Modelling international conflict under conditions of state level economic and political uncertainty |
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Authors: | Anthony Lyons |
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Institution: | Department of Government , University of Essex , Wivenhoe Park, Colchester, Essex, CO4 3SQ E-mail: lyona@essex.ac.uk. |
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Abstract: | Formal models of international conflict have tended to concentrate on change across the security dimension, assuming that the state level economic and political dimensions are constant. However, the conclusion of the Cold War suggests that over the long run these dimensions are not constant; indeed, the development of economic power, state level limits on defence expenditures, structural impediments to economic change, and several other ‘constants’ clearly do have an endogenous role in international conflict. This paper suggests one strategy for their inclusion as a causal factor in conflict modelling. |
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Keywords: | Conflict balance of power economic and political uncertainty |
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