建构主义视角下强化大学生信仰教育的对策探析

建构主义学习理论在强化大学生信仰教育方面有着重要的指导作用。夺文简要分析了夫掌生信仰教育存在的问题,探讨了建构主义学习理论对于强化大学生信仰教育的重要意义,并以建构主义卷习理论隽指导,从“以学生为中心”、“情景创设”、“协作学习”、“利用各种资源”四个方面提出了强化对策,以期提高大学生信仰教育水平,实现大学思想政治教育的功能。     

论建立综合的装备保障理论体系

装备保障已成为一个极其重要的和独立的军事活动 ,建立综合的装备保障理论体系是装备保障发展的客观要求 ,也是军事学科发展的现实需求。分析了装备保障与后勤保障的关系 ,装备保障理论体系与后勤保障理论体系的边界划分 ,装备保障理论体系的学科归属 ,最后对装备保障理论体系的构建进行了分析     

基于地理信息系统的城市火灾危险评价

选用单位面积火灾损失、人口密度、建筑密度、路网密度和消防力量建立城市火灾危险预测与评估的统计模型。结合数字城市的基本思想 ,论述基于地理信息系统识别和定量评价火灾危险的技术方法。在ARCVIEW空间分析技术支持下 ,建立城市火灾危险区域划分的技术流程     

衰减荷载作用下饱和软土的固结分析

研究了衰减荷栽作用下软土一维固结问题,建立了小变形固结模型,探讨了荷载衰减规律,分别求解了相应的小变形和大变形固结边值问题;通过理论解答与6块场地实测沉降的比较,表明用考虑荷载衰减的大变形固结理论计算软土一维固结的沉降值与实测结果接近。     

基于模糊层次分析法的高层建筑火灾风险评估

火灾风险评估是降低火灾损失的有效方法。利用模糊层次分析法,建立了高层建筑火灾风险评估体系,并应用于具体高层建筑的火灾风险评估中。评估结果与实际情况取得了较好的一致性,从而为高层建筑火灾风险评估提供了一种简便可行的方法。     

基于Bayes理论的固有可用度定时截尾试验方案

为解决小子样条件下进行产品固有可用度试验验证的问题,基于Bayes理论,提出了一种固有可用度定时截尾试验方案．该试验方案在假设故障间隔时间和修复时间均服从指数分布的前提下,将现场试验分为同时进行的可靠性和维修性定时截尾试验2个部分,要求在利用验前试验信息的基础上,使本次试验获得的验后分布还可以作为下一次现场试验的验前分布,提高了试验数据的利用率,具有较好的经济效益．     

A theory of war finance

This paper analyses the financial and war‐spending policies of a state that faces a conflict in which defeat would result in the loss of sovereign power and in which the material consequences, conditional on avoiding defeat, are stochastic. The analysis takes explicit account of the historical experiences of lenders, who face debt repudiation if the state to whom they have lent is defeated and who also face partial default if the material consequences of the war are unfavorable for the debtor state, even if it avoids defeat. In this analysis, the state uses war debt to smooth expected consumption intertemporally in response to temporary war spending, and the state also uses contingent debt servicing to insure realized consumption against the risk associated with the material consequences of the war. An important innovation in the analysis is to treat the equilibrium amount of war spending, the state's resulting probability of avoiding defeat, as well as the equilibrium amount of borrowing as a set of endogenous variables to be determined simultaneously.     

Computational analysis of MMAP[K]/PH[K]/1 queues with a mixed FCFS and LCFS service discipline

This paper studies a queueing system with a Markov arrival process with marked arrivals and PH‐distribution service times for each type of customer. Customers (regardless of their types) are served on a mixed first‐come‐first‐served (FCFS) and last‐come‐first‐served (LCFS) nonpreemptive basis. That is, when the queue length is N (a positive integer) or less, customers are served on an FCFS basis; otherwise, customers are served on an LCFS basis. The focus is on the stationary distribution of queue strings, busy periods, and waiting times of individual types of customers. A computational approach is developed for computing the stationary distribution of queue strings, the mean of busy period, and the means and variances of waiting times. The relationship between these performance measures and the threshold number N is analyzed in depth numerically. It is found that the variance of the virtual (actual) waiting time of an arbitrary customer can be reduced by increasing N. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 399–421, 2000     

新经济环境下内部审计风险形成的主客观因素及防范

本文从客观和主观两个方面分析社会主义市场经济条件下,内部审计风险形成的原因,并尝试提出了相应的防范措施,即增强内部审计人员的风险意识、提高内部审计队伍的整体素质、采用内部审计的科学方法、加强内部审计的机构管理和完善内部审计的监控制度。     

新型驱护舰编队舰空导弹防御体系射击效能研究

针对新型驱护舰编队舰空导弹防御体系射击效能评估这一难题,对其射击效能准则进行了确立,提出了基于排队论的射击效能评估模型,对体系射击效能进行仿真计算,总结出能对系统射击效能做出准确评估的方法,并利用实例对模型进行了验证。