Minimum force in British counterinsurgency

With strategic success in Iraq and Afghanistan far from certain, comforting beliefs about Britain's superiority at counterinsurgency have come under increasingly sceptical scrutiny. This article contributes to the debate with particular reference to the supposedly pivotal principle of minimum force. After discussing the recent literature on the subject, the article critiques the methodology employed by advocates of the traditionalist view on British COIN, arguing for a more rigorous historical approach based on primary sources. Following these historical matters, it is argued that conceptually, minimum force should be analysed dialectically in relation to practices of exemplary force, and above all, on the evidence of what happens in a conflict. Arguably the value ascribed to doctrine in strategic analysis has become unduly inflated, and we must look beyond it to understand war and political violence.     

部分频带干扰下伪码跟踪误差分析

为精确分析部分频带干扰下伪码跟踪误差,需要考虑伪码的非理想随机特性。引入伪码的精细功率谱模型,对比分析了不同带宽干扰下基于简化谱和精细谱的码跟踪误差。定义了相对误差系数,用以定量描述伪码非理想随机特性对码跟踪误差的影响。当干扰带宽增大时,相对误差系数逐渐减小,伪码非理想随机特性对码跟踪误差的影响逐渐减小,基于简化谱的分析趋近于基于精细谱的分析。结合GPS L1 C/A码,给出了相对误差小于0.2的最小干扰带宽,并将其作为基于简化谱分析的适用条件。研究表明当干扰带宽大于伪码周期的频率的300倍时,伪码非理想随机特性导致的码跟踪精度变化可忽略,反之,则需要基于精细的功率谱模型进行码跟踪精度分析。     

Minimum deterrence and missile defenses: what's new,what's true,what's arguable

Minimum deterrence is a compromise, or halfway house, between nuclear abolition or nearly zero and assured destruction, the dominant paradigm for strategic nuclear arms control during and after the cold war. Minimum deterrence as applied to the current relationship between the United States and Russia would require downsizing the numbers of operationally deployed long-range nuclear weapons to 1000, or fewer, on each side. More drastic bilateral Russian–American reductions would require the cooperation of other nuclear weapons states in making proportional reductions in their own arsenals. In addition, US plans for European-based and global missile defenses cause considerable angst in Russia and threaten to derail the Obama “reset” in Russian–American relations, despite the uncertainties about current and plausible future performances of missile defense technologies.     

网络化作战C2组织结构的一种分析设计方法

网络化作战条件下,传统的层次型C2组织限制了组织成员之间的信息交互,难以适应复杂多变的作战环境,影响了系统整体作战效能的发挥。通过分解单个组织节点智能体(Agent)的行为过程,结合网络化作战的概念,在引入信息流、指控流因素情况下,研究在网络化作战中C2组织结构网络,并在分析组织网络探测信息/指控命令的传输和处理的基础上,提出了一种C2组织结构设计方法。该方法充分考虑了网络化作战探测信息共享以及指控命令协同,并将网络化作战C2组织的最优设计问题转化为C2组织网络中探测信息和指控命令的最小费用最大流问题。     

基于最小误差模型估计的地空导弹飞行试验数据相容性检验

提出了基于递推最小模型误差估计(RMMEE)的地空导弹飞行试验数据相容性检验的方法,该方法采用导弹位置和弹体角位移测量,不仅能在线重构六自由度弹道参数,而且能估计捷联惯导的动态误差,从根本上克服了Klein模型的局限性。该方法对导弹速度、位置估值的初值不敏感,即使存在较大的捷联惯导动态误差,仍具有良好的收敛性和稳健性。     

协同空战的最小共享信息集

首先提出了最小共享信息集的概念。然后 ,提出了作战飞机的智能系统模型。从它入手 ,分析了协同空战的信息 ,提出了确定协同空战的最小共享信息集的事件法 ,并应用信息论证明了事件法的确能够减少通信的信息量。在上述基础上 ,确定了超视距空对空协同作战的最小共享信息集 ;仿真结果验证了它的合理性     

半带脉冲成形滤波器设计及性能分析

为了减少调制带宽、抑制带外杂散,通信系统中通常在发射端设置脉冲成形滤波器,而为了获得最大信噪比,在接收端通常使用匹配滤波器。以半带滤波器为基础,利用多级级联方法,设计了一种新型的脉冲成形滤波器,通过最小、最大相位分解方法,使得滤波器便于在实际通信系统中的使用。仿真结果表明,设计的成形滤波器与升余弦滚降滤波器相比,通带起伏小,硬件资源耗费少,在低信噪比时对不同调制方式均有额外的功率增益。     

Probabilistic analysis of an asymptotically optimal solution for the completion time variance problem

Scheduling a set of n jobs on a single machine so as to minimize the completion time variance is a well‐known NP‐hard problem. In this paper, we propose a sequence, which can be constructed in O(n log n) time, as a solution for the problem. Our primary concern is to establish the asymptotical optimality of the sequence within the framework of probabilistic analysis. Our main result is that, when the processing times are randomly and independently drawn from the same uniform distribution, the sequence is asymptotically optimal in the sense that its relative error converges to zero in probability as n increases. Other theoretical results are also derived, including: (i) When the processing times follow a symmetric structure, the problem has 2^{⌊(n−1)/2⌋} optimal sequences, which include our proposed sequence and other heuristic sequences suggested in the literature; and (ii) when these 2^{⌊(n−1)/2⌋} sequences are used as approximate solutions for a general problem, our proposed sequence yields the best approximation (in an average sense) while another sequence, which is commonly believed to be a good approximation in the literature, is interestingly the worst. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 373–398, 1999     

Pickands型推广估计量的渐近正态性

极值指数在许多实际领域广泛应用:如组合投资、风险值的计算、预报地震等, 估计极值指数γ以及它的性质的研究近年来成为极值统计理论的基本问题。主要研究极值指数γ的一个估计量:Pickands型推广估计量的渐近正态性质。首先研究由Pickands型推广估计量构成的一随机过程,得到了该过程的渐近分布;然后利用研究结果证明了Pickands 型推广估计量的渐近正态性,得到其渐近方差;最后对提出的Pickands型推广估计的平滑估计量进行了相应研究。     

Nonparametric estimation of some quantities of interest from renewal theory

In this paper, confidence intervals are given for two quantities of importance related to renewal processes. For each quantity, two confidence intervals are discussed. One confidence interval is given for general, all‐purpose use. Another confidence interval is given which is easier to compute, but not of general use. The case where data are subject to right censorship is also considered. Some numerical comparisons are made. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 638–649, 2003.