所学校的调查

幼儿性教育是成年后性心理教育的基础。采用问卷调查法对幼高专幼教专业学生幼儿性教育本体性知识和实践性知识进行了现状调查,调查显示幼高专幼教专业学生所掌握的与幼儿性教育有关的本体性知识不全面、实践知识也不合理;同时,学生本体性知识的缺乏又使得幼儿性教育难于实施。在此基础上,本文提出发展学生幼儿性教育知识结构的途径:幼儿性教育课程化;重视以学生为主体的性教育教学实践,引导学生主动建构幼儿性教育知识结构。     

兵团高校大学生理想信念教育现状探究

通过对石河子大学、塔里木大学700名大学生的问卷调查显示,当前兵团高校大学生理想信念的主流是积极健康的,但仍存在许多令人担忧的问题;教育上,在不断加强中仍有很多需要改进的薄弱环节。为此,要加强兵团高校大学生理想信念教育,就需要做到加强理论教育、选择有效方法、提高教育队伍素质、明确教育目标,突出兵团特色,使教育具有针对性和时效性。     

新疆中小学师资队伍结构现状及其应对思考

本文从教师的数量、学历、职称、性别、学科、民族等方面对新疆目前中小学教师队伍的结构现状进行了分析,结果发现:新疆目前中小学教师队伍供需存在矛盾,乡村高学历教师严重匮乏,教师职称结构有待进一步优化,男女教师比例严重失调,农村教师学科结构失衡,双语教师严重不足。因此,有关部门应该采取有效措施,科学合理地配置教师资源,积极稳步地推进新疆中小学教师队伍的调整与改革。     

新疆少数民族大学生就业能力结构维度研究

以新疆地区的6所高校少数民族大学生为研究对象进行问卷调查,采用分层整群抽样、数理统计的方法。得出新疆少数民族大学生就业能力的结构维度。包括专业知识能力、实践能力、自我学习发展能力、人际交往能力、情绪调适能力、职业发展能力。新疆少数民族大学生就业能力六个维度的确定,有助于我们有针对性地开展就业指导工作,促进更高质量的就业。