Nonperiodic preventive maintenance for repairable systems

As a complex system with multiple components usually deteriorates with age, preventive maintenance (PM) is often performed to keep the system functioning in a good state to prolong its effective age. In this study, a nonhomogeneous Poisson process with a power law failure intensity is used to describe the deterioration of a repairable system, and the optimal nonperiodic PM schedule can be determined to minimize the expected total cost per unit time. However, since the determination of such optimal PM policies may involve numerous uncertainties, which typically make the analyses difficult to perform because of the scarcity of data, a Bayesian decision model, which utilizes all available information effectively, is also proposed for determining the optimal PM strategies. A numerical example with a real failure data set is used to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The results show that the optimal schedules derived by Bayesian approach are relatively more conservative than that for non‐Bayesian approach because of the uncertainty of the intensity function, and if the intensity function are updated using the collected data set, which indicates more severe deterioration than the prior belief, replacing the entire system instead of frequent PM activities before serious deterioration is suggested. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

远距离反坦克导弹最新发展述评

系统地论述了当前世界范围内各式远距离反坦克导弹的研究、发展、应用、升级改造思路和更新换代情况,以及一些知名公司的研制和发展特色;指出远射程、高精度、大威力,以及良好的适配能力和多用途化将成为其发展的重点。     

无人机使用助力现代联合登岛(礁)作战

无人机已经广泛使用军事领域各个方面,但就其助力现代联合登岛(礁)作战,还少有研究。本文从无人机助力联合登岛(礁)作战特性分析、具体表现和实现途径三个方面进行了探讨,以期对现代联合登岛(礁)作战有所借鉴和帮助。     

一种无人战斗机系统使用保障费用分析方法

基于无人战斗机系统在使用保障上的特点,通过对有人战斗机使用保障费用模型进行合理改造,使其能适用于无人战斗机的使用保障费用分析。经过改造的模型具有结构清晰、概念明确的特点。适合在飞机总体设计阶段用于全寿命周期的费用估算以及飞机的费效分析和综合优化设计。通过与有人战斗机的使用保障费用进行对比计算表明,无人战斗机系统的使用保障费用具有明显的经济优势。     

大容量储能发电机并联运行励磁控制算法

大容量储能发电机作为脉冲电源，整流后通过逆变器向大功率脉冲负载供电。采用储能发电机直流侧并联方式工作，可以有效提高系统带载能力与可靠性。当并联运行的储能发电机转速不同时，根据转速合理分配电机释放功率可以有效提高系统工作效能，因此需要设计一种具有功率调节功能的励磁控制算法。在电压、电流双闭环控制的基础上，引入功率前馈控制，推导并求解了前馈功率与励磁电流关系以及控制参数，并根据电机初始转速设计了功率分配算法。仿真试验结果表明，功率前馈控制在励磁控制过程中起主导作用，有效分配储能电机释放功率大小，提高了励磁电流响应速度，抑制了负载功率扰动对励磁控制系统的影响。     

大型相控阵雷达系统安全性综合评价

针对大型相控阵雷达系统安全性因素多、评价困难的特点，分析并建立了大型相控阵雷达系统安全评价指标体系。提出了一种基于改进模糊层次分析法、熵权法和拉格朗日算法确定综合权重的方法，并建立了雷达系统安全性模糊综合评价模型。以某型大型相控阵雷达系统的安全性评价为例，运用所提方法确定该雷达系统的安全性指标综合权重，并进行安全性综合评价。将该方法与传统AHP评价法进行对比分析，验证了该方法的科学性和合理性。     

换相过程对变抽头六相整流电路的影响

在变抽头六相整流系统中,整流换相和变抽头换相对有效抑制交流侧电流波形畸变起到了重要作用.采用分段解析法给出了考虑换相过程时变抽头六相整流系统的数学模型,得出了交流侧电流波形,并对交流电流进行了傅氏级数分解.通过实验研究,查明了电流正弦性畸变率的变化规律和影响因素,给出了抽头换接器的匝数匹配优化值,为该系统的工程设计提供了重要指导.     

军用航空发动机大修能力评估方法

针对航空发动机修理工厂大修能力难以评估的问题,提出了航空发动机大修能力评估方法。分析了航空发动机大修生产过程;根据航空发动机大修生产工作特点,建立了基于生产职能分解的航空发动机大修能力评估指标体系,构建出基于熵权和灰色聚类的评估指标赋权模型;结合实例验证了方法的正确性和实用性。     

一种基于辅助交互的手抓握动作生成方法

针对沉浸式、非沉浸式和混合式虚拟维修系统中,维修动作交互过程繁琐、实现效果不佳的问题,提出一种高效的辅助交互方法,首先基于现有的维修动作规则和用户对维修任务的理解,建立了用户辅助信息接口和系统反馈辅助信息接口,前者由用户提供抓取目标、抓取手形和抓握点等辅助信息加速交互过程,系统通过后者反馈辅助信息帮助用户进一步决策,然后应用增广矩阵方法对经典逆向运动学算法进行扩展并生成具体的维修动作,最后应用该方法实现了装备车辆轮胎更换任务中维修动作的生成,维修动作交互过程的鲁棒性和效率得到显著提高。     

Estimating failure time distribution and its parameters based on intermediate data from a Wiener degradation model

Instead of measuring a Wiener degradation or performance process at predetermined time points to track degradation or performance of a product for estimating its lifetime, we propose to obtain the first‐passage times of the process over certain nonfailure thresholds. Based on only these intermediate data, we obtain the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator and uniformly most accurate confidence interval for the mean lifetime. For estimating the lifetime distribution function, we propose a modified maximum likelihood estimator and a new estimator and prove that, by increasing the sample size of the intermediate data, these estimators and the above‐mentioned estimator of the mean lifetime can achieve the same levels of accuracy as the estimators assuming one has failure times. Thus, our method of using only intermediate data is useful for highly reliable products when their failure times are difficult to obtain. Furthermore, we show that the proposed new estimator of the lifetime distribution function is more accurate than the standard and modified maximum likelihood estimators. We also obtain approximate confidence intervals for the lifetime distribution function and its percentiles. Finally, we use light‐emitting diodes as an example to illustrate our method and demonstrate how to validate the Wiener assumption during the testing. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008