Indian Military Modernization and Conventional Deterrence in South Asia

In recent years, headline grabbing increases in the Indian defense budget have raised concerns that India’s on-going military modernization threatens to upset the delicate conventional military balance vis-à-vis Pakistan. Such an eventuality is taken as justification for Islamabad’s pursuit of tactical-nuclear weapons and other actions that have worrisome implications for strategic stability on the subcontinent. This article examines the prospects for Pakistan’s conventional deterrence in the near to medium term, and concludes that it is much better than the pessimists allege. A host of factors, including terrain, the favorable deployment of Pakistani forces, and a lack of strategic surprise in the most likely conflict scenarios, will mitigate whatever advantages India may be gaining through military modernization. Despite a growing technological edge in some areas, Indian policymakers cannot be confident that even a limited resort to military force would achieve a rapid result, which is an essential pre-condition for deterrence failure.     

Missile Strategy in a Post-Nuclear Age

While the arrival of nuclear weapons coincided roughly with the development of short, medium, intermediate, and eventually intercontinental missiles, the contribution of missile technology to the deterrence equation is often lost. If nuclear weapons were eliminated, even new generation missiles with conventional payloads could struggle to render effective deterrence. But some of the physical and psychological effects commonly ascribed to nuclear weapons could still be in play. And in a world without nuclear weapons, thinking about the use and control of force from the nuclear age would also deserve renewed attention.     

常规潜艇废气涡轮增压柴油机排气冷却消声器的功用分析

本文分析了德国ＭＴＵ３９６ＳＢ８３和ＭＴＵ３９６ＳＥ８４两型潜用废气涡轮增压柴油机的排气冷却消声器的功用。作者认为,该排气冷却消声器的功用不仅仅是削减排气（空气）噪声,降低废气温度和减少废气向舱室内部的传热,更重要的是为了减少常规潜艇通气管状态柴油机水下排气所激起的水噪声和为了改善废气涡轮增压柴油机通气管状态高背压时的启动性能和变背压时的工作稳定性。文中还分析了该排气冷却消声器的其它一些功用。这些分析对发展我国潜用柴油机技术及常规潜艇采用废气涡轮增压技术有一定的指导意义。     

常规潜艇柴油机排气系统集水箱功能探析

剖析了常规潜艇柴油机排气系统中的最新设备——多功能集水箱的作用、工作原理,进而对它的推广应用及发展前景作些展望．     

常规袭击下指挥所生存能力分析

在现代战争中,指挥所是作战部队的核心设施,其生存能力对战争进程和战争胜负有着根本性的制约作用,也成为敌方的首要攻击对象。当前,指挥所的生存能力已经成为各级指挥员极其关注的问题。针对指挥所面临的威胁,分析制约其生存能力的因素,找出有效的应对之策,对作好军事斗争准备将有着重要意义。从指挥所可能面临的常规袭击环境出发,探讨了影响指挥所生存能力的因素,建立了各种袭击模式下的生存能力模型,并应用模拟的方法对指挥所生存能力进行了定量分析,并结合定性分析得出了有益的结果。