海上机动目标打击效果评估决策支持系统设计

针对海上机动目标打击效果评估的特点,运用遥感技术、人工智能技术和模糊评判的方法探索打击效果评估问题。提出一种基于高分辨率遥感图像的打击效果评估决策支持系统,融合人定性分析和机器定量分析的优点,核心是问题处理系统综合运用处理后的遥感信息和支持系统的模型、知识以及数据来评估打击效果,评估模型为二级综合评判模型。对尚处于理论研究阶段的海上机动目标打击效果评估问题有积极的参考意义。     

Joint pricing,assortment, and inventory decisions for a retailer's product line

Consider a set of product variants that are differentiated by some secondary attributes such as flavor, color, or size. The retailer's problem is to jointly determine the set of variants to include in her product line (“assortment”), together with their prices and inventory levels, so as to maximize her expected profit. We model the consumer choice process using a multinomial logit choice model and consider a newsvendor type inventory setting. We derive the structure of the optimal assortment for some important special cases, including the case of horizontally differentiated items, and propose a dominance relationship for the general case that simplifies the search for an optimal assortment. We also discuss structural properties of the optimal prices. Finally, motivated by our analytical results, we propose a heuristic solution procedure, which is shown to be quite effective through a numerical study. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

基于模糊综合评判的战场目标价值研究

现代战场目标繁多,从价值分析角度出发,建立了基于模糊综合评判的战场目标价值评估模型,并结合实例说明了该方法的具体应用,为指挥员和决策机关制定正确的策略提供了科学的依据.     

Fighting maritime piracy: three lessons from pompeius magnus

Piracy in international waters is on the rise again, in particular off the coast of Somalia. While the dynamic game between pirates, ship-owners, insurance firms and the military seems to have reached some kind of equilibrium, piracy risks generating significant negative externalities to third parties (e.g. in terms of environmental hazards and terrorism), justifying attempts to contain it. We argue that these attempts may benefit from a look back – through the analytical lens of rational choice theory – to the most successful counterpiracy campaign ever undertaken, namely, the one led by the Roman general Gnaeus Pompeius Magnus (Pompey the Great) in 67 BC.     

基于ANP的多目标网络目标重要度评估方法＊

针对多目标网络中重心的抽象性及不易打击的特点,分析影响重心的关键要素及其依赖关系,提出了基于改进网络分析法的多目标网络重心模型,利用该模型分析目标相对于重心的重要度。研究了该模型涉及的两个关键技术,即改进判断矩阵以提高决策的速度和克服决策的主观性,利用协调理论确定要素之间的依赖关系。以分析某地区多目标网络的过程为例,验证了该模型的有效性和合理性。     

基于整数规划的地地导弹打击目标优化选取

地地战役战术导弹火力运用中,对导弹打击目标的选取是导弹部队制定合理科学作战方案所面临的现实问题。针对给定弹量和特定作战意图对打击目标进行优化选择问题,运用0-1型整数规划,建立合理的数学模型并确定最优打击目标。通过应用实例表明,此方法简便易行,可操作性较强,具有一定的实用价值。     

舰载武器系统研制方案多目标生成与评价方法

舰载武器系统研制方案的生成、评价与优选问题是武器装备研制论证中的重要内容.在分析目前舰载武器系统研制方案论证方法的基础上,构建了舰载武器系统多目标优化模型,提出了舰载武器系统研制方案的多目标生成方法,并建立了不完全偏好信息的舰载武器系统研制方案的多目标评价与优选模型.实例分析说明,该模型与方法是有效的,可为武器装备研制论证问题提供辅助决策方法和智力支持.     

科研选题重复因素的分析与对策初探

科研选题中,周期短、见效快的课题重复率较高,其原因与科技人员晋级需求,社会集团易对“短、平、快”选题投资,科研管理人员的情报意识淡漠等因素有关。改变现状需要科技政策的制定者对基础科学研究和从事基础科学研究的人员给予更多的重视和政策的倾斜。科研管理部门应把握科研方向、人才培养、选题调整及发挥专家对审题的充分论证。采取各项综合措施,可望降低科研选题的重复。     

缓动点目标的流水线检测算法

讨论了复杂背景下缓动点目标的流水线检测算法。通过两个流水线,分割流水线和检测流水线,可以用１５帧图像满意地检测出目标。对算法的性能和实验结果作了分析。     

一种基于Wiener滤波的红外背景抑制方法

红外图像序列中小目标的检测问题是当前的研究热点。为了检测起伏背景中的弱小目标,在理论分析的基础上提出了用Wiener滤波器去除起伏背景,然后进行自适应目标检测的小目标检测方法。采用连续采集的长波红外图像序列进行了实验研究,并给出了目标检测结果及其分析。结果表明,该算法能够从信噪比大于2.0的图像序列中检测出目标轨迹。