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基于可信度理论的一种态势估计方法
引用本文:熊加遥,王春,廖阳,李雪超.基于可信度理论的一种态势估计方法[J].现代防御技术,2011,39(2):79-82.
作者姓名:熊加遥  王春  廖阳  李雪超
作者单位:空军工程大学导弹学院,陕西,三原,713800
摘    要:态势估计是战场决策的基础,而如何进行正确的战场决策对战斗有着重要的影响。在对态势估计进行分析的基础上,根据可信度理论,提出了一种对态势估计问题进行推理的方法。该方法能够进行融合推理得到态势假设和事件之间的潜在关系,为决策提供依据。实例验证的结果表明,此方法对当前战场态势可给出有效的综合评价和理解,具有较高的可信性。

关 键 词:态势估计  态势假设  可信度理论

Method for Situation Assessment Based on Certainty Factor Theory
XIONG Jia-yao,WANG Rui,LIAO Yang,LI Xue-chao.Method for Situation Assessment Based on Certainty Factor Theory[J].Modern Defence Technology,2011,39(2):79-82.
Authors:XIONG Jia-yao  WANG Rui  LIAO Yang  LI Xue-chao
Institution:XIONG Jia-yao,WANG Rui,LIAO Yang,LI Xue-chao(AFEU,Missile Institute,Shaanxi Sanyuan 713800,China)
Abstract:Situation assessment is the basis of battlefield decision,and how to make the right battlefield decision is crucial.Based on analysis of situation assessment and certainty factor theory,one method aimed at situation assessment is put forward.The method can find the hidden pattern of situation hypothesis and events to provide basis for making decisions.The simulation results show that the method can make sense of efficient integrated assessment and comprehension to current battlefield situation with a higher...
Keywords:situation estimate  situation hypothesis  certainty factor theory  
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