Estimating failure time distribution and its parameters based on intermediate data from a Wiener degradation model

Instead of measuring a Wiener degradation or performance process at predetermined time points to track degradation or performance of a product for estimating its lifetime, we propose to obtain the first‐passage times of the process over certain nonfailure thresholds. Based on only these intermediate data, we obtain the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator and uniformly most accurate confidence interval for the mean lifetime. For estimating the lifetime distribution function, we propose a modified maximum likelihood estimator and a new estimator and prove that, by increasing the sample size of the intermediate data, these estimators and the above‐mentioned estimator of the mean lifetime can achieve the same levels of accuracy as the estimators assuming one has failure times. Thus, our method of using only intermediate data is useful for highly reliable products when their failure times are difficult to obtain. Furthermore, we show that the proposed new estimator of the lifetime distribution function is more accurate than the standard and modified maximum likelihood estimators. We also obtain approximate confidence intervals for the lifetime distribution function and its percentiles. Finally, we use light‐emitting diodes as an example to illustrate our method and demonstrate how to validate the Wiener assumption during the testing. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于状态变换的数字电路冗余确认研究

以状态跳变图为基础,深入分析了冗余变换与非法变换的特征,提出结构冗余和功能冗余的概念,并讨论了可测故障、不可测故障和冗余之间的联系.最后结合验证和测试生成,提出状态冗余的隐含遍历确认策略.     

A computation procedure for the exact solution of location-allocation problems with rectangular distances

A method is presented to locate and allocate p new facilities in relation to n existing facilities. Each of the n existing facilities has a requirement flow which must be supplied by the new facilities. Rectangular distances are assumed to exist between all facilities. The algorithm proceeds in two stages. In the first stage a set of all possible optimal new facility locations is determined by a set reduction algorithm. The resultant problem is shown to be equivalent to finding the p-median of a weighted connected graph. In the second stage the optimal locations and allocations are obtained by using a technique for solving the p-median problem.     

雷达网抗干扰性能综合评估指标

如何对雷达网的抗干扰性能进行评估一直是国内外的研究热点之一。从雷达网的战术功能总体需求出发,指出可以根据雷达网在干扰前后的情报信息提供能力的变化来进行评估,然后结合对雷达网内部影响其抗干扰性能的各因素分析,并考虑到外场实际开展对雷达网抗干扰性能试验评估的需求,在现有评估指标的基础上,提出用于综合评估雷达网抗干扰性能的指标。     

炮射导弹飞行可靠性试验法研究

结合炮射导弹的性能特点 ,研究分析了传统的飞行可靠性试验法的不足 ,提出了炮射导弹飞行可靠性试验的寿命型定时截尾指数分布新方法 ,该方法的应用使试验的方法更为可行 ,结果更为合理     

软件可靠性考核试验方法研究

分析了软件可靠性考核的时机 ,提出了软件可靠性的验证试验方法 ,并对基于经典方法和 Bayes方法的无故障运行考核方法进行了研究     

应用虚拟检测技术开发的舰艇机电设备通用测试分析仪

针对舰艇机电设备复杂 ,需要监测的参数数量大、种类多等实际情况 ,研制了一种通用测试分析仪 .该仪器采用虚拟检测技术 ,功能全面、携带方面、经济可靠 ,具有较高的推广价值和应用前景 .     

一种由分抗干扰效果推出合成抗干扰效果的方法

提出了一种在外场雷达对抗试验中,由多部具有分抗干扰措施的雷达的抗干扰效果推出某种具有综合性抗干扰措施的雷达的合成抗干扰效果的方法,以在不具备该种雷达的情况下,用多部具有分抗干扰措施的雷达来代替它作为被干扰对象,在外场进行干扰机对其干扰的干扰效果试验检验。     

战术导弹连射试验测控软件关键技术

针对导弹的多发连射试验,在单发导弹飞行试验实时测控软件系统的基础上,研究了I/O缓冲设置、多发射信号的接收与识别、第n发导弹数据处理时机等关键技术.解决了研发用于战术导弹连射试验测控软件系统中的多项难题,使得靶场实时测控软件系统能够满足多发导弹连射试验的航区安全控制需要.     

液体火箭发动机涡轮泵健康监控系统

为了提高液体火箭发动机涡轮泵的安全性,降低其故障带来的破坏性,设计了某型液体火箭发动机涡轮泵健康监控系统(TP HMS),工程实现了TP HMS的测试硬件子系统、实时故障检测子系统、试车后数据分析子系统和实时数据库支持子系统等,讨论和分析了TP HMS的功能和执行流程,然后利用历史试车数据与转子试验平台数据对TP HMS中的多特征参量自适应阈值综合决策算法(MATA)进行了离线和实时在线验证;利用自适应时频谱对测试数据作进一步的分析。结果表明,MATA没有发生误检测情况,并具有实时故障检测的能力;自适应时频谱能有效抑制时频交叉项的干扰,准确给出故障信号的时间和频率信息。因此,TP HMS适合于液体火箭发动机涡轮泵健康状态监控。