STRENGTHENING THE SECOND LINE OF DEFENSE

On Nuclear Terrorism, by Michael Levi. Harvard University Press, 2007. 210 pages, $24.95.     

一类具有时滞的生态一流行病系统的稳定性和Hopf分支

讨论一类食饵染病的时滞捕食一被捕食者模型,通过分析特征方程,得到正平衡点局部稳定和Hopf分支存在的条件．同时,应用中一tl,流形定理和规范型理论研究正平衡点处Hopf分支方向和分支周期解的稳定性．最后,通过数值模拟对理论结果进行了说明．     

复杂环境下多雷达点迹融合

针对系统误差、杂波干扰等对点迹融合处理系统的影响,结合工程实践,提出了一种处理复杂环境下多雷达点迹融合结构框架,给出了存在系统误差情形下的多雷达航迹起始、虚假目标抑制、雷达误差配准等模型和算法。仿真结果表明,提出的框架、模型和算法能够有效处理多雷达点迹融合问题。     

基于复杂网络的作战体系网络模型分析

运用复杂网络方法,构建了作战体系网络模型,分析了作战体系网络的基本特征,揭示了作战网络主要参数与作战体系真实特性之间的关系,得到了基于信息系统体系作战战法运用的一些启示。     

脑机技术发展及其对军事领域的影响

进入新世纪以来,脑机技术作为“会聚技术”领域的核心技术之一,已经引起了欧美发达国家的高度重视．国内外众多著名的大学和科研机构在该领域已经开展了广泛深入的研究,并取得了一系列实质性的进展和丰硕的成果。文章详细介绍脑机技术的发展现状及其军事应用前景,为未来新概念武器的发展提供参考。     

防空预警监视雷达系统的发展与对策

文章以美“空海一体战”理论的提出为背景,深刻分析了新战略背景下我防空预警监视雷达系统所面临的现实威胁和挑战,结合我军防空预警监视雷达系统现状,对该系统的建设发展问题进行了多方位分析和研究,指出朝着基于系统构成优化、作战运用优化以及信息高效融合的一体化方向发展是我防空预警监视雷达系统在新战略背景下的必然选择.     

基于效果的炮兵行动C2系统动力学建模与仿真

一体化联合作战参战军兵种多、指挥控制(C2)与协调复杂。围绕炮兵行动特点要求,运用系统动力学理论建立联合作战炮兵行动指挥控制的系统动力学模型,研究常规打击和基于效果作战两种指挥控制模式下炮兵行动所产生的不同结果及其原因,并给合作战想定仿真验证,得出较为可靠的结论,为解决联合作战炮兵行动精确指挥控制与协调提供一种有效途径     

The Towton Battle — A Reinterpretation

The paper re-interprets the implement known as the ‘Towton Battle Axe’ allegedly found in the river which borders the Towton Battlefield (1461), Yorkshire, England, and which now resides in Alnwick Castle, Northumberland. The paper provides parallels, in the form of comparisons with other weapons, in order that the Towton implement can be shown to be a modified former halberd dating from the early sixteenth century. It is, therefore, highly unlikely that the implement was used in the famous battle.     

The Bloomfield Throwing Knife. Analyzing an Improvised Shuriken to Appreciate the Derived Artifact

Once armed with only tooth and nail, humankind has displayed great ingenuity in creating weapons. One class of such artifacts, ‘improvised weapons’, once consisted of such items as a rock or bottle, but in an era of readily available manufactured weapons, now includes items created from spare parts in various environments. Using such a weapon as a case study, this article seeks to explore and analyze the derived artifact and understand it not as a piece of junk, but as a credible design product that provides insight into the designer and the motivations of artifact creation.     

Inequality‐based reliability estimates for complex systems

Full‐system testing for large‐scale systems is often infeasible or very costly. Thus, when estimating system reliability, it is desirable to use a method that uses subsystem tests, which are often less expensive and more feasible. This article presents a method for bounding full‐system reliabilities based on subsystem tests and, if available, full‐system tests. The method does not require that subsystems be independent. It accounts for dependencies through the use of certain probability inequalities. The inequalities provide the basis for valid reliability calculations while not requiring independent subsystems or full‐system tests. The inequalities allow for test information on pairwise subsystem failure modes to be incorporated, thereby improving the bound on system reliability. We illustrate some of the properties of the estimates via an example application. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013