Terrorist choice: a stochastic dominance and prospect theory analysis

The paper explores terrorist choice by applying two well-known theoretical frameworks: stochastic dominance and prospect theory (PT). We analyse each pair of attack methods that can be formed from the RAND-MIPT database and the Global Terrorism Database. Instances of stochastic dominance are identified. PT orderings are computed. Attention is accorded to the identification of ‘trigger points’ and the circumstances that may lead to an increased likelihood that a terrorist will select an attack method associated with a higher expected number of fatalities, i.e. a potentially more damaging attack method.     

二次检测立方攻击改进与实现

对二次检测立方攻击预处理阶段的提取二次表达式的算法进行了改进以优化攻击效率。将秘密变量的变化引入攻击中,使得攻击模型更加灵活;同时,利用时空折中的思想,通过存储常数项和一次项的计算结果,有效降低二次项的计算量。将改进的方法应用于简化版的PRESENT算法和Trivium算法上,攻击效率有显著提高。     

How Probable is Cyber War? Bringing IR Theory Back In to the Cyber Conflict Debate

Many well-established explanations for war suggest that cyber weapons have a greater chance of being used offensively than other kinds of military technologies. This response article introduces a research agenda for the study of cyber war, and offers an example – principal-agent problems in cyber operations – to demonstrate how rigorous theoretical and empirical work may proceed.     

直升机引导条件下舰载反舰导弹超视距攻击仿真

为了分析直升机引导条件下舰载反舰导弹对目标超视距攻击产生的射击影响。分析了舰载直升机引导误差、发射舰艇定位误差、目标机动误差、导弹飞行误差等对导弹超视距攻击的影响,构建导弹超视距攻击仿真模型,并开发仿真实验平台,通过仿真实验平台分析和检验不同误差条件下导弹超视距攻击效果,为部队进行战法、训法提供训练平台,解决部队针对性训练的难题。     

声自导鱼雷攻击弹道工程化分析

本文通过对主被动声自导鱼雷攻击弹道(水平面)几种方式的分析,取长补短,提出了综合攻击弹道的方案,即初始为尾追方式,最后为固定提前角方式攻击。并通过计算机仿真,获得了与世界先进雷取得一致的最佳调整方案。此外,本方案为其它尾追方式攻击的鱼雷提供了改进攻击弹道的依据。     

弹道导弹突防数概率分布列计算模型

针对双层反导防御系统,在单枚导弹突防概率的基础上,分别建立了多枚战术弹道导弹突破单层和双层拦截的最终突防数概率分布列计算模型,同时进行了算例分析,对模型进行了验证.