一种面向Agent的概念化建模方法*

面向Agent的建模方法为基于Agent系统的概念化描述提供了一种新的技术.针对多Agent系统分析与建模问题,扩展并规范了面向Agent概念化建模过程,定义了Agent模型及其扩展模型,并给出了形式化描述.同时,给出面向Agent的分析和设计过程,为其具体建模提供了一种高层指导.最后,与其它现有面向Agent的方法在应用方面进行了类比分析,为该方法的广泛和深入地应用研究打下基础.     

基于fMRI的静息状态脑功能复杂网络分析

分析静息状态下人脑中不同区域之间的功能连接模式对研究静息状态下人脑正常功能活动具有重要意义。基于复杂网络理论对脑功能网络进行建模,考察静息状态脑功能网络的结构和拓扑特性。结果显示,网络具有小世界性质和无标度特性。进一步引入一种概率混合模型分析网络社团结构,得到的10个子网络中包含视觉系统、听觉系统、运动系统、默认网络以及与执行和工作记忆相关的脑区。推测出静息状态脑功能网络是由这些相对独立又彼此关联的子网络组成,其中楔前叶和扣带回作为网络的关键节点,在信息调度和传递中占据重要地位。     

船舶静态电场跟踪的渐进更新扩展卡尔曼滤波器

为了实现利用船舶静态电场对船舶进行跟踪的目的,针对传统卡尔曼滤波算法中存在的问题,设计一种新的非线性滤波器。建立船舶的状态空间模型,分析传统卡尔曼滤波算法在船舶跟踪中存在的问题;依据渐进贝叶斯思想,利用连续白噪声与离散白噪声序列噪声协方差之间的关系,设计一种新的渐进更新扩展卡尔曼滤波器。仿真结果表明,该滤波器能有效地抑制由于初始误差较大而造成的滤波性能下降和滤波发散,能够有效地跟踪船舶,具有较高的实用价值。     

一类带时滞的非线性兰彻斯特战斗模型的分析

基于非线性兰彻斯特方程的一般形式和现代战争的特点,考虑到时间因素在现代战争中的巨大作用,建立并讨论了一类带时滞的非线性兰彻斯特战斗模型。通过定性分析,得到了模型的平衡点及其稳定性,证明了原模型解的存在唯一性,并给出了解的存在区域。战例分析结果表明该模型能用来描述现代战争。因此,该模型对研究现代战争的战斗进程、武器发展规划、现代军事练兵等都具有一定的参考价值。     

模糊时滞系统控制器依赖于状态时滞的H∞控制

针对一类非线性时滞系统，研究了该系统基于T—S模糊模型的H∞控制器设计问题。采用线性矩阵不等式LMI的方法，设计一个依赖于状态时滞的模糊控制器，得到了系统存在模糊控制器的充分条件，此充分条件等价于一类线性矩阵不等式的可解性，最后通过仿真说明了控制器的有效性。     

Introduction

ABSTRACT

The new nuclear history can make a critical contribution by forcing us to reconsider or reframe the theoretical premises of the concepts we apply to our understanding of the present – and with which we try to navigate the future. It bears on fundamental questions, such as: How should the US manage its alliances? Should it establish a multilateral nuclear policy dialogue in Asia? In what depth should it discuss issues of doctrine and targeting with its Asian allies? What capabilities might reassure European allies in light of current Russian revisionism? Could nuclear war be limited and controlled in an East Asian maritime arena? Do nuclear weapons strengthen an alliance, or do they introduce a divisive bone of contention? Is extended nuclear deterrence (END) stabilizing or is it on the contrary pushing the allies to ask for more? What is the relationship between nuclear and conventional forces in END credibility? How do nuclear alliances contribute to international security and international order? The lessons and insights from these papers, which look at five historical cases of US extended deterrence during the Cold War, should help us think about crucial current issues, and be of use both to historians who want to have a better understanding of the Cold War past and to policymakers who are currently grappling with these issues.     

通用扩张状态观测器鲁棒飞行控制方法

针对存在参数不确定、外界干扰与测量噪声情况下飞行控制问题，提出一种基于通用扩张状态观测器的鲁棒飞行控制方法。首先基于状态相关的Riccati方程（SDRE）控制方法，对飞行器俯仰通道非线性模型进行扩展线性化；而后引入基于通用扩张状态观测器的控制方法，设计干扰补偿增益，实现对外界干扰的估计与补偿；最后通过在线解算状态相关矩阵及代数黎卡提方程，得出状态反馈增益与干扰补偿增益，实现对飞行器期望攻角的跟踪控制。通过与已有方法进行对比，验证了本文所提方法不仅对系统模型不确定性与外界干扰具有较强鲁棒性，而且在较大测量噪声情况下，其依然能够保证良好的跟踪控制效果，具有较强的工程应用价值。     

Optimal switchover times between two activities utilizing the same resource

The “gold‐mining” decision problem is concerned with the efficient utilization of a delicate mining equipment working in a number of different mines. Richard Bellman was the first to consider this type of a problem. The solution found by Bellman for the finite‐horizon, continuous‐time version of the problem with two mines is not overly realistic since he assumed that fractional parts of the same mining equipment could be used in different mines and this fraction could change instantaneously. In this paper, we provide some extensions to this model in order to produce more operational and realistic solutions. Our first model is concerned with developing an operational policy where the equipment may be switched from one mine to the other at most once during a finite horizon. In the next extension we incorporate a cost component in the objective function and assume that the horizon length is not fixed but it is the second decision variable. Structural properties of the optimal solutions are obtained using nonlinear programming. Each model and its solution is illustrated with a numerical example. The models developed here may have potential applications in other areas including production of items requiring the same machine or choosing a sequence of activities requiring the same resource. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 186–203, 2002; DOI 10.1002/nav.10008     

混沌理论在雷达中的应用

混沌动力学作为一门新学科已经引起了世界各国科学界的重视,是近年来非线性科学领域的热门学科,混沌系统初值的敏感性和两个混沌系统间同步的实现,使得混沌用于保密通信成为可能,海杂波的混沌特性使人们开始探索混沌在雷达中的应用.研究表明,混沌在杂波分析与建模、信号检测、目标识别及伪随机码波形设计等领域内取得了可喜的成果.研究了混沌在雷达中的应用,分析了目前混沌在雷达中的应用现状,预测了未来研究发展的趋势.     

“迷狂式”构思状态及成因管窥

具有强烈的思想感情和丰富的想象，是中西方诗歌的共同特点。但由于中西方历史和文化背景等方面的不同，中西方诗歌在许多方面存在差异，中西方诗人构思时的情绪状态也有差异。中国有“虚静说”，西方有“迷狂说”。西方诗人的“迷狂式”构思状态亦有其产生的原因。