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81.
    
Motivated by the presence of loss‐averse decision making behavior in practice, this article considers a supply chain consisting of a firm and strategic consumers who possess an S‐shaped loss‐averse utility function. In the model, consumers decide the purchase timing and the firm chooses the inventory level. We find that the loss‐averse consumers' strategic purchasing behavior is determined by their perceived gain and loss from strategic purchase delay, and the given rationing risk. Thus, the firm that is cognizant of this property tailors its inventory stocking policy based on the consumers' loss‐averse behavior such as their perceived values of gain and loss, and their sensitivity to them. We also demonstrate that the firm's equilibrium inventory stocking policy reflects both the economic logic of the traditional newsvendor inventory model, and the loss‐averse behavior of consumers. The equilibrium order quantity is significantly different from those derived from models that assume that the consumers are risk neutral and homogeneous in their valuations. We show that the firm that ignores strategic consumer's loss‐aversion behavior tends to keep an unnecessarily high inventory level that leads to excessive leftovers. Our numerical experiments further reveal that in some extreme cases the firm that ignores strategic consumer's loss‐aversion behavior generates almost 92% more leftovers than the firm that possesses consumers’ loss‐aversion information and takes it into account when making managerial decisions. To mitigate the consumer's forward‐looking behavior, we propose the adoption of the practice of agile supply chain management, which possesses the following attributes: (i) procuring inventory after observing real‐time demand information, (ii) enhanced design (which maintains the current production mix but improves the product performance to a higher level), and (iii) customized design (which maintains the current performance level but increases the variety of the current production line to meet consumers’ specific demands). We show that such a practice can induce the consumer to make early purchases by increasing their rationing risk, increasing the product value, or diversifying the product line. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 435–453, 2015  相似文献   
82.
    
This article investigates how US national security planners have envisioned the emerging strategic environment during the early twenty-first century and evaluates how their perceptions of this strategic environment have changed during these years. This conceptual evolution can be seen in how defense planners define threats, identify defense priorities, and design security strategies. Five key strategic planning documents serve as the basis for this analysis and illustrate significant shifts in how the US government has envisioned its own security requirements as well as the context within which its strategic vision will need to be realized. These planning documents are: (1) Joint Vision 2020, (2) the Bush Administration's 2002 National Security Strategy of the United States, (3) the Obama Administration's 2010 National Security Strategy, (4) US Strategic Defense Guidance entitled Sustaining US Global Leadership: Priorities for 21st Century Defense, and (5) the US Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff's Capstone Concept for Joint Operations: Joint Force 2020.  相似文献   
83.
    
This article assesses the existing literature on logistics in war, concluding that there is no satisfactory conceptual definition of logistics. It proposes a concept of logistics derived from Clausewitz's theory of war to fill that void. This is presented as a derivation because Clausewitz's distinction between (1) the use of the fighting forces (tactics and strategy) and (2) all other activities in war that were required so that forces could be taken as a given. The latter, left unnamed by Clausewitz, corresponds to a concept of logistics that proves to be an analytical peer to Clausewitz's categories of politics, tactics and strategy.  相似文献   
84.
The Building Security Overseas Strategy is at its core an ‘Intervention to end all Interventions’ – from a Western as well as an African perspective. Two of its main pillars are security sector reform in specific countries and systematic support to the development of the African Peace and Security Architecture. This article addresses the question why such efforts have met little success in francophone Africa. It argues that the failure of Western advisers to understand the sociological dynamics of African armed forces, shaped by a political culture based on personal loyalty to the leader, is at the root of the problem. In that context, the Huntingtonian-type distinction between the civilians and the military does not apply as military and civilians act in concert within common clientelism systems. As a result of the curtailing of the state-formation experience in most African countries, the military never had to demonstrate its performance as a state builder, nor did it have to bargain its legitimacy against the support of the citizens. Partnership in that context will remain a misnomer, at least until African military can credibly demonstrate commitment to state-building grounded in a broad-based social contract.  相似文献   
85.
    
Significant nuclear reductions by the United States can affect other states in one of five ways: by directly altering their strategic calculations and postures; by indirectly altering their strategic calculations and postures by affecting the behavior of third-party states; by undermining formal US deterrence commitments; by eroding the United States's perceived ability to provide “informal” deterrence through the maintenance of an active global presence; and by creating normative pressure for states to emulate US nuclear reductions. Only the erosion of “informal” deterrence is likely to affect South Asia; to the extent that significant US nuclear reductions affect South Asia, then, their impact is likely to be destabilizing.  相似文献   
86.
肖斌  刘畅 《国防科技》2020,41(4):95-100
装备物资采购关系到装备保障职能的充分发挥和作战效能发挥能力的积累,其采购保障过程涉及极其复杂的技术问题和管理问题。采购保障策略是开展采购和管理项目所确定的思路和实现途径,完善的采购保障策略设计对于重大的装备物资采购项目的成败具有举足轻重的作用。本文从军队装备物资采购的基本内涵与特点入手,结合工作实践和调查研究,从采购信息运用、流程管控、权责修订、法规约束和需求预测等业务管理层面进行分析,阐述了当前装备物资采购的发展现状,提出了提升装备物资采购保障能力的策略设计,以期实现采购组织、流程和系统的整体优化,为装备物资采购改革中相关措施的修订与完善提供新思路和新方法。  相似文献   
87.
大型的战略战役指挥训练模拟系统需要内容复杂、数量庞大的数据作为支撑,而结构清晰、容易理解的数据模型是系统成功开发和应用的前提。采用面向对象的基本方法,给出了系统数据建模的概念定义并采用UM L表示法进行了建模方法分析,最后讨论了OO数据模型在系统工程化的数据准备以及运行时和事后分析等应用中所具有的特点。  相似文献   
88.
战略物资是维护国家安全的重要物资基础,合理规划战略物资储备具有重要意义。给出了一种基于风险的战略物资补充优化模型。对战略物资补充问题进行了描述,分别介绍了补充方式、风险度量、补充费用计算。给出了模型假设,以及非线性规划的模型。提出了基于粒子群算法的模型求解算法。在示例中给出了相关假设和数据,对平均总费用上限、风险上限、战争概率等因素进行了分析,验证了方法的可行性与有效性。  相似文献   
89.
21世纪的纳米科技与纳米军事   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
纳米军事是纳米科技应用发展的重要方面,并将成为21世纪战场的主宰.纳米武器将使人们重新认识军事领域中数量与质量的关系,产生全新的战争理念,使武器装备的研制与生产向质量、智能的方向发展,从而变革未来战争的面貌和形态.  相似文献   
90.
新时期编辑出版人才培养的战略选择   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
21世纪是高新技术不断爆发的时代,就出版业而言,以多媒体技术为基础的数字、网络出版物日益多样化、个性化,基于网络出版和电子商务的普及,按需编辑出版、即时印刷的网络编辑出版模式冲击着传统的编辑出版模式,出版业市场的新变化对编辑出版人才提出了新的要求。本文结合出版业市场对编辑出版人才的新要求,分析了现在编辑出版人才的培养方式存在的问题,提出了新时期编辑出版人才培养的战略选择。  相似文献   
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